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Ice Lab

Thu, Feb 27, 2020·Bridgestone Arena, Nashville

Calgary Flames 3, Nashville Predators 4 (OT)

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Calgary Flames win this game 57% of the time.

NSH winsCGY wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 1:20Shot by Forbort, saved by Saros
  3. P1 1:51Shot by Ryan, saved by Saros
  4. P1 3:46Shot by Ekholm, saved by Rittich
  5. P1 4:37Shot by Fabbro, saved by Rittich
  6. P1 4:38Shot by Jarnkrok, saved by Rittich
  7. P1 5:31Shot by Forbort, saved by Saros
  8. P1 5:39Shot by Tkachuk, saved by Saros
  9. P1 8:11Bennett: Hooking (2 min)

    On ice: NSH Josi, Duchene, Blackwell, Arvidsson, Fabbro · CGY Forbort, Jankowski, Gustafsson, Bennett, Dube

  10. P1 8:18Shot by Smith, saved by Rittich5v4
  11. P1 8:32Shot by Forsberg, saved by Rittich5v4
  12. P1 11:08Shot by Andersson, saved by Saros
  13. P1 12:45Shot by Backlund, saved by Saros
  14. P1 13:06Shot by Giordano, saved by Saros
  15. P1 13:35Shot by Gustafsson, saved by Saros
  16. P1 16:14Shot by Forbort, saved by Saros
  17. P1 17:32Shot by Josi, saved by Rittich
  18. P1 18:15Shot by Bennett, saved by Saros
  19. P1 19:12Shot by Tinordi, saved by Rittich
  20. P1 19:28Goal by Sissons (Blackwell, Tinordi)+16 pts WP

    On ice: NSH Bonino, Ekholm, Tinordi, Blackwell, Sissons · CGY Forbort, Gaudreau, Gustafsson, Lindholm, Monahan

  21. P1 19:57Shot by Andersson, saved by Saros
  22. P1 0:00Period end
  23. P2 0:00Period start
  24. P2 0:14Shot by Ellis, saved by Rittich
  25. P2 0:26Goal by Andersson (Backlund, Tkachuk)+16 pts WP

    On ice: NSH Josi, Ellis, Johansen, Blackwell, Sissons · CGY Backlund, Mangiapane, Hanifin, Andersson, Tkachuk

  26. P2 1:19Shot by Turris, saved by Rittich
  27. P2 1:26Shot by Ellis, saved by Rittich
  28. P2 3:48Goal by Backlund, unassisted+22 pts WP

    On ice: NSH Ekholm, Johansen, Tinordi, Blackwell, Sissons · CGY Backlund, Forbort, Gustafsson, Mangiapane, Tkachuk

  29. P2 4:26Shot by Granlund, saved by Rittich
  30. P2 4:49Shot by Forsberg, saved by Rittich
  31. P2 4:55Shot by Josi, saved by Rittich
  32. P2 5:43Shot by Ryan, saved by Saros
  33. P2 6:06Shot by Brodie, saved by Saros
  34. P2 6:24Shot by Tkachuk, saved by Saros
  35. P2 6:42Shot by Tkachuk, saved by Saros
  36. P2 6:50Shot by Jarnkrok, saved by Rittich
  37. P2 7:02Shot by Mangiapane, saved by Saros
  38. P2 7:24Shot by Blackwell, saved by Rittich
  39. P2 7:44Shot by Sissons, saved by Rittich
  40. P2 8:05Shot by Granlund, saved by Rittich
  41. P2 9:11Shot by Bonino, saved by Rittich
  42. P2 11:52Shot by Jankowski, saved by Saros
  43. P2 12:11Shot by Giordano, saved by Saros
  44. P2 13:12Shot by Mangiapane, saved by Saros
  45. P2 13:56Josi: Roughing (2 min)

    On ice: NSH Bonino, Josi, Ellis, Smith, Grimaldi · CGY Backlund, Forbort, Mangiapane, Andersson, Tkachuk

