Sun, Feb 7, 2021·American Airlines Center, Dallas
Chicago Blackhawks 2, Dallas Stars 1 (OT)
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Chicago Blackhawks win this game 64% of the time.
By period
Goals and shots on goal in each period.
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | OT | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CHI | 011 | 110 | 011 | 13 | 235 |
| DAL | 09 | 013 | 17 | 02 | 131 |
Goals, with shots on goal in grey.
Scoring
Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.
- P2 12:29CHIAlex DeBrincatPPAssists: Dylan Strome, Patrick Kane · Wrist, 0.19 xG1–0
- P3 9:31DALJason RobertsonAssists: Miro Heiskanen, Radek Faksa · Deflected, 0.10 xG1–1
- OT 2:56CHIAlex DeBrincatGWGAssists: Patrick Kane, Nikita Zadorov · Tip-in, 0.21 xG2–1
Penalties (9)
- P1 6:20DALJason Dickinson: Tripping2 min
- P1 11:05CHIConnor Murphy: Interference2 min
- P1 16:45DALAndrew Cogliano: Tripping2 min
- P1 19:58CHICarl Soderberg: Tripping2 min
- P2 3:10DALJamie Benn: Fighting5 min
- P2 3:10CHINikita Zadorov: Fighting5 min
- P2 11:18DALJustin Dowling: Interference2 min · PPG
- P3 7:26CHIMattias Janmark: Tripping2 min
- P3 14:20DALJason Dickinson: Interference2 min
Replay
Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.
20:00
P1
- P1 20:00Kurashev won the faceoff against Faksa
- Goal
- Shot
- Miss
- Block
- Hit
- Takeaway
- Giveaway
- Faceoff
- Penalty
The numbers
Team totals, side by side.
Line combinations that worked
Model-basedEach team's forward lines and defence pairs at 5-on-5 (two minutes or more together), best first by expected goals for minus against.
Chicago Blackhawks
Forward lines
- bestKane – Janmark – Suter4:20
xG 0.20–0.06 (77%)attempts 5–5goals 0–0
- Soderberg – Hagel – Kurashev2:33
xG 0.09–0.02 (79%)attempts 2–3goals 0–0
- Kubalik – Strome – DeBrincat6:36
xG 0.10–0.08 (54%)attempts 3–7goals 0–0
- Shaw – Highmore – Kampf4:37
xG 0.14–0.13 (52%)attempts 4–3goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- bestde Haan – Murphy13:18
xG 0.70–0.33 (68%)attempts 14–11goals 0–0
- Zadorov – Beaudin8:27
xG 0.45–0.23 (66%)attempts 7–12goals 0–0
- Keith – Mitchell10:21
xG 0.19–0.08 (71%)attempts 9–6goals 0–0
Dallas Stars
Forward lines
- bestHintz – Gurianov – Robertson5:57
xG 0.45–0.17 (72%)attempts 8–7goals 0–0
- Pavelski – Dowling – Dickinson2:07
xG 0.08–0.00 (100%)attempts 4–0goals 0–0
- Benn – Hintz – Gurianov2:55
xG 0.09–0.03 (76%)attempts 1–1goals 0–0
- Dickinson – Hintz – Gurianov3:02
xG 0.00–0.00attempts 2–0goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- bestKlingberg – Lindell15:05
xG 0.50–0.18 (74%)attempts 19–7goals 0–0
- Lindell – Heiskanen2:35
xG 0.20–0.04 (84%)attempts 3–2goals 1–0
- Pysyk – Hanley10:33
xG 0.31–0.59 (34%)attempts 11–10goals 0–0
How the game flowed
Model-basedChance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.
Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.
Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute
Win probability
Model-basedHow each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.
DAL's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line DAL is favoured, below it CHI. Dots are goals.
Did the better team win?
Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.
Based on shot quality alone, Chicago Blackhawks win this game 64% of the time.
Simulated goal difference (DAL − CHI), 10,000 replays
The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).