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Ice Lab

Tue, Feb 18, 2020·Canadian Tire Centre, Ottawa

Buffalo Sabres 4, Ottawa Senators 7

Away

Buffalo Sabres

4

Final

Home

Ottawa Senators

7

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Ottawa Senators win this game 80% of the time.

OTT winsBUF wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 0:39Shot by Pageau, saved by Hutton
  3. P1 2:12Shot by Skinner, saved by Anderson
  4. P1 2:14Goal by Montour, unassisted+19 pts WP

    On ice: OTT Anisimov, Reilly, Sabourin, Paul, Zaitsev · BUF Okposo, Larsson, Skinner, Ristolainen, Montour

  5. P1 2:53Shot by Paul, saved by Hutton
  6. P1 3:09Shot by Chabot, saved by Hutton
  7. P1 3:44Shot by Pageau, saved by Hutton
  8. P1 5:12Shot by Ristolainen, saved by Anderson
  9. P1 6:40Shot by Olofsson, saved by Anderson
  10. P1 7:15Shot by Dahlin, saved by Anderson
  11. P1 7:52Shot by Brown, saved by Hutton
  12. P1 9:35Shot by McCabe, saved by Anderson
  13. P1 9:47Shot by Larsson, saved by Anderson
  14. P1 10:12Goal by Montour (Ristolainen, Olofsson)+14 pts WP

    On ice: OTT Pageau, Duclair, Chabot, Zaitsev, Tkachuk · BUF Ristolainen, Reinhart, Montour, Olofsson, Eichel

  15. P1 11:10Shot by Namestnikov, saved by Hutton
  16. P1 11:42Shot by Miller, saved by Anderson
  17. P1 12:05Hainsey: Hooking (2 min)

    On ice: OTT Hainsey, Anisimov, Sabourin, Paul, Chabot · BUF Johansson, Miller, Vesey, Lazar, Dahlin

  18. P1 14:02Goal by Namestnikov (Pageau, Reilly)4v5+15 pts WP

    On ice: OTT Pageau, Namestnikov, Englund, Zaitsev · BUF Okposo, Skinner, Miller, McCabe, Sheary

  19. P1 14:50Shot by Reilly, saved by Hutton
  20. P1 15:07Goal by Anisimov (Paul, Sabourin)+21 pts WP

    On ice: OTT Anisimov, Reilly, Sabourin, Paul, Zaitsev · BUF Ristolainen, Reinhart, Montour, Olofsson, Eichel

  21. P1 15:14Shot by Batherson, saved by Hutton
  22. P1 15:16Goal by Batherson (White, Ennis)+15 pts WP

    On ice: OTT Hainsey, Ennis, White, Chabot, Batherson · BUF Johansson, Miller, Vesey, Lazar, Dahlin

  23. P1 15:45Skinner: Slashing (2 min)

    On ice: OTT Hainsey, Namestnikov, Tierney, Brown, Chabot · BUF Skinner, McCabe, Sheary, Rodrigues, Jokiharju

  24. P1 16:35Shot by Pageau, saved by Hutton5v4
  25. P1 17:31Goal by Anisimov (Ennis, Reilly)5v4+13 pts WP

    On ice: OTT Anisimov, Ennis, Reilly, Brown, White · BUF McCabe, Olofsson, Eichel, Jokiharju

  26. P1 17:53Shot by Paul, saved by Hutton
  27. P1 18:03Shot by Miller, saved by Anderson
  28. P1 19:03Shot by Rodrigues, saved by Anderson
  29. P1 19:05Shot by McCabe, saved by Anderson
  30. P1 19:35Shot by Tkachuk, saved by Hutton
  31. P1 0:00Period end
  32. P2 0:00Period start
  33. P2 2:36Goal by Okposo (Larsson, Montour)+14 pts WP

    On ice: OTT Ennis, Goloubef, Englund, White, Batherson · BUF Okposo, Larsson, Girgensons, Ristolainen, Montour

