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Ice Lab

Tue, Mar 10, 2020·American Airlines Center, Dallas

New York Rangers 4, Dallas Stars 2

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Dallas Stars win this game 58% of the time.

DAL winsNYR wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 0:19Goal by Fox (Panarin)+16 pts WP

    On ice: DAL Perry, Benn, Johns, Seguin, Heiskanen · NYR Fast, Strome, Panarin, Fox, Lindgren

  3. P1 0:34Shot by Zibanejad, saved by Bishop
  4. P1 1:22Shot by Pavelski, saved by Shesterkin
  5. P1 3:13Shot by Trouba, saved by Bishop
  6. P1 3:30Shot by Di Giuseppe, saved by Bishop5v4
  7. P1 5:36Shot by Smith, saved by Bishop5v4
  8. P1 6:40Shot by Panarin, saved by Bishop5v4
  9. P1 7:47Shot by Faksa, saved by Shesterkin
  10. P1 10:12Goal by Zibanejad (Lemieux, Buchnevich)5v4+13 pts WP

    On ice: DAL Comeau, Johns, Faksa, Dickinson, Heiskanen · NYR Zibanejad, Buchnevich, Lemieux, Fox, Lindgren

  11. P1 10:22Shot by Janmark, saved by Shesterkin5v4
  12. P1 11:22Shot by Lindell, saved by Shesterkin4v5
  13. P1 11:27Shot by Klingberg, saved by Shesterkin
  14. P1 12:20Shot by Janmark, saved by Shesterkin4v5
  15. P1 13:22Trouba: Tripping (2 min)

    On ice: DAL Comeau, Klingberg, Faksa, Lindell, Janmark · NYR Smith, Zibanejad, Di Giuseppe, Trouba, Buchnevich

  16. P1 13:46Gurianov: Roughing (2 min)

    On ice: DAL Pavelski, Benn, Seguin, Klingberg, Gurianov · NYR Staal, Fast, Strome, Lindgren

  17. P1 13:46Lindgren: Roughing (2 min)

    On ice: DAL Pavelski, Benn, Seguin, Klingberg, Gurianov · NYR Staal, Fast, Strome, Lindgren

  18. P1 13:46Gurianov: Roughing (2 min)5v4

    On ice: DAL Pavelski, Benn, Seguin, Klingberg, Gurianov · NYR Staal, Fast, Strome, Lindgren

  19. P1 14:34Shot by Zibanejad, saved by Bishop4v5
  20. P1 14:42Shot by Janmark, saved by Shesterkin
  21. P1 15:07Shot by Strome, saved by Bishop
  22. P1 16:05Shot by Cogliano, saved by Shesterkin
  23. P1 16:32Comeau: Tripping (2 min)

    On ice: DAL Comeau, Oleksiak, Faksa, Janmark, Heiskanen · NYR Smith, Zibanejad, Di Giuseppe, Trouba, Buchnevich

  24. P1 17:51Shot by Lemieux, saved by Bishop
  25. P1 18:41Shot by Comeau, saved by Shesterkin5v4
  26. P1 0:00Period end
  27. P2 0:00Period start
  28. P2 1:03Shot by Benn, saved by Shesterkin
  29. P2 2:31Shot by Lindgren, saved by Bishop
  30. P2 3:21Shot by Smith, saved by Bishop
  31. P2 4:15Shot by Lemieux, saved by Bishop
  32. P2 6:37Shot by Klingberg, saved by Shesterkin
  33. P2 7:03Goal by Kakko (Howden, Fast)+8 pts WP

    On ice: DAL Perry, Klingberg, Oleksiak, Hintz, Gurianov · NYR Staal, Fast, Fox, Howden, Kakko

  34. P2 9:01Shot by Sekera, saved by Shesterkin
  35. P2 9:59Shot by Benn, saved by Shesterkin
  36. P2 10:18Shot by Kakko, saved by Bishop5v4
  37. P2 10:59Shot by Cogliano, saved by Shesterkin
  38. P2 11:15Shot by Comeau, saved by Shesterkin
  39. P2 11:20Benn: Fighting (5 min)

