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Ice Lab

Sun, Jan 31, 2021·KeyBank Center, Buffalo

New Jersey Devils 5, Buffalo Sabres 3

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, New Jersey Devils win this game 87% of the time.

BUF winsNJD wins

Who was on the ice

Model-based

Line matchups and every shift of the game.

Line matchups

BUF forward lines and defence pairs (rows) against NJD's (columns) at 5-on-5. Darker cells shared more ice; the second number is xG for–against in that time. Click a cell to highlight it below.

Johnsson–Bratt–HughesWood–Bastian–McLeodZacha–Kuokkanen–BoqvistGusev–Maltsev–SharangovichMcLeod–Kuokkanen–BoqvistGusev–Sharangovich–HughesSubban–MurrayKulikov–TennysonSeverson–SmithKulikov–SeversonTennyson–SmithMurray–SmithMurray–SeversonSubban–KulikovKulikov–MurrayKulikov–Smith
Hall–Olofsson–Eichel1:580.02–0.863:310.61–0.005:170.90–0.226:510.61–0.172:470.26–0.390:330.00–0.000:370.00–0.860:500.09–0.000:380.62–0.00
Staal–Skinner–Cozens3:150.00–0.321:030.00–0.220:480.00–0.092:260.00–0.542:110.00–0.312:560.00–0.161:160.02–0.000:460.11–0.001:010.00–0.25
Okposo–Eakin–Rieder0:470.04–0.003:280.01–1.201:160.00–0.001:490.04–0.001:470.04–0.152:010.03–0.002:150.00–0.880:340.01–0.000:420.02–0.000:570.00–0.29
Sheahan–Lazar–Mittelstadt2:010.00–0.300:420.01–0.003:150.33–0.000:440.00–0.171:520.39–0.001:080.04–0.001:420.01–0.331:090.00–0.141:130.01–0.00
Staal–Skinner–Rieder1:320.00–0.240:360.00–0.001:130.00–0.26
McCabe–Ristolainen4:520.04–0.953:290.51–0.222:220.16–0.002:360.22–0.290:370.04–0.005:260.80–0.313:540.19–0.061:430.01–0.041:270.00–0.870:470.01–0.000:440.02–0.00
Irwin–Montour1:470.07–0.232:360.00–0.931:090.00–0.012:450.13–0.253:040.13–0.151:270.07–0.022:150.00–0.760:420.00–0.25
Montour–Dahlin2:270.00–0.461:000.06–0.002:210.64–0.091:100.00–0.010:390.02–0.001:390.08–0.002:350.00–0.102:410.02–0.260:340.00–0.210:320.62–0.00
Miller–Dahlin0:390.00–0.301:300.04–0.292:070.11–0.170:560.00–0.001:050.00–0.171:200.06–0.000:560.00–0.300:410.00–0.000:430.09–0.000:520.00–0.29
Irwin–Miller0:330.02–0.000:320.02–0.000:520.05–0.390:380.00–0.000:310.01–0.00
Miller–Montour0:330.00–0.100:340.00–0.100:460.11–0.00
Miller–Ristolainen0:550.00–0.000:520.00–0.00
Shift chart

Every shift, one row per player.

P1P2P3EndRieder FEakin FOkposo FHall FEichel FOlofsson FCozens FSkinner FStaal FSheahan FLazar FMittelstadt FIrwin DMontour DMcCabe DRistolainen DMiller DDahlin DHutton GBastian FMcLeod FWood FZacha FKuokkanen FBoqvist FJohnsson FBratt FHughes FSharangovich FMaltsev FGusev FMurray DSubban DTennyson DKulikov DSmith DSeverson DComrie G
BUFNJDFull-height lines are goals; short ticks at the top are shots. Hover to see who was on the ice.

Shift totals

Rasmus RistolainenBUF2628:111:052:0734
Brandon MontourBUF2422:460:571:4904
Damon SeversonNJD2322:390:592:0673
Jack EichelBUF2221:581:002:0742
Ryan MurrayNJD2321:500:572:0116
Rasmus DahlinBUF2321:320:561:5933
Taylor HallBUF2221:250:582:3142
P.K. SubbanNJD2721:250:481:3424
Dmitry KulikovNJD2420:370:522:0722
Victor OlofssonBUF2220:270:562:1041
Jake McCabeBUF2419:530:501:5115
Jack HughesNJD2318:410:492:0221
Jesper BrattNJD2218:180:502:0831
Michael McLeodNJD2317:030:441:3034
Ty SmithNJD2116:390:482:0240
Pavel ZachaNJD2015:580:481:3544
Janne KuokkanenNJD2014:510:452:2351
Matt TennysonNJD1814:340:492:0710
Colin MillerBUF1914:190:451:1512
Yegor SharangovichNJD1514:180:571:3533
Miles WoodNJD2314:100:371:1243
Andreas JohnssonNJD2014:090:421:4030
Tobias RiederBUF1714:020:502:0014
Jeff SkinnerBUF1513:500:551:5411
Eric StaalBUF1513:440:552:0001
Nikita GusevNJD1513:410:551:3651
Nathan BastianNJD2113:330:391:2325
Matt IrwinBUF1613:150:501:5201
Cody EakinBUF1813:110:441:3625
Curtis LazarBUF1812:290:421:2705
Dylan CozensBUF1412:230:531:3601
Riley SheahanBUF1912:010:381:0805
Jesper BoqvistNJD1511:240:461:4621
Casey MittelstadtBUF1410:400:461:5702
Mikhail MaltsevNJD1310:200:481:2032
Kyle OkposoBUF149:510:421:3612