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Ice Lab

Wed, Feb 5, 2020·Madison Square Garden, New York

Toronto Maple Leafs 3, New York Rangers 5

Away

Toronto Maple Leafs

3

Final

Home

New York Rangers

5

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, New York Rangers win this game 57% of the time.

NYR winsTOR wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 1:11Shot by Kerfoot, saved by Shesterkin
  3. P1 1:55Shot by Timashov, saved by Shesterkin
  4. P1 3:11Hyman: Hooking (2 min)

    On ice: NYR Kreider, Zibanejad, Skjei, Trouba, Buchnevich · TOR Barrie, Hyman, Dermott, Marner, Matthews

  5. P1 4:11Shot by Zibanejad, saved by Hutchinson5v4
  6. P1 4:58Shot by Fox, saved by Hutchinson5v4
  7. P1 5:27Shot by Muzzin, saved by Shesterkin
  8. P1 5:58Shot by Matthews, saved by Shesterkin
  9. P1 7:36Shot by Nylander, saved by Shesterkin
  10. P1 7:36Goal by Tavares (Nylander, Holl)+19 pts WP

    On ice: NYR Fast, Zibanejad, Skjei, Trouba, Panarin · TOR Muzzin, Tavares, Holl, Nylander, Marner

  11. P1 8:07Shot by Kreider, saved by Hutchinson
  12. P1 8:08Shot by Fox, saved by Hutchinson
  13. P1 8:18Shot by Buchnevich, saved by Hutchinson
  14. P1 8:50Goal by Chytil (DeAngelo, Staal)+20 pts WP

    On ice: NYR Staal, DeAngelo, Lemieux, Chytil, Kakko · TOR Ceci, Johnsson, Kapanen, Engvall, Sandin

  15. P1 9:13Shot by Zibanejad, saved by Hutchinson
  16. P1 9:27Shot by Zibanejad, saved by Hutchinson
  17. P1 11:06Shot by Ceci, saved by Shesterkin
  18. P1 13:11Shot by Tavares, saved by Shesterkin
  19. P1 13:54Shot by Zibanejad, saved by Hutchinson
  20. P1 17:18Goal by Zibanejad (Kreider)+16 pts WP

    On ice: NYR Kreider, Zibanejad, Buchnevich, Fox, Lindgren · TOR Muzzin, Holl, Hyman, Marner, Matthews

  21. P1 17:24Goal by Kreider (Buchnevich, Zibanejad)+14 pts WP

    On ice: NYR Kreider, Zibanejad, Buchnevich, Fox, Lindgren · TOR Muzzin, Holl, Hyman, Marner, Matthews

  22. P1 18:05Shot by Fast, saved by Hutchinson
  23. P1 19:15Shot by Hyman, saved by Shesterkin
  24. P1 19:59Shot by Zibanejad, saved by Hutchinson
  25. P1 0:00Period end
  26. P2 0:00Period start
  27. P2 0:37Shot by Marner, saved by Shesterkin
  28. P2 0:38Shot by Hyman, saved by Shesterkin
  29. P2 0:41Shot by Hyman, saved by Shesterkin
  30. P2 0:59Lindgren: Cross checking (2 min)5v6

    On ice: NYR Kreider, Fast, Zibanejad, Fox, Lindgren · TOR Barrie, Hyman, Nylander, Dermott, Marner, Matthews

  31. P2 3:50Shot by Engvall, saved by Shesterkin
  32. P2 4:08Shot by Moore, saved by Shesterkin
  33. P2 5:16Barrie: High sticking (2 min)

    On ice: NYR Kreider, Fast, Zibanejad, Trouba, Fox · TOR Barrie, Hyman, Marner, Matthews, Sandin

  34. P2 6:49Shot by Fox, saved by Hutchinson5v4
  35. P2 7:20Shot by Chytil, saved by Hutchinson
  36. P2 8:22Shot by Fox, saved by Hutchinson
  37. P2 8:57Shot by Panarin, saved by Hutchinson
  38. P2 8:59Shot by Panarin, saved by Hutchinson
  39. P2 9:48Shot by Kakko, saved by Hutchinson
  40. P2 10:15Shot by Kapanen, saved by Shesterkin
  41. P2 10:58Shot by Kreider, saved by Hutchinson
  42. P2 13:19Shot by Kapanen, saved by Shesterkin
  43. P2 14:41Shot by Barrie, saved by Shesterkin
  44. P2 14:57Shot by Nylander, saved by Shesterkin
  45. P2 16:29Shot by Ceci, saved by Shesterkin
  46. P2 16:56Goal by Matthews (Johnsson, Kapanen)+15 pts WP

