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Ice Lab

Thu, Feb 11, 2021·Nassau Veterans Memorial Coliseum, Uniondale

Pittsburgh Penguins 4, New York Islanders 3 (SO)

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, New York Islanders win this game 70% of the time.

NYI winsPIT wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 5:39Goal by Cizikas (Clutterbuck, Pulock)+14 pts WP

    On ice: NYI Clutterbuck, Martin, Cizikas, Pelech, Pulock · PIT Sceviour, Jankowski, Matheson, Marino, O'Connor

  3. P1 6:03Shot by Bailey, saved by DeSmith
  4. P1 6:38Shot by Kapanen, saved by Varlamov
  5. P1 7:01Shot by Nelson, saved by DeSmith
  6. P1 7:29Shot by Letang, saved by Varlamov
  7. P1 7:40Shot by Komarov, saved by DeSmith
  8. P1 8:04Shot by Martin, saved by DeSmith
  9. P1 9:04Shot by Kapanen, saved by Varlamov
  10. P1 11:47Goal by Rust (Guentzel, Crosby)+16 pts WP

    On ice: NYI Bailey, Leddy, Lee, Mayfield, Barzal · PIT Crosby, Rust, Matheson, Guentzel, Marino

  11. P1 13:00Shot by O'Connor, saved by Varlamov
  12. P1 13:15Shot by Rust, saved by Varlamov
  13. P1 14:11Shot by Lee, saved by DeSmith
  14. P1 15:08Ceci: Delaying game puck over glass (2 min)

    On ice: NYI Greene, Eberle, Nelson, Pulock, Dal Colle · PIT Malkin, Zucker, Matheson, Ceci, Kapanen

  15. P1 15:23Shot by Aston-Reese, saved by Varlamov5v4
  16. P1 16:40Goal by Pageau (Leddy, Bailey)5v4+17 pts WP

    On ice: NYI Bailey, Leddy, Nelson, Pageau, Wahlstrom · PIT Jankowski, Marino, Aston-Reese, Joseph

  17. P1 16:56Shot by Cizikas, saved by DeSmith
  18. P1 18:01Shot by Matheson, saved by Varlamov
  19. P1 18:09Shot by Kapanen, saved by Varlamov
  20. P1 18:18Shot by Marino, saved by Varlamov
  21. P1 18:38Shot by Lee, saved by DeSmith
  22. P1 19:35Shot by Martin, saved by DeSmith
  23. P1 0:00Period end
  24. P2 0:00Period start
  25. P2 0:12Shot by Lee, saved by DeSmith
  26. P2 1:23Shot by Joseph, saved by Varlamov
  27. P2 1:34Shot by Blueger, saved by Varlamov
  28. P2 1:53Shot by Tanev, saved by Varlamov
  29. P2 4:45Shot by Aston-Reese, saved by Varlamov
  30. P2 5:49Shot by Crosby, saved by Varlamov
  31. P2 6:33Shot by Matheson, saved by Varlamov
  32. P2 7:02Shot by Aston-Reese, saved by Varlamov
  33. P2 7:02Goal by Aston-Reese (Blueger, Tanev)+20 pts WP

    On ice: NYI Greene, Clutterbuck, Martin, Cizikas, Dobson · PIT Letang, Blueger, Tanev, Aston-Reese, Joseph

  34. P2 7:22Shot by Pulock, saved by DeSmith
  35. P2 8:10Shot by Kapanen, saved by Varlamov
  36. P2 8:43Eberle: Illegal equipment (2 min)5v6

    On ice: NYI Bailey, Leddy, Lee, Mayfield, Barzal · PIT Crosby, Rust, Matheson, Guentzel, Kapanen, Marino

  37. P2 9:35Shot by Pageau, saved by DeSmith4v5
  38. P2 10:33Shot by Marino, saved by Varlamov4v5
  39. P2 12:36Shot by Komarov, saved by DeSmith
  40. P2 13:15Shot by Dobson, saved by DeSmith
  41. P2 14:06Shot by Letang, saved by Varlamov
  42. P2 14:47Shot by Nelson, saved by DeSmith
  43. P2 16:20Shot by Rust, saved by Varlamov
  44. P2 16:40Shot by Ceci, saved by Varlamov
  45. P2 17:39Shot by Sceviour, saved by Varlamov
  46. P2 0:00Period end
  47. P3 0:00Period start
  48. P3 1:03Shot by Kapanen, saved by Varlamov
  49. P3 2:54Shot by Letang, saved by Varlamov
  50. P3 3:17Shot by Barzal, saved by DeSmith
  51. P3 5:07Shot by Wahlstrom, saved by DeSmith
  52. P3 5:19Shot by Tanev, saved by Varlamov
  53. P3 5:56Shot by Dobson, saved by DeSmith
  54. P3 6:56Shot by Dal Colle, saved by DeSmith
  55. P3 7:27Shot by Aston-Reese, saved by Varlamov
  56. P3 12:05Shot by Rust, saved by Varlamov
  57. P3 12:09Shot by Rust, saved by Varlamov
  58. P3 13:35Goal by Barzal, unassisted+33 pts WP

    On ice: NYI Bailey, Lee, Mayfield, Pulock, Barzal · PIT Crosby, Letang, Rust, Guentzel, Joseph

  59. P3 14:04Shot by Leddy, saved by DeSmith
  60. P3 15:24Shot by Pageau, saved by DeSmith
  61. P3 16:25Shot by Martin, saved by DeSmith
  62. P3 19:25Shot by Letang, saved by Varlamov5v6
  63. P3 19:32Shot by Rust, saved by Varlamov5v6
  64. P3 19:42Goal by Malkin (Letang, Rust)5v6+44 pts WP

    On ice: NYI Clutterbuck, Cizikas, Nelson, Mayfield, Pelech · PIT Malkin, Crosby, Letang, Rust, Guentzel, Kapanen

  65. P3 0:00Period end
  66. OT 0:00Period start
  67. OT 0:24Shot by Lee, saved by DeSmith3v3
  68. OT 1:28Shot by Matheson, saved by Varlamov3v3
  69. OT 1:38Shot by Nelson, saved by DeSmith3v3
  70. OT 2:46Shot by Lee, saved by DeSmith3v3
  71. OT 2:56Shot by Barzal, saved by DeSmith3v3
  72. OT 2:56Shot by Barzal, saved by DeSmith3v3
  73. OT 3:59Shot by Malkin, saved by Varlamov3v3
  74. OT 5:00Period endother
  75. SO Period start
  76. SO Shot by Eberle, saved by DeSmithother
  77. SO Shot by Guentzel, saved by Varlamovother
  78. SO Shot by Barzal, saved by DeSmithother
  79. SO Goal by Crosby, unassistedother
  80. SO Shot by Bailey, saved by DeSmithother
  81. SO Period endother
  82. SO Final