Wed, Jan 20, 2021·Enterprise Center, St. Louis
San Jose Sharks 2, St. Louis Blues 1 (SO)
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, San Jose Sharks win this game 74% of the time.
By period
Goals and shots on goal in each period.
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | OT | SO | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SJS | 09 | 111 | 017 | 01 | 1 | 238 |
| STL | 010 | 110 | 03 | 00 | 0 | 123 |
Goals, with shots on goal in grey.
Scoring
Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.
- P2 4:27STLBrayden SchennAssists: Jordan Kyrou, Vince Dunn · Wrist, 0.16 xG0–1
- P2 17:57SJSMarcus SorensenAssists: Matt Nieto, Mario Ferraro · Wrist, 0.14 xG1–1
Shootout
- 1. STL David Perron stopped
- 2. SJS Ryan Donato stopped
- 3. STL Ryan O'Reilly stopped
- 4. SJS Logan Couture stopped
- 5. STL Brayden Schenn stopped
- 6. SJS Kevin Labanc stopped
- 7. STL Jordan Kyrou stopped
- 8. SJS Tomas Hertl scored
Penalties (12)
- P1 4:07SJSEvander Kane: Slashing2 min
- P1 7:45STLDavid Perron: Hooking2 min
- P1 15:04STLColton Parayko: Delaying game puck over glass2 min
- P1 16:59SJSEvander Kane: Slashing2 min
- P1 17:13STLSammy Blais: Too many men on the ice2 min
- P2 8:29STLTorey Krug: Holding2 min
- P2 10:09STLOskar Sundqvist: Slashing2 min
- P2 10:16SJSEvander Kane: Tripping2 min
- P3 3:39SJSEvander Kane: Tripping2 min
- P3 8:30STLCarl Gunnarsson: Slashing2 min
- P3 10:19STLColton Parayko: Holding2 min
- OT 4:55SJSBrent Burns: Holding2 min
Replay
Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.
20:00
P1
- P1 20:00O'Reilly won the faceoff against Hertl
- Goal
- Shot
- Miss
- Block
- Hit
- Takeaway
- Giveaway
- Faceoff
- Penalty
The numbers
Team totals, side by side.
Line combinations that worked
Model-basedEach team's forward lines and defence pairs at 5-on-5 (two minutes or more together), best first by expected goals for minus against.
San Jose Sharks
Forward lines
- bestMarleau – Sorensen – Nieto5:10
xG 0.54–0.22 (71%)attempts 9–6goals 1–0
- Couture – Donato – Labanc7:54
xG 0.39–0.29 (57%)attempts 6–7goals 0–1
- Noesen – Gambrell – Leonard7:54
xG 0.06–0.02 (72%)attempts 4–3goals 0–0
- Kane – Hertl – Meier9:19
xG 0.21–0.42 (34%)attempts 7–8goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- bestBurns – Ferraro13:15
xG 0.43–0.16 (73%)attempts 10–8goals 1–0
- Simek – Knyzhov3:52
xG 0.25–0.02 (93%)attempts 3–1goals 0–0
- Karlsson – Knyzhov2:13
xG 0.02–0.04 (36%)attempts 3–1goals 0–0
St. Louis Blues
Forward lines
- bestSundqvist – Barbashev – Blais5:30
xG 0.18–0.02 (89%)attempts 7–3goals 0–0
- Perron – Hoffman – O'Reilly3:55
xG 0.21–0.05 (80%)attempts 5–1goals 0–0
- Hoffman – Bozak – Thomas4:00
xG 0.05–0.09 (35%)attempts 2–5goals 0–0
- Perron – O'Reilly – Sanford6:09
xG 0.35–0.46 (43%)attempts 8–6goals 0–1
Defence pairs
- bestFaulk – Dunn13:45
xG 0.59–0.34 (63%)attempts 15–6goals 0–0
- Krug – Parayko14:42
xG 0.54–0.54 (50%)attempts 15–12goals 1–1
- Gunnarsson – Mikkola7:33
xG 0.04–0.09 (31%)attempts 3–6goals 0–0
How the game flowed
Model-basedChance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.
Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.
Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute
Win probability
Model-basedHow each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.
STL's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line STL is favoured, below it SJS. Dots are goals.
Did the better team win?
Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.
Based on shot quality alone, San Jose Sharks win this game 74% of the time.
Simulated goal difference (STL − SJS), 10,000 replays
The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).