Fri, Jan 15, 2021·KeyBank Center, Buffalo
Washington Capitals 2, Buffalo Sabres 1
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Buffalo Sabres win this game 75% of the time.
67%
9%
16%
BUF winsWSH wins
Washington Capitals
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 22:19 | 0.49 | 25.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 22:15 | 0.00 | 23.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 3 | 20:06 | 0.18 | 61.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 19:25 | 0.01 | 45.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 19:13 | 0.02 | 60.6% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 1 | 2 | +1 | 1 | 18:44 | 0.05 | 46.4% | +54.3 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 17:30 | 0.01 | 37.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 17:19 | 0.01 | 46.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 16:22 | 0.24 | 26.4% | +32.9 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 16:16 | 0.07 | 16.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 3 | 14:58 | 0.10 | 68.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 14:51 | 0.03 | 35.9% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 13:56 | 0.17 | 66.9% | +21.4 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 13:55 | 0.08 | 27.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12:30 | 0.01 | 64.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12:24 | 0.11 | 60.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9:05 | 0.00 | 32.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8:52 | 0.00 | 62.6% | 0.0 |
| W | 31 | 30 | 1 | .968 | 2.94 | +1.9 | 60:00 |
Buffalo Sabres
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 3 | 23:23 | 0.18 | 84.0% | +28.5 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 0 | 21:36 | 0.20 | 76.8% | +28.5 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 21:31 | 0.16 | 25.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 2 | 21:25 | 0.41 | 70.4% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 3 | 20:51 | 0.12 | 75.2% | +28.5 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 4 | 19:51 | 0.36 | 49.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 19:39 | 0.48 | 77.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 4 | 19:13 | 0.05 | 29.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 17:43 | 0.15 | 49.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 17:36 | 0.25 | 84.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 3 | 15:35 | 0.09 | 58.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 14:28 | 0.29 | 63.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 14:15 | 0.00 | 23.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 12:49 | 0.11 | 18.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 12:42 | 0.10 | 33.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 12:17 | 0.00 | 25.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8:47 | 0.00 | 33.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8:21 | 0.00 | 61.6% | 0.0 |
| L | 21 | 19 | 2 | .905 | 1.11 | −0.9 | 57:58 |