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Ice Lab

Sat, Mar 7, 2020·American Airlines Center, Dallas

Nashville Predators 1, Dallas Stars 0

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Nashville Predators win this game 64% of the time.

DAL winsNSH wins

Who was on the ice

Model-based

Line matchups and every shift of the game.

Line matchups

DAL forward lines and defence pairs (rows) against NSH's (columns) at 5-on-5. Darker cells shared more ice; the second number is xG for–against in that time. Click a cell to highlight it below.

Jarnkrok–Johansen–SissonsBonino–Smith–GrimaldiDuchene–Granlund–ForsbergTurris–Arvidsson–TreninDuchene–Jarnkrok–SissonsBonino–Smith–GranlundDuchene–Forsberg–ArvidssonJosi–EllisEkholm–FabbroHolzer–TinordiHolzer–FabbroEllis–FabbroJosi–FabbroEllis–Ekholm
Pavelski–Janmark–Hintz2:360.09–0.230:440.09–0.002:350.04–0.011:150.00–0.011:470.01–0.233:150.21–0.00
Perry–Benn–Seguin4:030.46–0.060:460.01–0.000:440.02–0.004:140.47–0.062:020.08–0.07
Comeau–Cogliano–Faksa4:310.00–0.660:450.13–0.000:420.00–0.092:410.00–0.440:320.00–0.000:470.13–0.00
Benn–Dowling–Seguin3:320.07–0.292:290.07–0.051:570.04–0.240:510.00–0.05
Perry–Dickinson–Gurianov0:340.00–0.001:560.00–0.100:450.00–0.001:230.00–0.101:370.00–0.000:310.00–0.00
Pavelski–Hintz–Gurianov1:130.48–0.110:380.10–0.000:470.00–0.001:090.00–0.000:590.17–0.111:460.41–0.00
Comeau–Janmark–Dickinson0:420.14–0.001:010.08–0.060:470.14–0.001:010.08–0.06
Perry–Seguin–Dickinson0:530.00–0.050:520.00–0.03
Klingberg–Lindell3:240.31–0.001:570.18–0.244:040.15–0.462:440.04–0.030:300.02–0.005:080.27–0.245:250.31–0.403:250.17–0.00
Johns–Heiskanen4:410.27–0.351:580.01–0.241:330.10–0.172:120.05–0.011:080.04–0.050:330.00–0.001:040.08–0.066:130.27–0.134:320.06–0.631:170.10–0.050:590.04–0.001:040.08–0.06
Polak–Oleksiak1:180.00–0.073:190.08–0.142:010.14–0.101:420.13–0.001:490.14–0.091:340.00–0.143:220.08–0.021:180.13–0.000:430.00–0.07
Klingberg–Oleksiak0:380.00–0.001:100.04–0.00
Klingberg–Heiskanen0:450.00–0.00
Shift chart

Every shift, one row per player.

P1P2P3EndBenn FDowling FSeguin FCogliano FFaksa FComeau FDickinson FGurianov FPerry FJanmark FPavelski FHintz FHeiskanen DJohns DKlingberg DLindell DOleksiak DPolak DBishop GSissons FJarnkrok FJohansen FForsberg FGranlund FDuchene FGrimaldi FBonino FSmith FTrenin FTurris FArvidsson FEllis DJosi DEkholm DFabbro DHolzer DTinordi DSaros G
DALNSHFull-height lines are goals; short ticks at the top are shots. Hover to see who was on the ice.

Shift totals

John KlingbergDAL2427:131:083:2752
Ryan EllisNSH3025:450:521:5317
Roman JosiNSH2824:100:521:5336
Esa LindellDAL2422:340:563:0563
Miro HeiskanenDAL2421:550:552:4370
Mattias EkholmNSH2521:500:521:5304
Tyler SeguinDAL2821:460:471:4155
Mikael GranlundNSH2420:530:521:4245
Dante FabbroNSH2120:501:001:3812
Jamie BennDAL2419:090:481:4761
Stephen JohnsDAL2217:570:491:1951
Matt DucheneNSH1917:020:541:3123
Corey PerryDAL1816:550:561:5132
Roope HintzDAL1916:270:521:3560
Denis GurianovDAL2016:270:492:0340
Ryan JohansenNSH2316:180:432:1706
Joe PavelskiDAL2116:100:461:2772
Nick BoninoNSH2215:560:431:0919
Colton SissonsNSH2015:140:461:5506
Filip ForsbergNSH1815:060:501:3452
Jason DickinsonDAL1614:240:541:4703
Kyle TurrisNSH1614:180:541:3421
Calle JarnkrokNSH2113:580:401:5504
Craig SmithNSH1613:510:521:2323
Jamie OleksiakDAL1713:440:481:1734
Blake ComeauDAL1813:360:452:0103
Mattias JanmarkDAL1413:180:571:3320
Korbinian HolzerNSH1813:090:441:5032
Roman PolakDAL1612:350:471:3713
Radek FaksaDAL1812:340:421:0713
Viktor ArvidssonNSH1412:260:531:5001
Rocco GrimaldiNSH1511:330:461:2623
Jarred TinordiNSH1611:050:421:5023
Andrew CoglianoDAL199:040:290:5711
Yakov TreninNSH118:360:471:2101
Justin DowlingDAL108:290:511:2520