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Ice Lab

Sun, Jan 31, 2021·Little Caesars Arena, Detroit

Florida Panthers 3, Detroit Red Wings 2

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Florida Panthers win this game 58% of the time.

DET winsFLA wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 0:28Verhaeghe: Slashing (2 min)6v5

    On ice: DET Helm, Nemeth, Glendening, Mantha, Hronek, Rasmussen · FLA Weegar, Duclair, Verhaeghe, Barkov, Ekblad

  3. P1 0:50Shot by Larkin, saved by Driedger5v4
  4. P1 1:15Shot by Hirose, saved by Driedger5v4
  5. P1 1:43Shot by Djoos, saved by Driedger5v4
  6. P1 4:12Goal by Larkin (Smith)+15 pts WP

    On ice: DET Djoos, DeKeyser, Mantha, Larkin, Smith · FLA Weegar, Ekblad, Vatrano, Tippett, Luostarinen

  7. P1 4:12Yandle: Unsportsmanlike conduct (2 min)

    On ice: DET Djoos, DeKeyser, Mantha, Larkin, Smith · FLA Weegar, Ekblad, Vatrano, Tippett, Luostarinen

  8. P1 4:46Shot by Mantha, saved by Driedger5v4
  9. P1 5:52Shot by Brome, saved by Driedger5v4
  10. P1 5:59Shot by Namestnikov, saved by Driedger5v4
  11. P1 7:38Shot by Wennberg, saved by Greiss
  12. P1 8:44Shot by Hronek, saved by Driedger
  13. P1 8:55Shot by Vatrano, saved by Greiss
  14. P1 9:26Shot by Larkin, saved by Driedger
  15. P1 10:54Shot by DeKeyser, saved by Driedger
  16. P1 11:41Staal: Hooking (2 min)

    On ice: DET Staal, Helm, Glendening, Stecher, Rasmussen · FLA Yandle, Gudas, Duclair, Verhaeghe, Barkov

  17. P1 12:25Shot by Ekblad, saved by Greiss4v5
  18. P1 14:27Shot by Acciari, saved by Greiss
  19. P1 14:39Shot by Mantha, saved by Driedger
  20. P1 15:09Larkin: Tripping (2 min)5v6

    On ice: DET Ryan, Djoos, DeKeyser, Larkin, Brome · FLA Weegar, Barkov, Ekblad, Vatrano, Heponiemi, Luostarinen

  21. P1 15:33Shot by Hornqvist, saved by Greiss4v5
  22. P1 16:18Shot by Filppula, saved by Driedger4v5
  23. P1 16:54Shot by Duclair, saved by Greiss4v5
  24. P1 18:39Shot by Helm, saved by Driedger
  25. P1 0:00Period end
  26. P2 0:00Period start
  27. P2 0:25Rasmussen: Boarding (2 min)

    On ice: DET Helm, Nemeth, Glendening, Hronek, Rasmussen · FLA Weegar, Duclair, Verhaeghe, Barkov, Ekblad

  28. P2 0:25Ekblad: Roughing (2 min)4v5

    On ice: DET Helm, Nemeth, Glendening, Hronek, Rasmussen · FLA Weegar, Duclair, Verhaeghe, Barkov, Ekblad

  29. P2 0:25Rasmussen: Roughing (2 min)4v4

    On ice: DET Helm, Nemeth, Glendening, Hronek, Rasmussen · FLA Weegar, Duclair, Verhaeghe, Barkov, Ekblad

  30. P2 0:38Shot by Yandle, saved by Greiss4v5
  31. P2 2:03Goal by Hornqvist (Huberdeau, Yandle)4v5+18 pts WP

    On ice: DET Filppula, Namestnikov, DeKeyser, Stecher · FLA Yandle, Hornqvist, Huberdeau, Duclair, Barkov