  34. P2 3:10Shot by Anisimov, saved by Hutton
  35. P2 3:51Shot by Tkachuk, saved by Hutton
  36. P2 5:07Shot by Tierney, saved by Hutton
  37. P2 5:45Shot by Skinner, saved by Anderson
  38. P2 6:03Shot by Ennis, saved by Hutton
  39. P2 6:05Shot by Ennis, saved by Hutton
  40. P2 6:48Shot by Reinhart, saved by Anderson
  41. P2 7:29Shot by Anisimov, saved by Hutton
  42. P2 7:30Shot by Anisimov, saved by Hutton
  43. P2 7:31Shot by Paul, saved by Hutton
  44. P2 7:51Shot by Chabot, saved by Hutton
  45. P2 8:31Shot by Reilly, saved by Hutton
  46. P2 8:59Shot by Tkachuk, saved by Hutton
  47. P2 9:00Goal by Pageau (Duclair, Tkachuk)+15 pts WP

    On ice: OTT Hainsey, Pageau, Duclair, Chabot, Tkachuk · BUF Okposo, Larsson, Girgensons, McCabe, Jokiharju

  48. P2 9:42Shot by Reilly, saved by Hutton
  49. P2 10:41Shot by Brown, saved by Hutton
  50. P2 10:53Shot by Brown, saved by Hutton
  51. P2 11:26Shot by Reilly, saved by Hutton
  52. P2 12:54Tkachuk: Too many men on the ice (2 min)

    On ice: OTT Hainsey, Pageau, Duclair, Chabot, Tkachuk · BUF Larsson, Girgensons, McCabe, Sheary, Jokiharju

  53. P2 13:47Goal by Olofsson (Dahlin, Eichel)4v5+15 pts WP

    On ice: OTT Hainsey, Tierney, Brown, Zaitsev · BUF Ristolainen, Reinhart, Olofsson, Eichel, Dahlin

  54. P2 14:39Shot by Rodrigues, saved by Anderson
  55. P2 16:05Reilly: Hooking (2 min)

    On ice: OTT Anisimov, Ennis, Reilly, Chabot, Batherson · BUF Skinner, Ristolainen, Sheary, Montour, Rodrigues

  56. P2 17:45Shot by Eichel, saved by Anderson4v5
  57. P2 19:08Shot by Johansson, saved by Anderson
  58. P2 0:00Period end
  59. P3 0:00Period start
  60. P3 0:46Shot by Olofsson, saved by Anderson
  61. P3 2:05Shot by Eichel, saved by Anderson
  62. P3 2:23Shot by Ennis, saved by Hutton
  63. P3 2:30Shot by Ennis, saved by Hutton
  64. P3 2:57Shot by Rodrigues, saved by Anderson
  65. P3 3:39Shot by McCabe, saved by Anderson
  66. P3 5:23Shot by Reilly, saved by Hutton
  67. P3 7:02Shot by Reilly, saved by Hutton
  68. P3 9:19Shot by Olofsson, saved by Anderson
  69. P3 11:18Shot by Olofsson, saved by Anderson
  70. P3 11:51Shot by Tkachuk, saved by Hutton
  71. P3 12:06Shot by Olofsson, saved by Anderson
  72. P3 12:21McCabe: Hooking (2 min)

    On ice: OTT Anisimov, Reilly, Paul, Zaitsev, Batherson · BUF Johansson, Vesey, McCabe, Sheary, Jokiharju

  73. P3 12:31Shot by Tkachuk, saved by Hutton5v4
  74. P3 12:53Goal by Pageau (Tkachuk, Batherson)5v4+11 pts WP

    On ice: OTT Pageau, Duclair, Chabot, Batherson, Tkachuk · BUF Ristolainen, Lazar, Montour, Rodrigues

  75. P3 13:16Shot by Brown, saved by Hutton
  76. P3 17:35Namestnikov: Tripping (2 min)5v6

    On ice: OTT Hainsey, Namestnikov, Tierney, Brown, Chabot · BUF Skinner, Miller, Reinhart, Olofsson, Eichel, Dahlin

  77. P3 18:34Shot by Eichel, saved by Anderson4v6
  78. P3 19:14Goal by Duclair (Pageau)4v60 pts WP

    On ice: OTT Goloubef, Pageau, Duclair, Zaitsev · BUF Johansson, Ristolainen, Reinhart, Olofsson, Eichel, Dahlin

  79. P3 0:00Period end
  80. P3 0:00Final