    On ice: DAL Pavelski, Benn, Seguin · NYR Smith, Fast, Strome, Trouba, Panarin

  40. P2 11:20Smith: Fighting (5 min)

    On ice: DAL Pavelski, Benn, Seguin · NYR Smith, Fast, Strome, Trouba, Panarin

  41. P2 12:15Shot by Oleksiak, saved by Shesterkin4v5
  42. P2 12:31Shot by Zibanejad, saved by Bishop
  43. P2 13:28Shot by Heiskanen, saved by Shesterkin
  44. P2 13:30Cogliano: Slashing (2 min)5v4

    On ice: DAL Comeau, Cogliano, Klingberg, Faksa, Heiskanen · NYR McKegg, Lemieux, Fox, Lindgren, Gauthier

  45. P2 13:30Lindgren: Slashing (2 min)5v4

    On ice: DAL Comeau, Cogliano, Klingberg, Faksa, Heiskanen · NYR McKegg, Lemieux, Fox, Lindgren, Gauthier

  46. P2 14:14Shot by DeAngelo, saved by Bishop4v4
  47. P2 15:28Shot by Dickinson, saved by Shesterkin4v4
  48. P2 15:51Shot by Dickinson, saved by Shesterkin
  49. P2 17:18Goal by Kakko (Zibanejad, Fox)+2 pts WP

    On ice: DAL Benn, Dowling, Seguin, Lindell, Heiskanen · NYR Zibanejad, Buchnevich, Fox, Lindgren, Kakko

  50. P2 18:01Shot by Buchnevich, saved by Bishop
  51. P2 19:45Di Giuseppe: Tripping (2 min)

    On ice: DAL Benn, Johns, Seguin, Janmark, Heiskanen · NYR Smith, Zibanejad, Di Giuseppe, Fox, Howden

  52. P2 19:59Shot by Heiskanen, saved by Shesterkin
  53. P2 0:00Period end
  54. P3 0:00Period start
  55. P3 0:20Shot by Strome, saved by Bishop
  56. P3 1:08Shot by Hintz, saved by Shesterkin
  57. P3 1:12Shot by Hintz, saved by Shesterkin
  58. P3 1:16Shot by Heiskanen, saved by Shesterkin
  59. P3 1:23Goal by Hintz (Heiskanen, Perry)+2 pts WP

    On ice: DAL Perry, Faksa, Lindell, Hintz, Heiskanen · NYR Staal, Zibanejad, Lindgren, Howden

  60. P3 3:11Shot by Gauthier, saved by Bishop
  61. P3 3:53Shot by Klingberg, saved by Shesterkin
  62. P3 5:20Shot by Gurianov, saved by Shesterkin
  63. P3 5:22Shot by Dickinson, saved by Shesterkin
  64. P3 5:35Shot by Lindgren, saved by Bishop
  65. P3 5:52Shot by Benn, saved by Shesterkin
  66. P3 6:42Shot by DeAngelo, saved by Bishop
  67. P3 7:03Shot by Di Giuseppe, saved by Bishop
  68. P3 10:15Shot by Trouba, saved by Bishop
  69. P3 11:50Shot by Heiskanen, saved by Shesterkin
  70. P3 11:52Goal by Cogliano (Heiskanen, Pavelski)+2 pts WP

    On ice: DAL Pavelski, Cogliano, Johns, Faksa, Heiskanen · NYR Fox, Lindgren, Gauthier, Howden, Kakko

  71. P3 12:58Shot by Di Giuseppe, saved by Bishop
  72. P3 13:17Shot by Lemieux, saved by Bishop
  73. P3 13:55Shot by Faksa, saved by Shesterkin
  74. P3 15:30Smith: Tripping (2 min)

    On ice: DAL Perry, Pavelski, Johns, Seguin, Janmark, Heiskanen · NYR Smith, Strome, Di Giuseppe, Trouba, Panarin

  75. P3 17:49Shot by Perry, saved by Shesterkin
  76. P3 19:56Shot by Gurianov, saved by Shesterkin
  77. P3 0:00Period end
  78. P3 0:00Final