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Ice Lab

Sun, Mar 1, 2020·Xcel Energy Center, St. Paul

Washington Capitals 4, Minnesota Wild 3

Away

Washington Capitals

4

Final

Home

Minnesota Wild

3

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Minnesota Wild win this game 51% of the time.

MIN winsWSH wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 0:41Shot by Fiala, saved by Holtby
  3. P1 1:13Shot by Greenway, saved by Holtby
  4. P1 2:20Shot by Galchenyuk, saved by Holtby
  5. P1 3:01Goal by Donato (Suter)+13 pts WP

    On ice: MIN Koivu, Suter, Spurgeon, Hartman, Donato · WSH Orlov, Panik, Dowd, Hathaway, Kempny

  6. P1 4:59Shot by Galchenyuk, saved by Holtby
  7. P1 5:26Shot by Eller, saved by Stalock
  8. P1 5:29Pateryn: Tripping (2 min)

    On ice: MIN Pateryn, Foligno, Zuccarello, Hunt, Galchenyuk · WSH Kovalchuk, Hagelin, Eller, Orlov, Kempny

  9. P1 6:12Stalock: High sticking (2 min)4v5

    On ice: MIN Suter, Spurgeon, Foligno, Eriksson Ek · WSH Ovechkin, Oshie, Backstrom, Carlson, Vrana

  10. P1 6:44Shot by Oshie, saved by Stalock3v5
  11. P1 7:21Goal by Ovechkin (Carlson, Backstrom)3v5+13 pts WP

    On ice: MIN Koivu, Suter, Hartman · WSH Ovechkin, Oshie, Backstrom, Carlson, Kuznetsov

  12. P1 7:28Shot by Eriksson Ek, saved by Holtby4v5
  13. P1 8:28Shot by Dumba, saved by Holtby
  14. P1 8:43Shot by Hunt, saved by Holtby
  15. P1 9:26Shot by Zuccarello, saved by Holtby
  16. P1 9:47Shot by Hagelin, saved by Stalock
  17. P1 9:51Shot by Dowd, saved by Stalock
  18. P1 10:28Goal by Panik (Hagelin)+20 pts WP

    On ice: MIN Koivu, Brodin, Dumba, Hartman, Donato · WSH Hagelin, Eller, Carlson, Panik, Kempny

  19. P1 10:59Goal by Ovechkin (Kuznetsov, Kovalchuk)+14 pts WP

    On ice: MIN Parise, Brodin, Dumba, Greenway, Eriksson Ek · WSH Kovalchuk, Ovechkin, Carlson, Dillon, Kuznetsov

  20. P1 11:23Shot by Orlov, saved by Stalock
  21. P1 11:43Shot by Spurgeon, saved by Holtby
  22. P1 11:56Backstrom: Slashing (2 min)

    On ice: MIN Staal, Suter, Spurgeon, Fiala, Mayhew · WSH Oshie, Backstrom, Orlov, Vrana, Kempny

  23. P1 13:13Goal by Fiala (Spurgeon, Hunt)5v4+13 pts WP

    On ice: MIN Staal, Parise, Spurgeon, Hunt, Fiala · WSH Hagelin, Dowd, Siegenthaler, Kempny

  24. P1 14:01Shot by Brodin, saved by Holtby
  25. P1 15:26Shot by Mayhew, saved by Holtby
  26. P1 16:09Shot by Hagelin, saved by Stalock
  27. P1 16:22Shot by Carlson, saved by Stalock
  28. P1 17:21Shot by Zuccarello, saved by Holtby
  29. P1 18:52Shot by Donato, saved by Holtby
  30. P1 18:56Shot by Dillon, saved by Stalock
  31. P1 18:57Hartman: Fighting (5 min)

    On ice: MIN Koivu, Brodin, Dumba, Hartman, Donato · WSH Kovalchuk, Ovechkin, Carlson, Dillon, Kuznetsov

  32. P1 18:57Dillon: Fighting (5 min)4v5

    On ice: MIN Koivu, Brodin, Dumba, Hartman, Donato · WSH Kovalchuk, Ovechkin, Carlson, Dillon, Kuznetsov

  33. P1 18:57Hartman: Slashing (2 min)

    On ice: MIN Koivu, Brodin, Dumba, Hartman, Donato · WSH Kovalchuk, Ovechkin, Carlson, Dillon, Kuznetsov

  34. P1 18:57Kovalchuk: Roughing (2 min)4v5

    On ice: MIN Koivu, Brodin, Dumba, Hartman, Donato · WSH Kovalchuk, Ovechkin, Carlson, Dillon, Kuznetsov

  35. P1 18:57Kovalchuk: Roughing (2 min)4v4

    On ice: MIN Koivu, Brodin, Dumba, Hartman, Donato · WSH Kovalchuk, Ovechkin, Carlson, Dillon, Kuznetsov

