Sat, Feb 22, 2020·Madison Square Garden, New York
San Jose Sharks 2, New York Rangers 3
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, San Jose Sharks win this game 53% of the time.
By period
Goals and shots on goal in each period.
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| SJS | 122 | 110 | 014 | 246 |
| NYR | 13 | 116 | 114 | 333 |
Goals, with shots on goal in grey.
Scoring
Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.
- P1 9:35NYRJesper FastAssists: Artemi Panarin, Ryan Strome · Snap, 0.35 xG0–1
- P1 17:55SJSJoe ThorntonAssists: Timo Meier, Mario Ferraro · Slap, 0.05 xG1–1
- P2 13:47SJSJoe ThorntonPPAssists: Brent Burns, Kevin Labanc · Wrist, 0.38 xG2–1
- P2 17:27NYRMika ZibanejadAssists: Artemi Panarin · Snap, 0.25 xG2–2
- P3 6:54NYRJesper FastGWGAssists: Jacob Trouba, Ryan Strome · Slap, 0.46 xG2–3
Penalties (7)
- P1 5:33SJSMarcus Sorensen: Hooking2 min
- P2 4:07NYRJacob Trouba: Interference2 min
- P2 10:09NYRBrett Howden: High sticking2 min
- P2 12:56NYRTony DeAngelo: Delaying game puck over glass2 min · PPG
- P2 15:14SJSJake Middleton: Boarding2 min
- P2 18:34SJSJake Middleton: Penalty shot hooking on breakaway0 min
- P3 0:55NYRAdam Fox: Tripping2 min
Replay
Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.
20:00
P1
- P1 20:00Goodrow won the faceoff against Strome
- Goal
- Shot
- Miss
- Block
- Hit
- Takeaway
- Giveaway
- Faceoff
- Penalty
The numbers
Team totals, side by side.
Line combinations that worked
Model-basedEach team's forward lines and defence pairs at 5-on-5 (two minutes or more together), best first by expected goals for minus against.
San Jose Sharks
Forward lines
- bestSorensen – Gregor – True5:13
xG 0.52–0.00 (100%)attempts 7–0goals 0–0
- Kane – Goodrow – Labanc6:35
xG 0.67–0.37 (65%)attempts 10–4goals 0–1
- Marleau – Noesen – Kellman8:07
xG 0.37–0.25 (60%)attempts 7–5goals 0–0
- Thornton – Meier – Gambrell8:38
xG 0.52–0.67 (44%)attempts 9–12goals 1–0
Defence pairs
- bestVlasic – Ferraro12:43
xG 1.04–0.68 (61%)attempts 15–9goals 0–0
- Heed – Middleton10:00
xG 0.38–0.47 (45%)attempts 9–6goals 0–1
- Burns – Simek16:21
xG 0.79–1.74 (31%)attempts 20–19goals 1–2
New York Rangers
Forward lines
- bestFast – Strome – Panarin10:02
xG 1.42–0.70 (67%)attempts 9–11goals 2–0
- Kreider – Zibanejad – Buchnevich11:31
xG 0.72–0.73 (50%)attempts 14–13goals 0–0
- Di Giuseppe – Chytil – Kakko8:27
xG 0.20–0.38 (34%)attempts 4–12goals 0–0
- Lemieux – Gauthier – Howden6:37
xG 0.00–0.53 (0%)attempts 0–10goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- bestSkjei – Trouba15:56
xG 1.71–0.68 (72%)attempts 17–22goals 1–0
- Fox – Lindgren15:34
xG 1.10–1.06 (51%)attempts 14–15goals 2–0
- Staal – DeAngelo9:50
xG 0.26–0.69 (28%)attempts 7–9goals 0–0
How the game flowed
Model-basedChance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.
Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.
Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute
Win probability
Model-basedHow each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.
NYR's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line NYR is favoured, below it SJS. Dots are goals.
Did the better team win?
Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.
Based on shot quality alone, San Jose Sharks win this game 53% of the time.
Simulated goal difference (NYR − SJS), 10,000 replays
The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).