Fri, Jan 15, 2021·KeyBank Center, Buffalo
Washington Capitals 2, Buffalo Sabres 1
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Buffalo Sabres win this game 75% of the time.
67%
9%
16%
BUF winsWSH wins
Who was on the ice
Model-basedLine matchups and every shift of the game.
BUF forward lines and defence pairs (rows) against WSH's (columns) at 5-on-5. Darker cells shared more ice; the second number is xG for–against in that time. Click a cell to highlight it below.
| Ovechkin–Oshie–Backstrom | Kuznetsov–Wilson–Vrana | Eller–Panik–Sheary | Hagelin–Dowd–Hathaway | Ovechkin–Backstrom–Wilson | Panik–Kuznetsov–Vrana | Oshie–Hagelin–Eller | Carlson–Orlov | Schultz–Dillon | Chara–Jensen | Schultz–Orlov | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Eakin–Rieder–Cozens | 1:360.05–0.07 | 1:180.00–0.18 | 0:540.01–0.00 | 0:440.00–0.00 | 0:460.00–0.02 | 2:330.04–0.20 | 2:170.00–0.09 | 1:510.02–0.15 | |||
| Hall–Eichel–Thompson | 1:560.50–0.03 | 1:090.11–0.02 | 0:400.00–0.00 | 1:370.02–0.00 | 3:140.50–0.00 | 1:450.09–0.03 | 0:350.02–0.00 | ||||
| Sheahan–Skinner–Lazar | 1:180.00–0.00 | 0:500.10–0.00 | 1:020.00–0.01 | 1:100.00–0.01 | 1:340.00–0.01 | 3:070.00–0.01 | 1:090.10–0.17 | ||||
| Staal–Reinhart–Olofsson | 0:340.00–0.00 | 0:310.02–0.00 | 1:220.02–0.02 | 1:260.02–0.01 | 0:530.01–0.00 | 1:540.02–0.00 | 1:390.02–0.03 | ||||
| Staal–Olofsson–Thompson | 1:010.00–0.00 | 0:460.00–0.00 | 1:060.00–0.00 | 1:410.00–0.06 | 1:120.00–0.07 | ||||||
| Hall–Reinhart–Eichel | 1:140.22–0.00 | 1:100.01–0.00 | 1:450.23–0.00 | 0:520.01–0.00 | 1:160.00–0.15 | ||||||
| Skinner–Reinhart–Eichel | 1:340.09–0.00 | 0:520.00–0.00 | 0:460.09–0.00 | ||||||||
| Eakin–Rieder–Reinhart | 0:320.00–0.00 | 0:500.00–0.00 | |||||||||
| Staal–Hall–Thompson | 0:490.00–0.00 | 0:410.00–0.00 | |||||||||
| McCabe–Ristolainen | 4:060.52–0.07 | 0:550.01–0.03 | 0:540.10–0.00 | 2:020.16–0.05 | 3:210.10–0.00 | 7:240.69–0.08 | 1:560.00–0.07 | 3:160.20–0.00 | |||
| Montour–Dahlin | 1:430.09–0.15 | 2:150.01–0.00 | 2:080.01–0.02 | 1:100.00–0.01 | 1:140.00–0.00 | 3:300.00–0.18 | 3:060.10–0.01 | 3:530.03–0.17 | |||
| Miller–Jokiharju | 1:000.02–0.00 | 1:500.00–0.02 | 0:550.01–0.02 | 1:220.00–0.17 | 1:560.01–0.02 | 5:280.07–0.08 | 2:150.00–0.25 | ||||
| McCabe–Montour | 0:380.02–0.02 | 1:020.00–0.00 | 0:300.00–0.00 | 0:330.00–0.00 | 0:450.00–0.01 | 0:390.00–0.01 | |||||
| Montour–Jokiharju | 1:070.02–0.03 | 0:420.00–0.00 | 0:300.00–0.00 | 1:080.00–0.03 | 1:190.03–0.00 | ||||||
| Miller–Dahlin | 0:480.00–0.00 | 1:190.00–0.00 | |||||||||
| Miller–Ristolainen | 0:500.06–0.00 | 1:020.13–0.00 | |||||||||
| Miller–McCabe | 0:570.22–0.00 | 1:080.22–0.00 |
Every shift, one row per player.
