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Ice Lab

Sun, Mar 1, 2020·Madison Square Garden, New York

Philadelphia Flyers 5, New York Rangers 3

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Philadelphia Flyers win this game 59% of the time.

NYR winsPHI wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 0:23Lindgren: Hooking (2 min)

    On ice: NYR Fast, Strome, Panarin, Fox, Lindgren · PHI Niskanen, Hayes, Laughton, Konecny, Provorov

  3. P1 0:38Shot by Voracek, saved by Lundqvist4v5
  4. P1 1:48Shot by Sanheim, saved by Lundqvist4v5
  5. P1 1:52Goal by Niskanen (Aube-Kubel, Sanheim)4v5+19 pts WP

    On ice: NYR Staal, Zibanejad, Trouba, Howden · PHI Niskanen, van Riemsdyk, Hayes, Sanheim, Aube-Kubel

  6. P1 2:02Shot by Grant, saved by Lundqvist
  7. P1 3:28Shot by Laughton, saved by Lundqvist
  8. P1 3:39Shot by Couturier, saved by Lundqvist
  9. P1 4:50Shot by DeAngelo, saved by Hart
  10. P1 4:58Shot by Aube-Kubel, saved by Lundqvist
  11. P1 5:10Shot by Myers, saved by Lundqvist
  12. P1 5:36Laughton: Hooking (2 min)6v5

    On ice: NYR Smith, Fast, Strome, Trouba, Lemieux · PHI Braun, Hayes, Laughton, Hagg, Konecny

  13. P1 6:03Shot by DeAngelo, saved by Hart5v4
  14. P1 7:14Shot by Buchnevich, saved by Hart5v4
  15. P1 7:48Shot by Kakko, saved by Hart
  16. P1 9:25Shot by Zibanejad, saved by Hart
  17. P1 9:38Shot by Buchnevich, saved by Hart
  18. P1 10:46Strome: Hooking (2 min)

    On ice: NYR Staal, Fast, Strome, DeAngelo, Panarin · PHI Niskanen, Giroux, Voracek, Couturier, Provorov

  19. P1 11:17Shot by Voracek, saved by Lundqvist4v5
  20. P1 11:19Goal by Couturier (Voracek, Konecny)4v5+13 pts WP

    On ice: NYR Staal, Fast, Zibanejad, Lindgren · PHI Giroux, Voracek, Couturier, Konecny, Provorov

  21. P1 13:19Shot by Voracek, saved by Lundqvist
  22. P1 14:36Shot by Strome, saved by Hart
  23. P1 15:19Shot by Raffl, saved by Lundqvist
  24. P1 16:16Hayes: Tripping (2 min)

    On ice: NYR Smith, Fast, Strome, Trouba, Panarin · PHI Hayes, Laughton, Sanheim, Konecny, Myers

  25. P1 17:03Shot by Panarin, saved by Hart5v4
  26. P1 17:53Goal by Raffl (Grant)5v4+9 pts WP

    On ice: NYR Strome, Zibanejad, Buchnevich, DeAngelo, Panarin · PHI Niskanen, Grant, Raffl, Provorov

  27. P1 19:09Shot by Gauthier, saved by Hart
  28. P1 0:00Period end
  29. P2 0:00Period start
  30. P2 1:23Goal by Grant (Pitlick, Sanheim)+5 pts WP

    On ice: NYR Fox, Lindgren, Howden, Chytil, Kakko · PHI van Riemsdyk, Grant, Pitlick, Sanheim, Myers

  31. P2 2:15Shot by Buchnevich, saved by Hart
  32. P2 5:16Shot by McKegg, saved by Hart
  33. P2 8:38Shot by Thompson, saved by Lundqvist
  34. P2 8:39Lemieux: Unsportsmanlike conduct (2 min)

    On ice: NYR Smith, Trouba, Lemieux, Chytil, Kakko · PHI Thompson, Raffl, Sanheim, Aube-Kubel, Myers

  35. P2 8:39Lemieux: Misconduct (10 min)4v5

    On ice: NYR Smith, Trouba, Lemieux, Chytil, Kakko · PHI Thompson, Raffl, Sanheim, Aube-Kubel, Myers