  36. P1 0:00Period end5v4
  37. P2 0:00Period start
  38. P2 0:22Shot by Jensen, saved by Stalock5v4
  39. P2 1:47Shot by Greenway, saved by Holtby
  40. P2 2:15Shot by Vrana, saved by Stalock
  41. P2 4:03Shot by Wilson, saved by Stalock
  42. P2 4:06Shot by Ovechkin, saved by Stalock
  43. P2 4:18Shot by Eller, saved by Stalock
  44. P2 4:22Shot by Kovalchuk, saved by Stalock
  45. P2 8:05Shot by Hathaway, saved by Stalock
  46. P2 8:07Shot by Hathaway, saved by Stalock
  47. P2 8:30Shot by Suter, saved by Holtby
  48. P2 8:31Hathaway: Roughing (2 min)

    On ice: MIN Suter, Parise, Spurgeon, Greenway, Eriksson Ek · WSH Panik, Jensen, Dowd, Hathaway, Siegenthaler

  49. P2 8:31Greenway: Roughing (2 min)5v4

    On ice: MIN Suter, Parise, Spurgeon, Greenway, Eriksson Ek · WSH Panik, Jensen, Dowd, Hathaway, Siegenthaler

  50. P2 8:31Panik: Roughing (2 min)4v4

    On ice: MIN Suter, Parise, Spurgeon, Greenway, Eriksson Ek · WSH Panik, Jensen, Dowd, Hathaway, Siegenthaler

  51. P2 8:31Suter: Roughing (2 min)5v4

    On ice: MIN Suter, Parise, Spurgeon, Greenway, Eriksson Ek · WSH Panik, Jensen, Dowd, Hathaway, Siegenthaler

  52. P2 8:40Shot by Dumba, saved by Holtby4v4
  53. P2 10:06Shot by Donato, saved by Holtby4v4
  54. P2 10:12Shot by Donato, saved by Holtby4v4
  55. P2 11:43Shot by Eriksson Ek, saved by Holtby4v4
  56. P2 12:46Carlson: Tripping (2 min)4v4

    On ice: MIN Parise, Pateryn, Dumba, Hartman, Eriksson Ek · WSH Oshie, Backstrom, Carlson, Dillon, Vrana

  57. P2 14:19Shot by Dumba, saved by Holtby5v4
  58. P2 17:28Shot by Vrana, saved by Stalock
  59. P2 19:14Shot by Foligno, saved by Holtby
  60. P2 0:00Period end
  61. P3 0:00Period start
  62. P3 0:40Goal by Wilson (Ovechkin, Kuznetsov)+15 pts WP

    On ice: MIN Suter, Parise, Spurgeon, Greenway, Eriksson Ek · WSH Ovechkin, Carlson, Dillon, Kuznetsov, Wilson

  63. P3 0:53Shot by Greenway, saved by Holtby
  64. P3 1:11Shot by Dumba, saved by Holtby
  65. P3 1:14Shot by Greenway, saved by Holtby
  66. P3 1:42Shot by Pateryn, saved by Holtby
  67. P3 1:50Shot by Hunt, saved by Holtby
  68. P3 2:57Shot by Dowd, saved by Stalock
  69. P3 4:51Shot by Hunt, saved by Holtby
  70. P3 4:56Shot by Eriksson Ek, saved by Holtby
  71. P3 5:14Shot by Oshie, saved by Stalock
  72. P3 5:21Shot by Carlson, saved by Stalock
  73. P3 6:39Shot by Zuccarello, saved by Holtby
  74. P3 6:51Shot by Ovechkin, saved by Stalock
  75. P3 8:33Shot by Backstrom, saved by Stalock
  76. P3 8:38Shot by Kovalchuk, saved by Stalock
  77. P3 10:11Shot by Vrana, saved by Stalock
  78. P3 10:29Shot by Galchenyuk, saved by Holtby
  79. P3 10:35Shot by Spurgeon, saved by Holtby
  80. P3 11:40Kempny: Interference (2 min)

    On ice: MIN Staal, Brodin, Dumba, Fiala, Donato · WSH Orlov, Panik, Dowd, Hathaway, Kempny

  81. P3 12:01Shot by Hagelin, saved by Stalock5v4
  82. P3 12:42Shot by Dumba, saved by Holtby5v4
  83. P3 12:52Shot by Parise, saved by Holtby5v4
  84. P3 12:53Goal by Parise (Fiala)5v4+10 pts WP

    On ice: MIN Staal, Suter, Parise, Spurgeon, Fiala · WSH Orlov, Dowd, Dillon, Wilson

  85. P3 15:09Shot by Staal, saved by Holtby
  86. P3 15:24Shot by Hunt, saved by Holtby
  87. P3 16:57Shot by Fiala, saved by Holtby
  88. P3 17:21Shot by Carlson, saved by Stalock
  89. P3 19:39Shot by Fiala, saved by Holtby6v5
  90. P3 0:00Period end6v5
  91. P3 0:00Final