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Ice Lab

Thu, Jan 14, 2021·KeyBank Center, Buffalo

Washington Capitals 6, Buffalo Sabres 4

Away

Washington Capitals

6

Final

Home

Buffalo Sabres

4

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Washington Capitals win this game 75% of the time.

BUF winsWSH wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 0:07Shot by Backstrom, saved by Hutton
  3. P1 0:15Shot by Ovechkin, saved by Hutton
  4. P1 2:07Shot by Lazar, saved by Samsonov
  5. P1 2:32Shot by Hathaway, saved by Hutton
  6. P1 2:42Shot by Oshie, saved by Hutton
  7. P1 5:04Shot by Panik, saved by Hutton
  8. P1 5:43Goal by Backstrom (Ovechkin, Oshie)+17 pts WP

    On ice: BUF Sheahan, Skinner, Ristolainen, Lazar, Montour · WSH Ovechkin, Oshie, Backstrom, Schultz, Dillon

  9. P1 7:46Shot by Vrana, saved by Hutton
  10. P1 8:30Oshie: Elbowing (2 min)

    On ice: BUF Sheahan, Skinner, Lazar, Montour, Dahlin · WSH Chara, Ovechkin, Oshie, Backstrom, Jensen

  11. P1 8:48Goal by Hall (Olofsson, Eichel)5v4+16 pts WP

    On ice: BUF Hall, Reinhart, Olofsson, Eichel, Dahlin · WSH Chara, Hagelin, Eller, Jensen

  12. P1 9:12Shot by Dahlin, saved by Samsonov
  13. P1 9:34Dahlin: Holding (2 min)

    On ice: BUF Hall, Montour, Eichel, Thompson, Dahlin · WSH Carlson, Orlov, Kuznetsov, Wilson, Vrana

  14. P1 9:46Shot by Carlson, saved by Hutton4v5
  15. P1 10:30Shot by Ovechkin, saved by Hutton4v5
  16. P1 10:33Goal by Oshie (Ovechkin, Carlson)4v5+17 pts WP

    On ice: BUF Sheahan, McCabe, Ristolainen, Lazar · WSH Ovechkin, Oshie, Backstrom, Carlson, Panik

  17. P1 11:02Shot by Staal, saved by Samsonov
  18. P1 12:36Shot by Carlson, saved by Hutton
  19. P1 13:57Shot by Sheahan, saved by Samsonov
  20. P1 14:45Shot by Chara, saved by Hutton
  21. P1 16:26Shot by Olofsson, saved by Samsonov
  22. P1 17:03Shot by Eichel, saved by Samsonov
  23. P1 18:51Shot by Cozens, saved by Samsonov
  24. P1 19:19Shot by Oshie, saved by Hutton
  25. P1 19:33Shot by Vrana, saved by Hutton
  26. P1 0:00Period end
  27. P2 0:00Period start
  28. P2 1:26Shot by Schultz, saved by Hutton
  29. P2 2:07Shot by Miller, saved by Samsonov
  30. P2 2:26Shot by Hagelin, saved by Hutton
  31. P2 2:40Dowd: Holding (2 min)6v5

    On ice: BUF Staal, Hall, Montour, Eichel, Thompson, Dahlin · WSH Chara, Hagelin, Jensen, Dowd, Hathaway

  32. P2 3:20Shot by Thompson, saved by Samsonov5v4
  33. P2 7:05Goal by Carlson (Oshie, Backstrom)+16 pts WP

    On ice: BUF Hall, McCabe, Eichel, Thompson, Jokiharju · WSH Chara, Ovechkin, Oshie, Backstrom, Carlson

  34. P2 11:19Miller: Cross checking (2 min)

    On ice: BUF Eakin, Sheahan, Rieder, Miller, Jokiharju · WSH Hagelin, Schultz, Dowd, Dillon, Hathaway

  35. P2 12:07Shot by Carlson, saved by Hutton4v5
  36. P2 12:41Shot by Lazar, saved by Samsonov4v5
  37. P2 13:03Shot by Vrana, saved by Hutton4v5
  38. P2 13:18Shot by Vrana, saved by Hutton4v5
  39. P2 13:23Goal by Dillon (Sheary, Eller)+7 pts WP

    On ice: BUF Staal, McCabe, Reinhart, Montour, Olofsson · WSH Oshie, Eller, Orlov, Dillon, Sheary

  40. P2 13:43Shot by Dahlin, saved by Samsonov
  41. P2 13:51Shot by Reinhart, saved by Samsonov
  42. P2 15:00Shot by Ristolainen, saved by Samsonov
  43. P2 17:21Shot by Backstrom, saved by Hutton
  44. P2 17:36Shot by Carlson, saved by Hutton
  45. P2 18:25Shot by Rieder, saved by Samsonov
  46. P2 18:42Shot by Rieder, saved by Samsonov
  47. P2 18:46Goal by Rieder (Cozens, McCabe)+7 pts WP

    On ice: BUF Eakin, Rieder, McCabe, Ristolainen, Cozens · WSH Oshie, Eller, Carlson, Orlov, Sheary

  48. P2 0:00Period end
  49. P3 0:00Period start
  50. P3 0:20Goal by McCabe (Eichel, Thompson)+16 pts WP

    On ice: BUF Hall, McCabe, Ristolainen, Eichel, Thompson · WSH Ovechkin, Oshie, Backstrom, Carlson, Orlov

  51. P3 0:46Goal by Vrana, unassisted+16 pts WP

    On ice: BUF Staal, Miller, Reinhart, Olofsson, Jokiharju · WSH Schultz, Dillon, Kuznetsov, Wilson, Vrana

  52. P3 1:16Shot by Dahlin, saved by Samsonov
  53. P3 5:26Shot by Dahlin, saved by Samsonov
  54. P3 8:05Shot by Skinner, saved by Samsonov
  55. P3 8:07Shot by Skinner, saved by Samsonov
  56. P3 8:35Shot by Panik, saved by Hutton
  57. P3 10:04Dowd: Illegal check to head (2 min)

    On ice: BUF Staal, McCabe, Ristolainen, Reinhart, Olofsson · WSH Hagelin, Carlson, Orlov, Dowd, Hathaway

  58. P3 10:44Shot by Hall, saved by Samsonov5v4
  59. P3 11:25Shot by Thompson, saved by Samsonov5v4
  60. P3 14:47Shot by Ovechkin, saved by Hutton
  61. P3 15:27McCabe: Fighting (5 min)

    On ice: BUF Skinner, McCabe, Lazar, Reinhart, Jokiharju · WSH Backstrom, Carlson, Panik, Dillon, Sheary

  62. P3 15:27Dillon: Fighting (5 min)4v5

    On ice: BUF Skinner, McCabe, Lazar, Reinhart, Jokiharju · WSH Backstrom, Carlson, Panik, Dillon, Sheary

  63. P3 17:28Shot by Carlson, saved by Hutton
  64. P3 18:04Shot by Reinhart, saved by Samsonov6v5
  65. P3 18:06Goal by Olofsson (Hall, Reinhart)6v5+6 pts WP

    On ice: BUF Eakin, Hall, Reinhart, Olofsson, Eichel, Dahlin · WSH Eller, Carlson, Orlov, Kuznetsov, Wilson

  66. P3 18:57Goal by Hathaway (Jensen)6v5+6 pts WP

    On ice: BUF Eakin, Hall, Reinhart, Olofsson, Eichel, Dahlin · WSH Chara, Hagelin, Jensen, Dowd, Hathaway

  67. P3 0:00Period end6v5
  68. P3 0:00Final