  36. P2 9:30Shot by Voracek, saved by Lundqvist4v5
  37. P2 9:40Shot by Konecny, saved by Lundqvist4v5
  38. P2 11:52Shot by DeAngelo, saved by Hart
  39. P2 12:17Thompson: High sticking (2 min)

    On ice: NYR Zibanejad, Di Giuseppe, Buchnevich, DeAngelo, Fox · PHI Thompson, Niskanen, Braun, Raffl, Aube-Kubel

  40. P2 12:34Goal by Zibanejad (Panarin, DeAngelo)5v4+3 pts WP

    On ice: NYR Strome, Zibanejad, Buchnevich, DeAngelo, Panarin · PHI Niskanen, Grant, Couturier, Provorov

  41. P2 13:20Sanheim: Tripping (2 min)

    On ice: NYR Fast, Zibanejad, DeAngelo, Panarin, Fox · PHI Hayes, Laughton, Sanheim, Konecny, Myers

  42. P2 13:57Shot by Zibanejad, saved by Hart5v4
  43. P2 15:29Strome: Slashing (2 min)

    On ice: NYR Strome, Zibanejad, Buchnevich, DeAngelo, Panarin · PHI Braun, Grant, Pitlick, Hagg, Sanheim

  44. P2 15:34Goal by Konecny (Voracek, Provorov)4v5+3 pts WP

    On ice: NYR Smith, Fast, Trouba, Howden · PHI Giroux, Voracek, Couturier, Konecny, Provorov

  45. P2 17:13Howden: Tripping (2 min)

    On ice: NYR Staal, Zibanejad, Buchnevich, DeAngelo, Howden · PHI Niskanen, Hayes, Laughton, Konecny, Provorov

  46. P2 18:26Shot by Niskanen, saved by Lundqvist4v5
  47. P2 18:28Shot by Niskanen, saved by Lundqvist4v5
  48. P2 0:00Period end
  49. P3 0:00Period start
  50. P3 3:22Shot by Panarin, saved by Hart
  51. P3 3:25Shot by Trouba, saved by Hart
  52. P3 3:48Shot by Giroux, saved by Lundqvist
  53. P3 5:21Niskanen: Interference (2 min)

    On ice: NYR Smith, Zibanejad, Di Giuseppe, Trouba, Buchnevich · PHI Niskanen, Hayes, Laughton, Konecny, Provorov

  54. P3 5:33Goal by Buchnevich (DeAngelo, Zibanejad)5v4+1 pts WP

    On ice: NYR Zibanejad, Buchnevich, DeAngelo, Panarin, Howden · PHI Thompson, Braun, Couturier, Sanheim

  55. P3 6:35Shot by Giroux, saved by Lundqvist
  56. P3 7:27Shot by Provorov, saved by Lundqvist
  57. P3 8:16Shot by Aube-Kubel, saved by Lundqvist
  58. P3 8:49Shot by Di Giuseppe, saved by Hart
  59. P3 8:53Shot by Di Giuseppe, saved by Hart
  60. P3 8:57Shot by Di Giuseppe, saved by Hart
  61. P3 11:04Shot by Fox, saved by Hart
  62. P3 11:29Thompson: Tripping (2 min)

    On ice: NYR Smith, Fast, Zibanejad, Trouba, Kakko · PHI Thompson, Raffl, Sanheim, Aube-Kubel, Myers

  63. P3 12:09Shot by DeAngelo, saved by Hart5v4
  64. P3 12:39Goal by Zibanejad (Panarin, Howden)5v4+2 pts WP

    On ice: NYR Zibanejad, Buchnevich, DeAngelo, Panarin, Howden · PHI Niskanen, Couturier, Raffl, Provorov

  65. P3 12:49Shot by Pitlick, saved by Lundqvist
  66. P3 12:52Shot by Grant, saved by Lundqvist
  67. P3 14:41Shot by Zibanejad, saved by Hart
  68. P3 15:38Shot by Zibanejad, saved by Hart
  69. P3 19:04Shot by Fox, saved by Hart6v5
  70. P3 0:00Period end6v5
  71. P3 0:00Final