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Ice Lab

Thu, Feb 13, 2020·Prudential Center, Newark

Detroit Red Wings 1, New Jersey Devils 4

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, New Jersey Devils win this game 79% of the time.

NJD winsDET wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 0:52Shot by Bertuzzi, saved by Blackwood
  3. P1 0:52Severson: Hooking (2 min)

    On ice: NJD Palmieri, Severson, Butcher, Bratt, Hughes · DET Nemeth, Glendening, Athanasiou, Bertuzzi, Lindstrom

  4. P1 2:33Shot by Fabbri, saved by Blackwood4v5
  5. P1 3:06Shot by Zacha, saved by Bernier
  6. P1 3:22Helm: Delaying game puck over glass (2 min)

    On ice: NJD Simmonds, Severson, Butcher, Wood, Zacha · DET Nielsen, Helm, Nemeth, Glendening, Lindstrom

  7. P1 3:55Shot by Palmieri, saved by Bernier5v4
  8. P1 4:05Shot by Coleman, saved by Bernier5v4
  9. P1 8:01Shot by Ehn, saved by Blackwood
  10. P1 8:26Shot by Daley, saved by Blackwood
  11. P1 9:14Shot by Mantha, saved by Blackwood
  12. P1 9:23Shot by Larkin, saved by Blackwood
  13. P1 10:56Shot by Palmieri, saved by Bernier
  14. P1 11:17Shot by Bertuzzi, saved by Blackwood
  15. P1 11:18Greene: High sticking (2 min)

    On ice: NJD Greene, Subban, Palmieri, Bratt, Hughes · DET Green, Glendening, Athanasiou, Bertuzzi, Hronek

  16. P1 16:17Shot by Larkin, saved by Blackwood
  17. P1 16:28Shot by Biega, saved by Blackwood
  18. P1 16:48Shot by Mantha, saved by Blackwood
  19. P1 17:13Shot by Athanasiou, saved by Blackwood
  20. P1 18:49Shot by Ehn, saved by Blackwood
  21. P1 0:00Period end
  22. P2 0:00Period start
  23. P2 2:47Shot by Abdelkader, saved by Blackwood
  24. P2 2:56Shot by Glendening, saved by Blackwood
  25. P2 2:59Bertuzzi: High sticking (2 min)

    On ice: NJD Greene, Severson, Hayden, Rooney, Anderson · DET Nemeth, Glendening, Athanasiou, Bertuzzi, Lindstrom

  26. P2 4:04Shot by Severson, saved by Bernier5v4
  27. P2 4:06Shot by Simmonds, saved by Bernier5v4
  28. P2 5:33Shot by Larkin, saved by Blackwood5v6
  29. P2 5:49Wood: Tripping (2 min)

    On ice: NJD Greene, Severson, Hayden, Rooney, Anderson · DET Abdelkader, Biega, Mantha, Fabbri, Lindstrom

  30. P2 7:13Shot by Zajac, saved by Bernier4v5
  31. P2 7:30Green: Cross checking (2 min)4v5

    On ice: NJD Zajac, Greene, Coleman, Mueller · DET Filppula, Daley, Green, Erne, Fabbri

  32. P2 8:20Shot by Subban, saved by Bernier5v4
  33. P2 8:46Shot by Zacha, saved by Bernier5v4
  34. P2 9:26Shot by Simmonds, saved by Bernier5v4
  35. P2 9:33Shot by Coleman, saved by Bernier
  36. P2 9:35Lindstrom: Delaying game puck over glass (2 min)

    On ice: NJD Simmonds, Palmieri, Coleman, Severson, Hughes · DET Filppula, Nielsen, Green, Hronek, Lindstrom

  37. P2 11:49Shot by Bratt, saved by Bernier
  38. P2 11:49Biega: Interference (2 min)

    On ice: NJD Gusev, Butcher, Wood, Zacha, Bratt · DET Helm, Biega, Nemeth, Glendening, Lindstrom

  39. P2 12:48Shot by Nielsen, saved by Blackwood5v4
  40. P2 13:03Shot by Zacha, saved by Bernier5v4
  41. P2 15:10Coleman: Illegal check to head (2 min)

    On ice: NJD Coleman, Carrick, Gusev, Mueller, Rooney · DET Filppula, Daley, Biega, Glendening, Bertuzzi

  42. P2 16:34Goal by Athanasiou (Mantha, Hronek)4v5+27 pts WP

    On ice: NJD Zajac, Greene, Mueller, Anderson · DET Athanasiou, Bertuzzi, Mantha, Larkin, Hronek

  43. P2 17:18Shot by Palmieri, saved by Bernier
  44. P2 19:55Shot by Mueller, saved by Bernier
  45. P2 0:00Period end
  46. P3 0:00Period start
  47. P3 3:02Shot by Helm, saved by Blackwood
  48. P3 3:33Shot by Larkin, saved by Blackwood
  49. P3 4:20Shot by Bratt, saved by Bernier
  50. P3 5:10Goal by Greene (Zacha, Severson)+30 pts WP

    On ice: NJD Greene, Simmonds, Severson, Wood, Zacha · DET Green, Abdelkader, Erne, Ehn, Hronek

  51. P3 5:44Shot by Athanasiou, saved by Blackwood
  52. P3 6:54Goal by Simmonds (Wood, Zacha)+28 pts WP

    On ice: NJD Simmonds, Butcher, Wood, Mueller, Zacha · DET Nemeth, Glendening, Athanasiou, Bertuzzi, Lindstrom

  53. P3 7:35Shot by Bratt, saved by Bernier
  54. P3 7:51Biega: Delaying game smothering puck (2 min)

    On ice: NJD Greene, Palmieri, Severson, Rooney, Bratt · DET Daley, Abdelkader, Biega, Erne, Ehn

  55. P3 8:37Goal by Simmonds (Palmieri, Severson)5v4+13 pts WP

    On ice: NJD Simmonds, Palmieri, Coleman, Severson, Hughes · DET Helm, Nemeth, Glendening, Hronek

  56. P3 9:10Goal by Bratt (Subban, Butcher)+4 pts WP

    On ice: NJD Zajac, Subban, Gusev, Butcher, Bratt · DET Daley, Green, Mantha, Larkin, Fabbri

  57. P3 10:11Shot by Erne, saved by Blackwood
  58. P3 11:35Shot by Bratt, saved by Bernier
  59. P3 11:54Shot by Larkin, saved by Blackwood
  60. P3 13:30Shot by Fabbri, saved by Blackwood
  61. P3 14:54Shot by Rooney, saved by Bernier
  62. P3 16:09Shot by Wood, saved by Bernier
  63. P3 16:21Shot by Butcher, saved by Bernier
  64. P3 18:11Shot by Daley, saved by Blackwood
  65. P3 18:21Shot by Abdelkader, saved by Blackwood
  66. P3 18:43Shot by Hayden, saved by Bernier
  67. P3 19:59Shot by Daley, saved by Blackwood
  68. P3 0:00Period end
  69. P3 0:00Final