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Ice Lab

Fri, Feb 28, 2020·PNC Arena, Raleigh

Colorado Avalanche 3, Carolina Hurricanes 2

Away

Colorado Avalanche

3

Final

Home

Carolina Hurricanes

2

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Carolina Hurricanes win this game 70% of the time.

CAR winsCOL wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 0:24Shot by Teravainen, saved by Francouz
  3. P1 0:53Shot by Jost, saved by Forsberg
  4. P1 2:23Shot by Martinook, saved by Francouz
  5. P1 2:43Shot by Girard, saved by Forsberg
  6. P1 2:54Martinook: High sticking (2 min)

    On ice: CAR Dzingel, Skjei, Martinook, McGinn, Fleury · COL Johnson, Nieto, Namestnikov, MacKinnon, Girard

  7. P1 3:02Shot by Landeskog, saved by Forsberg4v5
  8. P1 3:33Shot by MacKinnon, saved by Forsberg4v5
  9. P1 4:28Shot by Nichushkin, saved by Forsberg4v5
  10. P1 5:35Shot by Niederreiter, saved by Francouz
  11. P1 5:57Shot by Bellemare, saved by Forsberg
  12. P1 6:23Shot by Niederreiter, saved by Francouz
  13. P1 6:34Goal by Jost (Johnson, Girard)+19 pts WP

    On ice: CAR Gardiner, Niederreiter, Trocheck, van Riemsdyk, Necas · COL Johnson, Donskoi, Compher, Jost, Girard

  14. P1 8:44Shot by Kaut, saved by Forsberg
  15. P1 9:28Shot by MacKinnon, saved by Forsberg
  16. P1 12:34Shot by MacKinnon, saved by Forsberg
  17. P1 14:06Shot by Aho, saved by Francouz
  18. P1 14:33Shot by Graves, saved by Forsberg
  19. P1 14:51Shot by Staal, saved by Francouz
  20. P1 15:03Shot by Foegele, saved by Francouz
  21. P1 15:13Shot by Johnson, saved by Forsberg
  22. P1 15:32Shot by Svechnikov, saved by Francouz
  23. P1 15:36Shot by Slavin, saved by Francouz
  24. P1 16:46Donskoi: High sticking (2 min)

    On ice: CAR Niederreiter, Trocheck, Skjei, Fleury, Necas · COL Cole, Donskoi, Compher, Zadorov, Jost

  25. P1 16:55Shot by Aho, saved by Francouz5v4
  26. P1 17:28Shot by Aho, saved by Francouz5v4
  27. P1 18:20Shot by Dzingel, saved by Francouz5v4
  28. P1 19:59Shot by Martinook, saved by Francouz
  29. P1 0:00Period end
  30. P2 0:00Period start
  31. P2 0:34Shot by Teravainen, saved by Francouz
  32. P2 0:40Shot by Slavin, saved by Francouz
  33. P2 0:58Shot by Compher, saved by Forsberg
  34. P2 3:15Shot by Fleury, saved by Francouz
  35. P2 3:57Shot by Svechnikov, saved by Francouz
  36. P2 4:20Shot by Edmundson, saved by Francouz
  37. P2 4:32Shot by Fleury, saved by Francouz
  38. P2 4:34Shot by Niederreiter, saved by Francouz
  39. P2 4:35Zadorov: Cross checking (2 min)

    On ice: CAR Niederreiter, Skjei, Teravainen, Fleury, Aho · COL Johnson, Donskoi, Landeskog, MacKinnon, Zadorov

  40. P2 6:15Shot by Svechnikov, saved by Francouz5v4
  41. P2 6:28Shot by Edmundson, saved by Francouz5v4
  42. P2 6:52Shot by Svechnikov, saved by Francouz
  43. P2 7:40Shot by Edmundson, saved by Francouz
  44. P2 7:56Shot by Jost, saved by Forsberg
  45. P2 7:59Shot by Johnson, saved by Forsberg
  46. P2 8:18Shot by Fleury, saved by Francouz
  47. P2 9:11Shot by Graves, saved by Forsberg
  48. P2 9:13Shot by MacKinnon, saved by Forsberg
  49. P2 9:24Svechnikov: Tripping (2 min)

