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Ice Lab

Thu, Mar 5, 2020·Canadian Tire Centre, Ottawa

New York Islanders 3, Ottawa Senators 4

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Ottawa Senators win this game 59% of the time.

OTT winsNYI wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 0:46Shot by Reilly, saved by Varlamov
  3. P1 1:56Shot by Dobson, saved by Anderson
  4. P1 2:07Ryan: Tripping (2 min)

    On ice: OTT Ryan, Peca, Chabot, Balcers, Zaitsev · NYI Greene, Clutterbuck, Nelson, Dal Colle, Dobson

  5. P1 2:16Shot by Eberle, saved by Anderson4v5
  6. P1 3:09Shot by Eberle, saved by Anderson4v5
  7. P1 3:58Goal by Lee (Barzal, Brassard)4v5+20 pts WP

    On ice: OTT Hainsey, Tierney, Brown, Zaitsev · NYI Brassard, Eberle, Lee, Toews, Barzal

  8. P1 4:23Shot by Martin, saved by Anderson
  9. P1 4:42Shot by Dobson, saved by Anderson
  10. P1 5:37Shot by Balcers, saved by Varlamov
  11. P1 5:47Shot by Tierney, saved by Varlamov
  12. P1 6:06Shot by Lee, saved by Anderson
  13. P1 6:14Toews: Tripping (2 min)

    On ice: OTT Tierney, Brown, Chabot, Zaitsev, Tkachuk · NYI Eberle, Leddy, Lee, Toews, Barzal

  14. P1 7:00Shot by Brown, saved by Varlamov5v4
  15. P1 7:13Shot by Duclair, saved by Varlamov5v4
  16. P1 8:51Dobson: Tripping (2 min)

    On ice: OTT Hainsey, Peca, Paul, Hawryluk, Chabot · NYI Eberle, Lee, Toews, Barzal, Dobson

  17. P1 10:30Shot by Reilly, saved by Varlamov5v4
  18. P1 11:09Shot by Lee, saved by Anderson
  19. P1 11:28Shot by Pulock, saved by Anderson
  20. P1 13:04Shot by Ryan, saved by Varlamov
  21. P1 13:21Shot by Zaitsev, saved by Varlamov
  22. P1 13:56Shot by Zaitsev, saved by Varlamov
  23. P1 13:57Goal by Brown (Zaitsev, Reilly)+20 pts WP

    On ice: OTT Reilly, Tierney, Brown, Zaitsev, Tkachuk · NYI Eberle, Lee, Mayfield, Toews, Barzal

  24. P1 15:33Shot by Duclair, saved by Varlamov
  25. P1 16:26Shot by Dal Colle, saved by Anderson
  26. P1 17:07Shot by Brown, saved by Varlamov
  27. P1 17:46Shot by Pageau, saved by Anderson
  28. P1 19:38Shot by Duclair, saved by Varlamov
  29. P1 0:00Period end
  30. P2 0:00Period start
  31. P2 0:12Shot by Bailey, saved by Anderson
  32. P2 1:04Shot by Ryan, saved by Varlamov
  33. P2 3:37Shot by Beauvillier, saved by Anderson
  34. P2 3:41Shot by Mayfield, saved by Anderson
  35. P2 4:18Goal by Barzal (Eberle, Toews)+22 pts WP

    On ice: OTT Hainsey, White, Chabot, Balcers, Tkachuk · NYI Eberle, Lee, Mayfield, Pulock, Barzal

  36. P2 4:34Shot by Chabot, saved by Varlamov
  37. P2 4:35Tkachuk: Interference goalkeeper (2 min)

    On ice: OTT Hainsey, Tierney, Brown, Chabot, Tkachuk · NYI Brassard, Leddy, Nelson, Pulock, Dal Colle

