Fri, Mar 6, 2020·Honda Center, Anaheim
Toronto Maple Leafs 1, Anaheim Ducks 2
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Toronto Maple Leafs win this game 54% of the time.
39%
10%
44%
ANA winsTOR wins
Toronto Maple Leafs
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 2 | 24:43 | 0.12 | 49.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 23:03 | 0.49 | 46.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 22:26 | 0.22 | 41.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 5 | 21:18 | 0.64 | 52.5% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 5 | 20:56 | 0.52 | 48.0% | +7.2 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 20:53 | 0.03 | 26.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 20:27 | 0.03 | 31.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 19:51 | 0.01 | 44.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 2 | 17:42 | 0.05 | 48.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 16:18 | 0.47 | 78.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 15:32 | 0.33 | 73.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 14:38 | 0.00 | 39.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 14:07 | 0.00 | 40.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 13:10 | 0.06 | 32.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12:09 | 0.02 | 73.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 8:29 | 0.12 | 7.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 6:36 | 0.05 | 7.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 6:12 | 0.00 | 6.2% | 0.0 |
| L | 28 | 26 | 2 | .929 | 2.99 | +1.0 | 57:26 |
Anaheim Ducks
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 3 | 23:43 | 0.48 | 45.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +2 | 2 | 23:18 | 0.05 | 57.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 2 | 22:47 | 0.07 | 45.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 3 | 21:41 | 0.36 | 44.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 21:24 | 0.05 | 63.3% | +13.3 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 19:35 | 0.07 | 62.2% | +14.1 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 19:04 | 0.08 | 50.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 17:31 | 0.10 | 63.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 16:34 | 0.10 | 72.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 16:21 | 0.27 | 54.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 15:54 | 0.22 | 71.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 14:43 | 0.01 | 54.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 13:17 | 0.38 | 61.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 13:14 | 0.25 | 38.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 13:05 | 0.01 | 36.9% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 11:16 | 0.25 | 81.6% | +13.3 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 6:01 | 0.05 | 81.6% | +13.3 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 4:51 | 0.19 | 81.6% | 0.0 |
| – | 5 | 4 | 1 | .800 | 0.63 | −0.4 | 9:40 | |
| W | 26 | 26 | 0 | 1.000 | 2.51 | +2.5 | 50:01 |