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Ice Lab

Thu, Jan 14, 2021·Madison Square Garden, New York

New York Islanders 4, New York Rangers 0

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, New York Islanders win this game 73% of the time.

NYR winsNYI wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 0:21Shot by Zibanejad, saved by Varlamov
  3. P1 1:48Shot by Barzal, saved by Shesterkin
  4. P1 1:49Johnson: Holding the stick (2 min)

    On ice: NYR Johnson, Trouba, Gauthier, Chytil, Lafrenière · NYI Greene, Eberle, Lee, Barzal, Dobson

  5. P1 1:58Shot by Bailey, saved by Shesterkin4v5
  6. P1 2:33Goal by Nelson (Beauvillier, Leddy)4v5+15 pts WP

    On ice: NYR Rooney, Fox, Lindgren, Howden · NYI Bailey, Leddy, Nelson, Pageau, Beauvillier

  7. P1 3:37Shot by Lee, saved by Shesterkin
  8. P1 3:52Goal by Lee (Leddy)+13 pts WP

    On ice: NYR Strome, Trouba, Panarin, Miller, Kakko · NYI Eberle, Leddy, Lee, Mayfield, Barzal

  9. P1 4:07Shot by Chytil, saved by Varlamov
  10. P1 5:30Shot by Zibanejad, saved by Varlamov
  11. P1 6:31Shot by Pulock, saved by Shesterkin
  12. P1 7:21Shot by Chytil, saved by Varlamov
  13. P1 7:31Shot by DeAngelo, saved by Varlamov
  14. P1 8:33Bailey: Holding (2 min)

    On ice: NYR Kreider, Zibanejad, Trouba, Buchnevich, DeAngelo · NYI Bailey, Nelson, Mayfield, Beauvillier, Dobson

  15. P1 10:39Zibanejad: Slashing (2 min)

    On ice: NYR Kreider, Zibanejad, Trouba, DeAngelo, Panarin · NYI Bailey, Nelson, Mayfield, Pelech, Beauvillier

  16. P1 13:31Goal by Barzal (Clutterbuck)+9 pts WP

    On ice: NYR Johnson, DeAngelo, Gauthier, Chytil, Lafrenière · NYI Clutterbuck, Martin, Mayfield, Pulock, Barzal

  17. P1 14:23Lafrenière: Too many men on the ice (2 min)

    On ice: NYR Trouba, Rooney, Howden, Miller, Lafrenière · NYI Eberle, Pageau, Pelech, Bellows, Dobson

  18. P1 16:29Shot by Lee, saved by Shesterkin
  19. P1 16:40Shot by Barzal, saved by Shesterkin
  20. P1 17:43Shot by Kakko, saved by Varlamov
  21. P1 18:21Shot by Zibanejad, saved by Varlamov
  22. P1 18:27Shot by Zibanejad, saved by Varlamov
  23. P1 19:02Shot by Rooney, saved by Varlamov
  24. P1 19:59Shot by Lee, saved by Shesterkin
  25. P1 0:00Period end
  26. P2 0:00Period start
  27. P2 0:04Martin: Hooking (2 min)

    On ice: NYR Kreider, Zibanejad, Buchnevich, Fox, Lindgren · NYI Clutterbuck, Martin, Cizikas, Pelech, Pulock

  28. P2 0:36Shot by Panarin, saved by Varlamov5v4
  29. P2 1:09Shot by Kreider, saved by Varlamov5v4
  30. P2 2:07Shot by Lafrenière, saved by Varlamov
  31. P2 2:07Shot by Trouba, saved by Varlamov
  32. P2 2:58Lindgren: Charging (2 min)

    On ice: NYR Strome, Fox, Lindgren, Howden, Kakko · NYI Greene, Eberle, Lee, Barzal, Dobson

  33. P2 3:03Shot by Nelson, saved by Shesterkin4v5
  34. P2 3:14Shot by Leddy, saved by Shesterkin4v5
  35. P2 5:28Shot by Martin, saved by Shesterkin
  36. P2 6:17Shot by Miller, saved by Varlamov
  37. P2 7:31Shot by Gauthier, saved by Varlamov
  38. P2 7:37Shot by Gauthier, saved by Varlamov
  39. P2 8:21Shot by Bellows, saved by Shesterkin
  40. P2 8:33Shot by Kakko, saved by Varlamov
  41. P2 9:15Shot by Lemieux, saved by Varlamov
  42. P2 9:27Shot by Pulock, saved by Shesterkin
  43. P2 10:50Barzal: High sticking (2 min)

