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Ice Lab

Thu, Feb 11, 2021·Bridgestone Arena, Nashville

Detroit Red Wings 2, Nashville Predators 3

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Nashville Predators win this game 68% of the time.

NSH winsDET wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 0:36Shot by Stecher, saved by Rinne
  3. P1 0:49Shot by Forsberg, saved by Greiss
  4. P1 1:09Shot by Larkin, saved by Rinne
  5. P1 3:41Shot by Forsberg, saved by Greiss
  6. P1 4:09Shot by Brome, saved by Rinne
  7. P1 4:36Shot by Ryan, saved by Rinne
  8. P1 5:31Shot by Fabbro, saved by Greiss
  9. P1 6:19Shot by Josi, saved by Greiss
  10. P1 6:25Shot by Granlund, saved by Greiss
  11. P1 6:50Shot by Larkin, saved by Rinne
  12. P1 9:52Shot by Larkin, saved by Rinne
  13. P1 12:13Fabbro: Tripping (2 min)

    On ice: NSH Tinordi, Grimaldi, Sissons, Trenin, Fabbro · DET Ryan, Staal, Fabbri, Smith, Stecher

  14. P1 14:21Ryan: Tripping (2 min)

    On ice: NSH Josi, Duchene, Benning, Arvidsson, Fabbro · DET Ryan, Staal, Djoos, Larkin, Fabbri

  15. P1 14:58Goal by Ellis (Forsberg, Josi)5v4+15 pts WP

    On ice: NSH Josi, Duchene, Ellis, Forsberg, Arvidsson · DET Staal, Helm, Nemeth, Larkin

  16. P1 17:11Shot by Arvidsson, saved by Greiss
  17. P1 17:21Shot by Zadina, saved by Rinne
  18. P1 19:08Shot by Hronek, saved by Rinne
  19. P1 19:25Goal by Fabbri (Mantha, Hronek)+17 pts WP

    On ice: NSH Tinordi, Cousins, Grimaldi, Sissons, Fabbro · DET Staal, Gagner, Mantha, Fabbri, Hronek

  20. P1 19:45Shot by Josi, saved by Greiss
  21. P1 0:00Period end
  22. P2 0:00Period start
  23. P2 3:03Shot by Grimaldi, saved by Greiss
  24. P2 4:07Tinordi: Tripping (2 min)

    On ice: NSH Duchene, Jarnkrok, Tinordi, Granlund, Fabbro · DET Staal, Gagner, Namestnikov, Erne, Stecher

  25. P2 6:04Shot by Mantha, saved by Rinne4v5
  26. P2 6:12Shot by Smith, saved by Rinne
  27. P2 9:17Smith: Interference (2 min)6v5

    On ice: NSH Borowiecki, Grimaldi, Forsberg, Benning, Arvidsson, Trenin · DET Nielsen, Staal, Gagner, Smith, Stecher

  28. P2 11:29Shot by Mantha, saved by Rinne
  29. P2 12:27Shot by Brome, saved by Rinne
  30. P2 13:02Shot by Namestnikov, saved by Rinne
  31. P2 13:11Shot by Stecher, saved by Rinne
  32. P2 15:22Shot by Hronek, saved by Rinne
  33. P2 15:59Shot by Tolvanen, saved by Greiss
  34. P2 16:44Shot by Brome, saved by Rinne
  35. P2 17:11Shot by Fabbri, saved by Rinne
  36. P2 17:30Shot by Kunin, saved by Greiss
  37. P2 17:53Shot by Arvidsson, saved by Greiss
  38. P2 19:19Goal by Duchene (Jarnkrok, Josi)+24 pts WP

    On ice: NSH Josi, Duchene, Ellis, Jarnkrok, Granlund · DET Nielsen, Gagner, Merrill, Mantha, Hronek

  39. P2 19:33Goal by Staal (Ryan, Namestnikov)+24 pts WP

    On ice: NSH Josi, Duchene, Ellis, Jarnkrok, Granlund · DET Ryan, Staal, Namestnikov, Fabbri, Stecher

  40. P2 19:57Shot by Cousins, saved by Greiss
  41. P2 19:57Shot by Cousins, saved by Greiss
  42. P2 0:00Period end
  43. P3 0:00Period start
  44. P3 0:51Granlund: Delaying game puck over glass (2 min)

    On ice: NSH Josi, Duchene, Ellis, Jarnkrok, Granlund · DET Merrill, Larkin, Hronek, Zadina, Brome

  45. P3 1:42Shot by Jarnkrok, saved by Greiss4v5
  46. P3 2:59Brome: Hooking (2 min)

    On ice: NSH Ellis, Jarnkrok, Tinordi, Granlund, Grimaldi · DET Staal, Gagner, Namestnikov, Hronek, Brome

  47. P3 3:36Shot by Forsberg, saved by Greiss5v4
  48. P3 6:12Fabbri: Hooking (2 min)

    On ice: NSH Josi, Ellis, Haula, Sissons, Trenin · DET Ryan, Staal, Fabbri, Smith, Stecher

  49. P3 6:52Shot by Namestnikov, saved by Rinne5v4
  50. P3 7:24Shot by Ellis, saved by Greiss5v4
  51. P3 12:42Shot by Ryan, saved by Rinne
  52. P3 13:44Trenin: Hooking (2 min)

    On ice: NSH Josi, Duchene, Ellis, Granlund, Trenin · DET Nemeth, Mantha, Larkin, Zadina, Brome

  53. P3 14:17Shot by Ellis, saved by Greiss4v5
  54. P3 15:34Shot by Larkin, saved by Rinne4v5
  55. P3 16:35Shot by Arvidsson, saved by Greiss
  56. P3 17:00Shot by Mantha, saved by Rinne
  57. P3 17:21Shot by Ryan, saved by Rinne
  58. P3 17:27Shot by Mantha, saved by Rinne
  59. P3 17:33Shot by Josi, saved by Greiss
  60. P3 17:39Shot by Granlund, saved by Greiss
  61. P3 19:00Goal by Fabbro (Kunin, Forsberg)+43 pts WP

    On ice: NSH Josi, Forsberg, Arvidsson, Kunin, Fabbro · DET Nielsen, Staal, Larkin, Stecher, Brome

  62. P3 19:20Shot by Larkin, saved by Rinne5v6
  63. P3 0:00Period end5v6
  64. P3 0:00Final