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Ice Lab

Sat, Mar 7, 2020·Madison Square Garden, New York

New Jersey Devils 6, New York Rangers 4

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, New Jersey Devils win this game 71% of the time.

NYR winsNJD wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 0:31Shot by Buchnevich, saved by Blackwood
  3. P1 0:33Shot by Di Giuseppe, saved by Blackwood
  4. P1 1:09Shot by Panarin, saved by Blackwood
  5. P1 1:57Shot by Smith, saved by Blackwood
  6. P1 2:10Shot by Gauthier, saved by Blackwood
  7. P1 3:41Shot by Trouba, saved by Blackwood
  8. P1 4:21Shot by Mueller, saved by Shesterkin
  9. P1 5:10Shot by Gusev, saved by Shesterkin
  10. P1 5:34Goal by Chytil (Gauthier, Fox)+14 pts WP

    On ice: NYR Staal, Panarin, Fox, Gauthier, Chytil · NJD Claesson, Carrick, Gusev, Zacha, Bratt

  11. P1 5:54Shot by Hayden, saved by Shesterkin
  12. P1 6:12Shot by Rooney, saved by Shesterkin
  13. P1 6:22Goal by Palmieri (Mermis, Severson)+14 pts WP

    On ice: NYR Staal, DeAngelo, Gauthier, Howden, Chytil · NJD Palmieri, Severson, Mermis, Rooney, McLeod

  14. P1 6:42Shot by Mueller, saved by Shesterkin
  15. P1 7:18Goal by Zibanejad (Fox, Buchnevich)+14 pts WP

    On ice: NYR Zibanejad, Di Giuseppe, Buchnevich, Fox, Lindgren · NJD Subban, Palmieri, Carrick, Wood, Hischier

  16. P1 7:41Shot by Lindgren, saved by Blackwood
  17. P1 9:03Shot by Trouba, saved by Blackwood
  18. P1 9:42Shot by Rooney, saved by Shesterkin
  19. P1 10:24Shot by Hischier, saved by Shesterkin
  20. P1 10:33Shot by Carrick, saved by Shesterkin
  21. P1 11:14Hischier: Delaying game puck over glass (2 min)

    On ice: NYR Smith, Fast, Strome, Trouba, Panarin · NJD Claesson, Carrick, Anderson, Hischier, Hughes

  22. P1 12:58Shot by Subban, saved by Shesterkin5v4
  23. P1 13:16Shot by Rooney, saved by Shesterkin
  24. P1 13:44Shot by Di Giuseppe, saved by Blackwood
  25. P1 15:31Severson: Cross checking (2 min)

    On ice: NYR Smith, Fast, Strome, Zibanejad, Trouba, Panarin · NJD Palmieri, Severson, Wood, Mermis, Hischier

  26. P1 16:41Shot by Buchnevich, saved by Blackwood5v4
  27. P1 19:57Shot by Hughes, saved by Shesterkin
  28. P1 0:00Period end
  29. P2 0:00Period start
  30. P2 0:42Shot by Wood, saved by Shesterkin
  31. P2 0:44Goal by Palmieri (Wood, Mermis)+16 pts WP

    On ice: NYR Zibanejad, Di Giuseppe, Buchnevich, Fox, Lindgren · NJD Palmieri, Severson, Wood, Mermis, Hischier

  32. P2 1:07Shot by Strome, saved by Blackwood
  33. P2 1:16Shot by Smith, saved by Blackwood
  34. P2 1:36Goal by Claesson (Gusev)+22 pts WP

    On ice: NYR Smith, Trouba, Gauthier, Howden, Chytil · NJD Claesson, Carrick, Gusev, Zacha, Bratt

  35. P2 2:06Shot by Hayden, saved by Shesterkin
  36. P2 2:25Shot by Lemieux, saved by Blackwood
  37. P2 3:25Shot by Zibanejad, saved by Blackwood6v5
  38. P2 3:29McLeod: Tripping (2 min)6v5

    On ice: NYR Staal, Zibanejad, Di Giuseppe, Buchnevich, DeAngelo, Panarin · NJD Palmieri, Wood, Mueller, Mermis, McLeod

  39. P2 4:10Shot by Strome, saved by Blackwood5v4
  40. P2 4:43Shot by Buchnevich, saved by Blackwood5v4
  41. P2 5:35Shot by Lemieux, saved by Blackwood
  42. P2 7:11Shot by Gauthier, saved by Blackwood
  43. P2 10:44Shot by Gusev, saved by Shesterkin
  44. P2 11:13Shot by Carrick, saved by Shesterkin
  45. P2 11:52Shot by Howden, saved by Blackwood
  46. P2 12:50Shot by Anderson, saved by Shesterkin
  47. P2 13:34Shot by Di Giuseppe, saved by Blackwood
  48. P2 14:31Shot by Fox, saved by Blackwood
  49. P2 14:33Shot by Strome, saved by Blackwood
  50. P2 14:42Shot by Wood, saved by Shesterkin
  51. P2 14:46Fox: Tripping (2 min)

    On ice: NYR Fast, Strome, DeAngelo, Panarin, Fox · NJD Subban, Palmieri, Wood, Mueller, Hischier

  52. P2 16:19Goal by Zajac (Hischier, Subban)4v5+15 pts WP

    On ice: NYR Smith, Zibanejad, Trouba, Howden · NJD Zajac, Subban, Palmieri, Hischier, Hughes

  53. P2 16:44Goal by Hayden (Severson)+7 pts WP

    On ice: NYR Di Giuseppe, Panarin, Fox, Lindgren, Chytil · NJD Severson, Hayden, Mermis, Rooney, McLeod

  54. P2 17:45Shot by Lemieux, saved by Blackwood
  55. P2 18:11Shot by Palmieri, saved by Shesterkin
  56. P2 19:26Shot by Trouba, saved by Blackwood
  57. P2 0:00Period end
  58. P3 0:00Period start
  59. P3 0:50Shot by Hughes, saved by Lundqvist
  60. P3 2:03Shot by Gusev, saved by Lundqvist
  61. P3 3:05Shot by DeAngelo, saved by Blackwood
  62. P3 6:01Shot by Panarin, saved by Blackwood
  63. P3 6:40Shot by Lindgren, saved by Blackwood
  64. P3 8:13Shot by Bratt, saved by Lundqvist
  65. P3 12:40Shot by Bratt, saved by Lundqvist
  66. P3 13:42Goal by McKegg (Smith, Buchnevich)+2 pts WP

    On ice: NYR Smith, McKegg, Trouba, Buchnevich, Gauthier · NJD Zajac, Severson, Mermis, Anderson, Hughes

  67. P3 14:44Shot by Rooney, saved by Lundqvist
  68. P3 16:34Shot by Lemieux, saved by Blackwood
  69. P3 16:40Shot by Lemieux, saved by Blackwood
  70. P3 17:30Shot by Buchnevich, saved by Blackwood6v5
  71. P3 19:04Goal by Zajac, unassisted6v50 pts WP

    On ice: NYR Strome, Zibanejad, Panarin, Fox, Gauthier, Kakko · NJD Zajac, Severson, Mermis, Zacha, Anderson

  72. P3 19:17Goal by DeAngelo (McKegg, Howden)0 pts WP

    On ice: NYR McKegg, Di Giuseppe, DeAngelo, Lindgren, Howden · NJD Claesson, Carrick, Gusev, Zacha, Bratt

  73. P3 19:25Shot by Di Giuseppe, saved by Blackwood
  74. P3 0:00Period end6v5
  75. P3 0:00Final