BUFWSHFull-height lines are goals; short ticks at the top are shots. Hover to see who was on the ice.
Shift totals
 Jack EichelBUF | 25 | 23:23 | 0:56 | 2:01 | 10 | 1 |
 John CarlsonWSH | 25 | 22:19 | 0:54 | 2:38 | 3 | 3 |
 Dmitry OrlovWSH | 23 | 22:15 | 0:58 | 3:39 | 4 | 2 |
 Taylor HallBUF | 22 | 21:36 | 0:59 | 2:01 | 10 | 0 |
 Rasmus DahlinBUF | 20 | 21:31 | 1:05 | 2:09 | 6 | 3 |
 Sam ReinhartBUF | 21 | 21:25 | 1:01 | 2:16 | 7 | 1 |
 Rasmus RistolainenBUF | 24 | 20:51 | 0:52 | 2:23 | 1 | 3 |
 Zdeno CharaWSH | 26 | 20:06 | 0:46 | 1:34 | 0 | 7 |
 Victor OlofssonBUF | 20 | 19:51 | 1:00 | 1:58 | 7 | 0 |
 Tage ThompsonBUF | 20 | 19:39 | 0:59 | 1:53 | 2 | 0 |
 Brenden DillonWSH | 27 | 19:25 | 0:43 | 1:30 | 3 | 1 |
 Brandon MontourBUF | 19 | 19:13 | 1:01 | 1:53 | 2 | 2 |
 Nick JensenWSH | 24 | 19:13 | 0:48 | 1:17 | 0 | 6 |
 Tom WilsonWSH | 23 | 18:44 | 0:49 | 1:20 | 2 | 0 |
 Eric StaalBUF | 21 | 17:43 | 0:51 | 1:17 | 3 | 0 |
 Jake McCabeBUF | 21 | 17:36 | 0:50 | 2:03 | 3 | 3 |
 Lars EllerWSH | 22 | 17:30 | 0:48 | 1:34 | 2 | 7 |
 Justin SchultzWSH | 22 | 17:19 | 0:47 | 1:30 | 3 | 0 |
 Nicklas BackstromWSH | 17 | 16:22 | 0:58 | 2:22 | 4 | 2 |
 T.J. OshieWSH | 16 | 16:16 | 1:01 | 2:22 | 2 | 1 |
 Colin MillerBUF | 20 | 15:35 | 0:47 | 1:39 | 1 | 2 |
 Evgeny KuznetsovWSH | 19 | 14:58 | 0:47 | 1:27 | 3 | 0 |
 Alex OvechkinWSH | 17 | 14:51 | 0:52 | 2:22 | 5 | 0 |
 Jeff SkinnerBUF | 19 | 14:28 | 0:46 | 1:17 | 2 | 1 |
 Henri JokiharjuBUF | 21 | 14:15 | 0:41 | 1:01 | 2 | 2 |
 Jakub VranaWSH | 18 | 13:56 | 0:46 | 1:27 | 1 | 0 |
 Carl HagelinWSH | 20 | 13:55 | 0:42 | 1:07 | 1 | 6 |
 Dylan CozensBUF | 19 | 12:49 | 0:40 | 1:51 | 1 | 2 |
 Tobias RiederBUF | 18 | 12:42 | 0:42 | 1:11 | 1 | 3 |
 Nic DowdWSH | 16 | 12:30 | 0:47 | 1:16 | 0 | 3 |
 Richard PanikWSH | 16 | 12:24 | 0:47 | 1:11 | 4 | 3 |
 Cody EakinBUF | 20 | 12:17 | 0:37 | 1:28 | 1 | 2 |
 Garnet HathawayWSH | 13 | 9:05 | 0:42 | 1:05 | 1 | 1 |
 Conor ShearyWSH | 14 | 8:52 | 0:38 | 1:15 | 1 | 3 |
 Curtis LazarBUF | 13 | 8:47 | 0:41 | 1:18 | 1 | 1 |
 Riley SheahanBUF | 12 | 8:21 | 0:42 | 0:59 | 1 | 1 |