Mon, Jan 18, 2021·Enterprise Center, St. Louis
San Jose Sharks 4, St. Louis Blues 5
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, St. Louis Blues win this game 68% of the time.
By period
Goals and shots on goal in each period.
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| SJS | 28 | 19 | 19 | 426 |
| STL | 013 | 412 | 18 | 533 |
Goals, with shots on goal in grey.
Scoring
Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.
- P1 11:38SJSKevin LabancAssists: Brent Burns, Logan Couture · Slap, 0.09 xG1–0
- P1 14:18SJSLogan CouturePPAssists: Tomas Hertl, Brent Burns · Wrist, 0.16 xG2–0
- P2 2:36STLJustin FaulkAssists: Ivan Barbashev, Carl Gunnarsson · Wrist, 0.14 xG2–1
- P2 4:09STLMike HoffmanAssists: Colton Parayko, Tyler Bozak · Slap, 0.16 xG2–2
- P2 12:06SJSBrent BurnsPPAssists: Evander Kane, Tomas Hertl · Wrist, 0.17 xG3–2
- P2 14:17STLBrayden SchennAssists: Jordan Kyrou · Wrist, 0.30 xG3–3
- P2 19:00STLJustin FaulkAssists: David Perron, Ryan O'Reilly · Tip-in, 0.09 xG3–4
- P3 4:17SJSLogan CoutureAssists: Kevin Labanc, Radim Simek · Wrist, 0.06 xG4–4
- P3 10:28STLJordan KyrouGWGAssists: Colton Parayko, Torey Krug · Wrist, 0.10 xG4–5
Penalties (6)
- P1 8:15SJSKevin Labanc: Slashing2 min
- P1 13:47STLOskar Sundqvist: Slashing2 min · PPG
- P1 14:28SJSNoah Gregor: Hooking2 min
- P2 0:29STLJustin Faulk: Tripping2 min
- P2 11:43STLRyan O'Reilly: Holding2 min · PPG
- P3 1:37SJSTomas Hertl: Tripping2 min
Replay
Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.
20:00
P1
- P1 20:00O'Reilly won the faceoff against Couture
- Goal
- Shot
- Miss
- Block
- Hit
- Takeaway
- Giveaway
- Faceoff
- Penalty
The numbers
Team totals, side by side.
Line combinations that worked
Model-basedEach team's forward lines and defence pairs at 5-on-5 (two minutes or more together), best first by expected goals for minus against.
San Jose Sharks
Forward lines
- bestCouture – Donato – Labanc3:48
xG 0.10–0.00 (98%)attempts 3–2goals 1–0
- Marleau – Sorensen – Handemark4:56
xG 0.00–0.00attempts 2–0goals 0–0
- Couture – Labanc – Meier6:18
xG 0.10–0.13 (42%)attempts 2–4goals 1–0
- Kane – Hertl – Meier3:27
xG 0.01–0.07 (14%)attempts 2–3goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- bestSimek – Knyzhov7:38
xG 0.18–0.10 (66%)attempts 8–4goals 1–0
- Karlsson – Knyzhov2:08
xG 0.05–0.05 (49%)attempts 1–1goals 0–0
- Burns – Simek3:08
xG 0.05–0.07 (40%)attempts 1–2goals 0–0
St. Louis Blues
Forward lines
- bestSchenn – Schwartz – Kyrou11:35
xG 1.01–0.09 (92%)attempts 12–4goals 2–0
- Perron – O'Reilly – Sanford11:38
xG 0.45–0.22 (68%)attempts 12–7goals 1–1
- Hoffman – Bozak – Thomas9:23
xG 0.17–0.06 (72%)attempts 2–6goals 1–0
- Clifford – Sundqvist – Barbashev4:31
xG 0.02–0.15 (10%)attempts 3–3goals 0–1
Defence pairs
- bestKrug – Parayko17:44
xG 1.20–0.36 (77%)attempts 17–10goals 2–0
- Scandella – Faulk15:55
xG 0.77–0.19 (80%)attempts 16–6goals 2–1
- Gunnarsson – Dunn9:25
xG 0.04–0.03 (54%)attempts 1–4goals 0–0
How the game flowed
Model-basedChance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.
Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.
Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute
Win probability
Model-basedHow each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.
STL's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line STL is favoured, below it SJS. Dots are goals.
Did the better team win?
Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.
Based on shot quality alone, St. Louis Blues win this game 68% of the time.
Simulated goal difference (STL − SJS), 10,000 replays
The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).