    On ice: CAR Edmundson, Slavin, Aho, Necas, Svechnikov · COL Landeskog, Graves, Burakovsky, MacKinnon, Makar

  50. P2 10:38Shot by Girard, saved by Forsberg4v5
  51. P2 11:04Shot by Burakovsky, saved by Forsberg4v5
  52. P2 11:38Shot by Bellemare, saved by Forsberg
  53. P2 11:46Shot by Donskoi, saved by Forsberg
  54. P2 12:13Shot by Edmundson, saved by Francouz
  55. P2 12:51Goal by Jost (Makar)+15 pts WP

    On ice: CAR Williams, Staal, Skjei, Fleury, Svechnikov · COL Namestnikov, Graves, Compher, Jost, Makar

  56. P2 14:28Shot by McGinn, saved by Francouz
  57. P2 14:35Williams: Too many men on the ice (2 min)

    On ice: CAR Dzingel, Skjei, Teravainen, Fleury, Aho, Svechnikov · COL Johnson, Burakovsky, MacKinnon, Nichushkin, Girard

  58. P2 14:39Shot by van Riemsdyk, saved by Francouz4v5
  59. P2 15:44Shot by Kaut, saved by Forsberg4v5
  60. P2 15:55Shot by Landeskog, saved by Forsberg4v5
  61. P2 16:34Shot by Martinook, saved by Francouz4v5
  62. P2 17:49Shot by Niederreiter, saved by Francouz
  63. P2 18:45Shot by Edmundson, saved by Francouz
  64. P2 0:00Period end
  65. P3 0:00Period start
  66. P3 0:45Shot by Williams, saved by Francouz
  67. P3 1:05Shot by Fleury, saved by Francouz
  68. P3 1:10Shot by Williams, saved by Francouz
  69. P3 1:14Shot by Skjei, saved by Francouz
  70. P3 2:46Shot by Johnson, saved by Forsberg
  71. P3 2:58Shot by Martinook, saved by Francouz
  72. P3 3:04Zadorov: Interference (2 min)

    On ice: CAR Williams, Staal, Gardiner, van Riemsdyk, Foegele · COL Cole, Nieto, Zadorov, Bellemare, Kaut

  73. P3 3:38Shot by Aho, saved by Francouz5v4
  74. P3 3:48Shot by Svechnikov, saved by Francouz5v4
  75. P3 3:57Shot by Williams, saved by Francouz5v4
  76. P3 3:59Shot by Williams, saved by Francouz5v4
  77. P3 5:29Shot by MacKinnon, saved by Forsberg
  78. P3 5:40Shot by Staal, saved by Francouz
  79. P3 5:54Goal by Teravainen (Aho, Skjei)+14 pts WP

    On ice: CAR Skjei, Teravainen, Fleury, Aho, Svechnikov · COL Cole, Burakovsky, Compher, Nichushkin, Zadorov

  80. P3 6:09Shot by Nichushkin, saved by Forsberg
  81. P3 6:11Shot by Nichushkin, saved by Forsberg
  82. P3 7:42Shot by MacKinnon, saved by Forsberg
  83. P3 7:55Goal by Teravainen (Slavin, Aho)+32 pts WP

    On ice: CAR Dzingel, Teravainen, Slavin, Fleury, Aho · COL Johnson, Cole, Landeskog, Namestnikov, Kamenev

  84. P3 8:07Shot by Cole, saved by Forsberg
  85. P3 9:43Shot by Foegele, saved by Francouz
  86. P3 10:02Shot by Slavin, saved by Francouz
  87. P3 12:49Shot by Makar, saved by Forsberg
  88. P3 13:03Shot by Foegele, saved by Francouz
  89. P3 15:14Shot by Teravainen, saved by Francouz
  90. P3 17:23Goal by Girard (Landeskog, Namestnikov)+44 pts WP

    On ice: CAR Edmundson, Slavin, Aho, Necas, Svechnikov · COL Johnson, Landeskog, Namestnikov, MacKinnon, Girard

  91. P3 0:00Period end6v5
  92. P3 0:00Final