Fri, Jan 22, 2021·United Center, Chicago
Detroit Red Wings 1, Chicago Blackhawks 4
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Chicago Blackhawks win this game 58% of the time.
By period
Goals and shots on goal in each period.
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| DET | 010 | 012 | 19 | 131 |
| CHI | 112 | 15 | 211 | 428 |
Goals, with shots on goal in grey.
Scoring
Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.
- P1 13:22CHIPatrick KanePPAssists: Dylan Strome, Alex DeBrincat · Wrist, 0.16 xG0–1
- P2 7:53CHICalvin de HaanGWGAssists: Dylan Strome, Ian Mitchell · Slap, 0.03 xG0–2
- P3 6:17CHIAndrew ShawPPAssists: Patrick Kane, Alex DeBrincat · Wrist, 0.21 xG0–3
- P3 12:22DETDylan LarkinAssists: Marc Staal, Frans Nielsen · Wrist, 0.07 xG1–3
- P3 17:06CHIMattias JanmarkENAssists: Connor Murphy, Lucas Wallmark · Wrist, 0.62 xG1–4
Penalties (10)
- P1 12:16DETValtteri Filppula: Holding2 min · PPG
- P1 14:50CHIDominik Kubalik: Hooking2 min
- P2 0:55CHIDavid Kampf: Interference2 min
- P2 4:54CHIPatrick Kane: Unsportsmanlike conduct2 min
- P2 5:32DETMichael Rasmussen: Hooking2 min
- P2 15:31CHIAdam Boqvist: Hooking2 min
- P3 3:10DETFilip Hronek: Delaying game puck over glass2 min
- P3 5:52DETDanny DeKeyser: Interference2 min · PPG
- P3 15:20CHINikita Zadorov: Holding2 min
- P3 18:21DETTyler Bertuzzi: Slashing2 min
Replay
Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.
20:00
P1
- P1 20:00Glendening won the faceoff against Suter
- Goal
- Shot
- Miss
- Block
- Hit
- Takeaway
- Giveaway
- Faceoff
- Penalty
The numbers
Team totals, side by side.
Line combinations that worked
Model-basedEach team's forward lines and defence pairs at 5-on-5 (two minutes or more together), best first by expected goals for minus against.
Detroit Red Wings
Forward lines
- bestRyan – Mantha – Larkin5:48
xG 0.61–0.27 (69%)attempts 9–5goals 0–0
- Ryan – Mantha – Rasmussen3:40
xG 0.31–0.05 (87%)attempts 6–1goals 0–0
- Filppula – Nielsen – Helm3:54
xG 0.11–0.00 (100%)attempts 5–1goals 0–0
- Glendening – Bertuzzi – Brome4:03
xG 0.08–0.02 (82%)attempts 2–1goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- bestDjoos – DeKeyser5:32
xG 0.31–0.12 (72%)attempts 4–3goals 0–0
- Staal – Stecher9:51
xG 0.49–0.32 (61%)attempts 9–7goals 1–0
- Biega – DeKeyser5:42
xG 0.09–0.09 (49%)attempts 6–3goals 0–0
Chicago Blackhawks
Forward lines
- bestKubalik – Strome – Kurashev8:44
xG 0.70–0.24 (75%)attempts 10–7goals 0–0
- Kane – DeBrincat – Suter12:01
xG 0.49–0.35 (58%)attempts 9–8goals 0–0
- Shaw – Janmark – Wallmark5:52
xG 0.00–0.28 (0%)attempts 0–4goals 0–0
- Carpenter – Hagel – Kampf9:50
xG 0.26–0.58 (31%)attempts 5–9goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- bestMurphy – Zadorov11:57
xG 0.87–0.31 (74%)attempts 11–14goals 0–0
- de Haan – Mitchell11:03
xG 0.35–0.23 (60%)attempts 9–6goals 1–1
- Keith – Boqvist12:47
xG 0.37–0.71 (34%)attempts 6–11goals 0–0
How the game flowed
Model-basedChance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.
Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.
Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute
Win probability
Model-basedHow each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.
CHI's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line CHI is favoured, below it DET. Dots are goals.
Did the better team win?
Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.
Based on shot quality alone, Chicago Blackhawks win this game 58% of the time.
Simulated goal difference (CHI − DET), 10,000 replays
The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).