    On ice: NYR Johnson, Strome, Zibanejad, DeAngelo, Panarin, Gauthier · NYI Eberle, Leddy, Lee, Mayfield, Barzal

  44. P2 11:10Shot by Panarin, saved by Varlamov5v4
  45. P2 11:41Shot by Strome, saved by Varlamov5v4
  46. P2 13:23Shot by Barzal, saved by Shesterkin
  47. P2 14:13Lafrenière: Hooking (2 min)

    On ice: NYR Johnson, DeAngelo, Howden, Kakko, Lafrenière · NYI Eberle, Leddy, Barzal, Bellows, Dobson

  48. P2 14:54Goal by Lee (Eberle, Dobson)4v5+2 pts WP

    On ice: NYR Johnson, Trouba, Rooney, Howden · NYI Eberle, Lee, Pulock, Barzal, Dobson

  49. P2 15:06Shot by Cizikas, saved by Shesterkin
  50. P2 16:49Shot by Howden, saved by Varlamov
  51. P2 17:22Shot by Eberle, saved by Shesterkin
  52. P2 18:13Shot by Pelech, saved by Shesterkin
  53. P2 19:59Shot by Bailey, saved by Shesterkin
  54. P2 0:00Lemieux: Embellishment (2 min)

    On ice: NYR Johnson, Trouba, Lemieux, Rooney, Howden · NYI Leddy, Nelson, Pageau, Pulock, Beauvillier

  55. P2 0:00Pageau: Roughing (2 min)

    On ice: NYR Johnson, Trouba, Lemieux, Rooney, Howden · NYI Leddy, Nelson, Pageau, Pulock, Beauvillier

  56. P2 0:00Period end
  57. P3 0:00Period start
  58. P3 1:05DeAngelo: Holding (2 min)

    On ice: NYR Johnson, Buchnevich, DeAngelo, Panarin · NYI Leddy, Lee, Mayfield, Barzal

  59. P3 1:05DeAngelo: Unsportsmanlike conduct (2 min)4v5

    On ice: NYR Johnson, Buchnevich, DeAngelo, Panarin · NYI Leddy, Lee, Mayfield, Barzal

  60. P3 2:04Shot by Lee, saved by Shesterkin3v5
  61. P3 4:43Shot by Zibanejad, saved by Varlamov3v5
  62. P3 6:18Shot by Pageau, saved by Shesterkin4v5
  63. P3 8:04Shot by Barzal, saved by Shesterkin4v5
  64. P3 8:21Shot by Lee, saved by Shesterkin4v5
  65. P3 8:43Shot by Lee, saved by Shesterkin4v5
  66. P3 8:44Shot by Eberle, saved by Shesterkin4v5
  67. P3 9:41Shot by Clutterbuck, saved by Shesterkin4v5
  68. P3 9:52Shot by Martin, saved by Shesterkin4v5
  69. P3 10:06Shot by Trouba, saved by Varlamov4v5
  70. P3 11:57Shot by Kreider, saved by Varlamov4v5
  71. P3 12:17Shot by Bailey, saved by Shesterkin4v5
  72. P3 12:37Shot by Beauvillier, saved by Shesterkin4v5
  73. P3 12:54Shot by Mayfield, saved by Shesterkin4v5
  74. P3 18:33Zibanejad: Slashing (2 min)4v5

    On ice: NYR Zibanejad, Lemieux, Fox, Lindgren, Lafrenière · NYI Eberle, Lee, Pelech, Pulock, Barzal

  75. P3 19:46Shot by Leddy, saved by Shesterkin3v5
  76. P3 0:00Period end3v5
  77. P3 0:00Lee: Hooking (2 min)3v5

    On ice: NYR Strome, Buchnevich, Fox, Lindgren · NYI Bailey, Leddy, Lee, Barzal, Dobson

  78. P3 0:00Final