  38. P2 5:21Shot by Lee, saved by Anderson4v5
  39. P2 6:01Shot by Nelson, saved by Anderson4v5
  40. P2 6:32Shot by Pulock, saved by Anderson4v5
  41. P2 6:33Shot by Nelson, saved by Anderson4v5
  42. P2 8:36Shot by Zaitsev, saved by Varlamov
  43. P2 8:51Shot by Zaitsev, saved by Varlamov
  44. P2 9:02Hawryluk: High sticking (2 min)

    On ice: OTT Peca, Reilly, Hawryluk, Balcers, Zaitsev · NYI Greene, Eberle, Lee, Barzal, Dobson

  45. P2 10:00Goal by Boedker (Tierney)4v5+24 pts WP

    On ice: OTT Hainsey, Boedker, Reilly, Tierney · NYI Brassard, Bailey, Nelson, Pulock, Beauvillier

  46. P2 10:36Shot by Pageau, saved by Anderson4v5
  47. P2 11:59Shot by Bailey, saved by Anderson
  48. P2 12:11Shot by Mayfield, saved by Anderson
  49. P2 12:41Shot by Greene, saved by Anderson
  50. P2 13:45Shot by Toews, saved by Anderson
  51. P2 14:26Goal by Duclair (Hawryluk, White)+20 pts WP

    On ice: OTT Hainsey, Duclair, Hawryluk, White, Chabot · NYI Bailey, Pageau, Pulock, Beauvillier, Dobson

  52. P2 14:42Shot by Lee, saved by Anderson
  53. P2 16:19Shot by Chabot, saved by Varlamov
  54. P2 19:12Shot by Pageau, saved by Anderson
  55. P2 19:43Shot by Lee, saved by Anderson
  56. P2 19:48Shot by Eberle, saved by Anderson
  57. P2 0:00Period end
  58. P3 0:00Period start
  59. P3 0:55Shot by Barzal, saved by Anderson
  60. P3 1:10Shot by Barzal, saved by Anderson
  61. P3 4:32Shot by Barzal, saved by Anderson
  62. P3 4:59Shot by Eberle, saved by Anderson
  63. P3 7:20Shot by Brown, saved by Varlamov
  64. P3 7:55Shot by Pulock, saved by Anderson
  65. P3 7:59Shot by Pulock, saved by Anderson
  66. P3 8:48White: Tripping (2 min)

    On ice: OTT Brown, White, Chabot, Zaitsev, Tkachuk · NYI Eberle, Lee, Mayfield, Toews, Barzal

  67. P3 8:57Shot by Pulock, saved by Anderson4v5
  68. P3 11:30Shot by Chabot, saved by Varlamov
  69. P3 11:47Shot by Duclair, saved by Varlamov
  70. P3 12:18Shot by Brown, saved by Varlamov
  71. P3 12:22Greene: Tripping (2 min)

    On ice: OTT Hainsey, Tierney, Brown, Chabot, Tkachuk · NYI Greene, Leddy, Lee, Pageau, Barzal

  72. P3 12:37Shot by Tkachuk, saved by Varlamov5v4
  73. P3 13:09Shot by Duclair, saved by Varlamov5v4
  74. P3 13:36Shot by Chabot, saved by Varlamov5v4
  75. P3 14:21Shot by Reilly, saved by Varlamov5v4
  76. P3 14:44Shot by Eberle, saved by Anderson
  77. P3 16:55Goal by Tkachuk, unassisted+8 pts WP

    On ice: OTT Reilly, Tierney, Brown, Zaitsev, Tkachuk · NYI Bailey, Leddy, Nelson, Dal Colle, Toews

  78. P3 17:38Shot by Nelson, saved by Anderson5v6
  79. P3 18:00Goal by Pulock (Barzal, Toews)5v6+5 pts WP

    On ice: OTT Hainsey, Tierney, Brown, Paul, Chabot · NYI Eberle, Lee, Nelson, Pulock, Toews, Barzal

  80. P3 19:23Shot by Nelson, saved by Anderson5v6
  81. P3 19:39Shot by Barzal, saved by Anderson5v6
  82. P3 0:00Period end5v6
  83. P3 0:00Final