  46. P2 13:56Tkachuk: Roughing (2 min)4v5

    On ice: NSH Bonino, Josi, Ellis, Smith, Grimaldi · CGY Backlund, Forbort, Mangiapane, Andersson, Tkachuk

  47. P2 14:37Shot by Andersson, saved by Saros4v4
  48. P2 15:15Shot by Ekholm, saved by Rittich4v4
  49. P2 16:59Shot by Rieder, saved by Saros
  50. P2 17:00Shot by Rieder, saved by Saros
  51. P2 17:14Shot by Andersson, saved by Saros
  52. P2 18:28Shot by Smith, saved by Rittich
  53. P2 18:55Shot by Blackwell, saved by Rittich
  54. P2 19:09Shot by Josi, saved by Rittich
  55. P2 19:15Shot by Johansen, saved by Rittich
  56. P2 19:17Shot by Johansen, saved by Rittich
  57. P2 19:46Shot by Lindholm, saved by Saros
  58. P2 19:57Shot by Gaudreau, saved by Saros
  59. P2 0:00Period end
  60. P3 0:00Period start
  61. P3 1:37Shot by Rieder, saved by Saros
  62. P3 1:38Shot by Rieder, saved by Saros
  63. P3 1:40Shot by Forbort, saved by Saros
  64. P3 1:40Bennett: Roughing (2 min)

    On ice: NSH Duchene, Ekholm, Jarnkrok, Arvidsson, Fabbro · CGY Forbort, Rieder, Gustafsson, Bennett, Ryan

  65. P3 3:30Shot by Arvidsson, saved by Rittich5v4
  66. P3 3:52Shot by Bennett, saved by Saros
  67. P3 4:24Shot by Monahan, saved by Saros
  68. P3 5:03Shot by Forsberg, saved by Rittich
  69. P3 6:27Shot by Ellis, saved by Rittich
  70. P3 7:28Shot by Josi, saved by Rittich
  71. P3 7:39Shot by Backlund, saved by Saros
  72. P3 7:59Shot by Mangiapane, saved by Saros
  73. P3 9:01Shot by Gaudreau, saved by Saros
  74. P3 11:57Shot by Gaudreau, saved by Saros
  75. P3 13:39Shot by Arvidsson, saved by Rittich
  76. P3 14:30Goal by Josi (Ellis, Blackwell)+39 pts WP

    On ice: NSH Josi, Ellis, Johansen, Blackwell, Sissons · CGY Backlund, Forbort, Gustafsson, Mangiapane, Tkachuk

  77. P3 16:16Shot by Ekholm, saved by Rittich
  78. P3 16:25Shot by Lucic, saved by Saros
  79. P3 16:41Shot by Ellis, saved by Rittich
  80. P3 17:52Shot by Fabbro, saved by Rittich
  81. P3 18:00Shot by Hanifin, saved by Saros
  82. P3 19:17Goal by Mangiapane (Backlund, Andersson)+48 pts WP

    On ice: NSH Turris, Josi, Ellis, Johansen, Granlund · CGY Backlund, Mangiapane, Hanifin, Andersson, Tkachuk

  83. P3 19:58Shot by Turris, saved by Rittich6v5
  84. P3 19:59Goal by Granlund (Forsberg, Ellis)6v5+49 pts WP

    On ice: NSH Turris, Josi, Ellis, Johansen, Granlund, Forsberg · CGY Giordano, Backlund, Brodie, Lindholm, Tkachuk

  85. P3 0:00Period end
  86. OT 0:00Period start
  87. OT 0:21Shot by Forsberg, saved by Rittich3v3
  88. OT 1:20Goal by Granlund (Ellis, Duchene)3v3+55 pts WP

    On ice: NSH Duchene, Ekholm, Granlund · CGY Gaudreau, Gustafsson, Lindholm

  89. OT 1:20Period end4v4
  90. OT 1:20Final