Thu, Feb 27, 2020·BB&T Center, Sunrise
Toronto Maple Leafs 5, Florida Panthers 3
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Toronto Maple Leafs win this game 64% of the time.
28%
8%
10%
54%
FLA winsTOR wins
Toronto Maple Leafs
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 25:21 | 0.05 | 69.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +3 | 5 | 23:35 | 0.49 | 54.6% | +16.0 | |
| 1 | 1 | 2 | +2 | 6 | 23:18 | 0.67 | 64.7% | +29.4 | |
| 1 | 1 | 2 | +3 | 3 | 23:15 | 0.21 | 61.4% | +29.4 | |
| 1 | 1 | 2 | +2 | 1 | 21:44 | 0.48 | 46.7% | +14.8 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +2 | 0 | 20:49 | 0.00 | 61.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 20:02 | 0.06 | 55.3% | +33.2 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 19:34 | 0.22 | 59.7% | +1.4 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 17:30 | 0.10 | 61.1% | +33.2 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 16:07 | 0.02 | 75.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 0 | 14:08 | 0.02 | 29.2% | +14.6 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 13:06 | 0.09 | 74.6% | +14.6 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 12:59 | 0.28 | 52.5% | +14.6 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 12:28 | 0.17 | 63.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 10:47 | 0.00 | 56.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 9:15 | 0.07 | 46.4% | +33.2 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 8:44 | 0.00 | 64.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 0 | 5:21 | 0.00 | 15.6% | 0.0 |
| W | 27 | 24 | 3 | .889 | 2.24 | −0.8 | 59:57 |
Florida Panthers
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 0 | 22:55 | 0.02 | 29.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −2 | 2 | 21:54 | 0.04 | 46.6% | +13.2 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 0 | 20:49 | 0.00 | 31.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 1 | 19:57 | 0.03 | 23.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 1 | 18:51 | 0.17 | 26.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 2 | 18:36 | 0.20 | 23.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 0 | 18:08 | 0.03 | 40.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +2 | 1 | 17:26 | 0.02 | 53.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 2 | 2 | +2 | 1 | 17:22 | 0.02 | 67.2% | +26.6 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 5 | 16:26 | 0.33 | 75.6% | +13.4 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | −2 | 6 | 15:58 | 0.62 | 38.0% | +13.9 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +2 | 0 | 15:16 | 0.11 | 78.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 14:09 | 0.05 | 43.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 13:22 | 0.07 | 47.7% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +2 | 1 | 13:10 | 0.14 | 95.1% | +13.2 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −1 | 2 | 12:19 | 0.11 | 32.2% | +13.9 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 12:02 | 0.04 | 40.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −1 | 1 | 10:53 | 0.25 | 37.7% | +13.9 |
| L | 28 | 24 | 4 | .857 | 2.45 | −1.5 | 58:29 |