  32. P2 3:40Shot by Weegar, saved by Greiss
  33. P2 4:17Shot by Gudas, saved by Greiss
  34. P2 4:37Shot by Huberdeau, saved by Greiss
  35. P2 4:46Shot by Huberdeau, saved by Greiss
  36. P2 5:10Shot by Acciari, saved by Greiss
  37. P2 5:35Shot by Luostarinen, saved by Greiss
  38. P2 5:51Shot by Stralman, saved by Greiss
  39. P2 5:58Shot by Brome, saved by Driedger
  40. P2 6:55Shot by Nemeth, saved by Driedger
  41. P2 7:14Shot by Rasmussen, saved by Driedger
  42. P2 7:23Nutivaara: Interference (2 min)

    On ice: DET Helm, Nemeth, Glendening, Hronek, Rasmussen · FLA Stralman, Hornqvist, Huberdeau, Wennberg, Nutivaara

  43. P2 7:37Shot by Mantha, saved by Driedger5v4
  44. P2 8:17Shot by Larkin, saved by Driedger5v4
  45. P2 9:20Shot by Namestnikov, saved by Driedger5v4
  46. P2 10:34Shot by Vatrano, saved by Greiss
  47. P2 13:55Shot by Nutivaara, saved by Greiss
  48. P2 14:38Helm: Slashing (2 min)5v6

    On ice: DET Filppula, Nielsen, Djoos, Smith, Stecher · FLA Stralman, Hornqvist, Huberdeau, Wennberg, Vatrano, Nutivaara

  49. P2 15:04Goal by Ekblad (Yandle, Huberdeau)4v5+23 pts WP

    On ice: DET Filppula, Staal, Nemeth, Namestnikov · FLA Yandle, Hornqvist, Huberdeau, Barkov, Ekblad

  50. P2 16:12Shot by Lammikko, saved by Greiss
  51. P2 16:24Shot by Namestnikov, saved by Driedger
  52. P2 16:32Shot by Hirose, saved by Driedger
  53. P2 17:07Shot by Tippett, saved by Greiss
  54. P2 17:31Shot by Tippett, saved by Greiss
  55. P2 17:32Shot by Heponiemi, saved by Greiss
  56. P2 18:53Shot by DeKeyser, saved by Driedger
  57. P2 19:14Shot by Hornqvist, saved by Greiss
  58. P2 19:21Shot by Acciari, saved by Greiss
  59. P2 0:00Period end
  60. P3 0:00Period start
  61. P3 0:11Shot by Rasmussen, saved by Driedger
  62. P3 1:58Shot by Namestnikov, saved by Driedger
  63. P3 1:59Shot by Namestnikov, saved by Driedger
  64. P3 3:49Shot by Heponiemi, saved by Greiss
  65. P3 5:36Shot by Ekblad, saved by Greiss
  66. P3 6:57Shot by Mantha, saved by Driedger
  67. P3 7:46Shot by Ryan, saved by Driedger
  68. P3 8:09Goal by Verhaeghe (Barkov, Nutivaara)5v6+15 pts WP

    On ice: DET Ryan, Nemeth, Larkin, Hronek, Brome · FLA Stralman, Huberdeau, Duclair, Verhaeghe, Barkov, Nutivaara

  69. P3 8:53Shot by Vatrano, saved by Greiss
  70. P3 9:46Shot by Weegar, saved by Greiss
  71. P3 10:21Shot by Stecher, saved by Driedger
  72. P3 10:30Shot by Staal, saved by Driedger
  73. P3 12:08Shot by Stralman, saved by Greiss
  74. P3 16:20Shot by Helm, saved by Driedger
  75. P3 16:43Shot by Ryan, saved by Driedger6v5
  76. P3 16:46Shot by Djoos, saved by Driedger6v5
  77. P3 18:12Goal by Mantha (Ryan, Hronek)6v5+6 pts WP

    On ice: DET Ryan, Djoos, Mantha, Larkin, Hronek, Rasmussen · FLA Weegar, Duclair, Barkov, Ekblad, Lammikko

  78. P3 19:21Shot by Djoos, saved by Driedger6v5
  79. P3 0:00Final
  80. P3 0:00Period end6v5