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Ice Lab

Fri, Jan 22, 2021·Scotiabank Arena, Toronto

Edmonton Oilers 2, Toronto Maple Leafs 4

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Edmonton Oilers win this game 50% of the time.

TOR winsEDM wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 3:19Shot by Kahun, saved by Andersen
  3. P1 3:38Shot by Nylander, saved by Koskinen
  4. P1 3:42Shot by Muzzin, saved by Koskinen
  5. P1 4:09Shot by Nurse, saved by Andersen
  6. P1 4:46Shot by Simmonds, saved by Koskinen
  7. P1 7:00Shot by Barrie, saved by Andersen
  8. P1 8:25Shot by Brodie, saved by Koskinen
  9. P1 8:51Shot by Tavares, saved by Koskinen
  10. P1 9:24Shot by McDavid, saved by Andersen
  11. P1 10:00Shot by Ennis, saved by Andersen
  12. P1 10:51Shot by Barabanov, saved by Koskinen
  13. P1 10:56Shot by Vesey, saved by Koskinen
  14. P1 12:41Shot by Kassian, saved by Andersen
  15. P1 12:51Shot by Larsson, saved by Andersen
  16. P1 15:05Shot by Bogosian, saved by Koskinen
  17. P1 16:07Shot by Nugent-Hopkins, saved by Andersen
  18. P1 17:03Shot by Koekkoek, saved by Andersen
  19. P1 17:04Shot by McDavid, saved by Andersen
  20. P1 17:50Shot by Yamamoto, saved by Andersen
  21. P1 18:15Shot by Engvall, saved by Koskinen
  22. P1 18:19Shot by Engvall, saved by Koskinen
  23. P1 18:36Shot by Simmonds, saved by Koskinen
  24. P1 19:31Shot by Engvall, saved by Koskinen
  25. P1 0:00Period end
  26. P2 0:00Period start
  27. P2 1:40Shot by McDavid, saved by Andersen
  28. P2 1:42Shot by McDavid, saved by Andersen
  29. P2 1:45Engvall: Hooking (2 min)

    On ice: TOR Simmonds, Bogosian, Engvall, Dermott, Mikheyev · EDM Turris, Ennis, Larsson, Koekkoek, Puljujarvi

  30. P2 3:37Shot by McDavid, saved by Andersen4v5
  31. P2 4:07Turris: Hooking (2 min)

    On ice: TOR Muzzin, Tavares, Holl, Nylander, Marner · EDM Turris, Nurse, Bear, Puljujarvi, Kahun

  32. P2 5:12Goal by Draisaitl (Yamamoto)5v4+23 pts WP

    On ice: TOR Simmonds, Rielly, Nylander, Marner, Brooks · EDM Nurse, Draisaitl, Bear, Yamamoto

  33. P2 5:31Shot by Brodie, saved by Koskinen5v4
  34. P2 5:55Goal by Brooks (Spezza, Brodie)5v4+22 pts WP

    On ice: TOR Spezza, Simmonds, Brodie, Kerfoot, Brooks · EDM Archibald, Larsson, Koekkoek, Shore

  35. P2 6:51Shot by Tavares, saved by Koskinen
  36. P2 7:55Shot by Engvall, saved by Koskinen
  37. P2 9:07Shot by Muzzin, saved by Koskinen
  38. P2 9:13Shot by Puljujarvi, saved by Andersen
  39. P2 9:38Shot by Marner, saved by Koskinen
  40. P2 11:16Goal by Vesey (Nylander, Kerfoot)+21 pts WP

    On ice: TOR Bogosian, Vesey, Kerfoot, Nylander, Dermott · EDM Neal, Archibald, Larsson, Koekkoek, Shore

  41. P2 12:53Shot by McDavid, saved by Andersen
  42. P2 13:34Shot by Bogosian, saved by Koskinen
  43. P2 14:13Shot by Draisaitl, saved by Andersen5v6
  44. P2 14:14Spezza: Hooking (2 min)5v6

    On ice: TOR Spezza, Bogosian, Dermott, Brooks, Barabanov · EDM Turris, Larsson, Koekkoek, Draisaitl, McDavid, Puljujarvi

  45. P2 14:29Shot by Neal, saved by Andersen4v5
  46. P2 14:33Shot by Neal, saved by Andersen4v5
  47. P2 16:58Shot by Puljujarvi, saved by Andersen
  48. P2 17:28Shot by Dermott, saved by Koskinen
  49. P2 0:00Period end
  50. P3 0:00Period start
  51. P3 0:50Goal by McDavid (Bear, Nugent-Hopkins)+25 pts WP

    On ice: TOR Brodie, Tavares, Hyman, Rielly, Marner · EDM Kassian, Nugent-Hopkins, Nurse, McDavid, Bear

  52. P3 1:34Shot by Dermott, saved by Koskinen
  53. P3 7:45Shot by Russell, saved by Andersen
  54. P3 10:11Shot by Hyman, saved by Koskinen
  55. P3 10:30Shore: Hooking (2 min)6v5

    On ice: TOR Brodie, Tavares, Hyman, Nylander, Dermott, Marner · EDM Neal, Russell, Kassian, Barrie, Shore

  56. P3 11:21Shot by Hyman, saved by Koskinen5v4
  57. P3 11:31Shot by Hyman, saved by Koskinen5v4
  58. P3 11:34Shot by Tavares, saved by Koskinen5v4
  59. P3 11:46Goal by Tavares (Marner, Nylander)5v4+29 pts WP

    On ice: TOR Tavares, Hyman, Rielly, Nylander, Marner · EDM Turris, Larsson, Koekkoek, Draisaitl

  60. P3 12:21Shot by Nugent-Hopkins, saved by Andersen
  61. P3 13:30Shot by Barrie, saved by Andersen
  62. P3 15:01Shot by Ennis, saved by Andersen
  63. P3 15:09Shot by Nurse, saved by Andersen
  64. P3 15:41Shot by Puljujarvi, saved by Andersen
  65. P3 15:55Shot by Puljujarvi, saved by Andersen
  66. P3 15:57Shot by Nugent-Hopkins, saved by Andersen
  67. P3 17:19Shot by Simmonds, saved by Koskinen
  68. P3 18:33Shot by Kahun, saved by Andersen
  69. P3 19:41Shot by Neal, saved by Andersen5v6
  70. P3 19:59Goal by Marner, unassisted5v6+3 pts WP

    On ice: TOR Brodie, Tavares, Hyman, Marner · EDM Neal, Barrie, Nugent-Hopkins, Draisaitl, McDavid, Yamamoto

  71. P3 0:00Period end
  72. P3 0:00Final