Fri, Jan 22, 2021·Capital One Arena, Washington
Buffalo Sabres 3, Washington Capitals 4 (SO)
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Buffalo Sabres win this game 53% of the time.
38%
10%
11%
41%
WSH winsBUF wins
Buffalo Sabres
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +2 | 2 | 26:39 | 0.02 | 68.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 25:44 | 0.11 | 31.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 25:08 | 0.53 | 83.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 23:31 | 0.22 | 90.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +2 | 2 | 23:22 | 0.06 | 81.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 22:54 | 0.03 | 74.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 22:28 | 0.09 | 47.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 18:13 | 0.00 | 62.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 16:35 | 0.03 | 34.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −1 | 4 | 14:25 | 0.33 | 34.3% | +18.8 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 13:30 | 0.18 | 47.9% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 13:24 | 0.05 | 41.8% | +20.7 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 0 | 13:12 | 0.03 | 69.4% | +21.8 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 12:54 | 0.13 | 43.9% | +18.8 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 12:53 | 0.17 | 69.4% | +21.8 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 12:15 | 0.11 | 56.8% | +21.8 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 2 | 10:08 | 0.03 | 41.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 8:34 | 0.00 | 44.4% | 0.0 |
| O | 32 | 29 | 3 | .906 | 2.04 | −1.0 | 65:00 |
Washington Capitals
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +2 | 6 | 28:37 | 0.26 | 44.1% | +18.8 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 23:31 | 0.01 | 50.9% | +19.8 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 3 | 20:56 | 0.33 | 68.5% | +19.8 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 20:13 | 0.01 | 52.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 19:52 | 0.00 | 17.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 3 | 19:12 | 0.02 | 19.6% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 19:10 | 0.09 | 23.0% | +18.8 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 19:08 | 0.10 | 80.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −1 | 1 | 19:08 | 0.06 | 32.0% | +21.6 | |
| 1 | 1 | 2 | +3 | 3 | 18:44 | 0.32 | 76.8% | +40.5 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 17:45 | 0.14 | 47.8% | +21.6 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 17:29 | 0.21 | 40.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 16:19 | 0.08 | 21.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 13:19 | 0.07 | 14.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 4 | 12:57 | 0.26 | 68.2% | +19.8 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 2 | 10:14 | 0.02 | 37.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 0 | 9:52 | 0.02 | 24.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 1 | 7:26 | 0.03 | 26.2% | 0.0 |
| W | 27 | 24 | 3 | .889 | 2.13 | −0.9 | 64:57 |