    On ice: NYR Staal, DeAngelo, Lemieux, Chytil, Kakko · TOR Ceci, Johnsson, Kapanen, Dermott, Matthews

  47. P2 17:30Goal by Buchnevich (Skjei)+15 pts WP

    On ice: NYR Kreider, Zibanejad, Skjei, Trouba, Buchnevich · TOR Barrie, Hyman, Dermott, Marner, Matthews

  48. P2 18:10Shot by Chytil, saved by Hutchinson
  49. P2 19:31Shot by Buchnevich, saved by Hutchinson
  50. P2 19:34Shot by Panarin, saved by Hutchinson
  51. P2 19:39Shot by Panarin, saved by Hutchinson
  52. P2 0:00Period end
  53. P3 0:00Period start
  54. P3 1:40Shot by Lemieux, saved by Hutchinson
  55. P3 2:32Shot by Timashov, saved by Shesterkin
  56. P3 2:47Shot by Kreider, saved by Hutchinson
  57. P3 3:34Shot by Trouba, saved by Hutchinson
  58. P3 5:13Shot by Sandin, saved by Shesterkin
  59. P3 5:22Shot by Barrie, saved by Shesterkin
  60. P3 7:14Shot by Buchnevich, saved by Hutchinson
  61. P3 8:30Shot by Strome, saved by Hutchinson
  62. P3 10:37Shot by Kreider, saved by Hutchinson
  63. P3 12:07Shot by Barrie, saved by Shesterkin
  64. P3 12:58Shot by Kakko, saved by Hutchinson
  65. P3 13:35Shot by Buchnevich, saved by Hutchinson
  66. P3 15:41Shot by Engvall, saved by Shesterkin
  67. P3 15:43Shot by Moore, saved by Shesterkin
  68. P3 15:44McKegg: Hooking (2 min)

    On ice: NYR McKegg, Skjei, Trouba, Howden, Kakko · TOR Muzzin, Barrie, Engvall, Timashov, Moore

  69. P3 16:32Goal by Matthews (Tavares, Marner)4v5+8 pts WP

    On ice: NYR Staal, Strome, Zibanejad, Lindgren · TOR Tavares, Barrie, Nylander, Marner, Matthews

  70. P3 17:08Shot by Kapanen, saved by Shesterkin
  71. P3 17:56Shot by Buchnevich, saved by Hutchinson
  72. P3 18:31Shot by Matthews, saved by Shesterkin5v6
  73. P3 19:02Goal by McKegg (Buchnevich)5v6+3 pts WP

    On ice: NYR Staal, McKegg, Strome, Trouba, Buchnevich · TOR Tavares, Barrie, Hyman, Nylander, Marner, Matthews

  74. P3 19:02Hyman: Fighting (5 min)5v6

    On ice: NYR Staal, McKegg, Strome, Trouba, Buchnevich · TOR Tavares, Barrie, Hyman, Nylander, Marner, Matthews

  75. P3 19:02Trouba: Fighting (5 min)5v6

    On ice: NYR Staal, McKegg, Strome, Trouba, Buchnevich · TOR Tavares, Barrie, Hyman, Nylander, Marner, Matthews

  76. P3 19:37Shot by Tavares, saved by Shesterkin5v6
  77. P3 19:42Tavares: Roughing (2 min)5v6

    On ice: NYR Staal, Kreider, Fast, Zibanejad, Lindgren · TOR Tavares, Barrie, Johnsson, Nylander, Marner, Matthews

  78. P3 19:42Lindgren: Roughing (2 min)5v6

    On ice: NYR Staal, Kreider, Fast, Zibanejad, Lindgren · TOR Tavares, Barrie, Johnsson, Nylander, Marner, Matthews

  79. P3 0:00Period end
  80. P3 0:00Final