Skip to content
Ice Lab

Mon, Feb 15, 2021·Amalie Arena, Tampa

Florida Panthers 6, Tampa Bay Lightning 4

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Tampa Bay Lightning win this game 61% of the time.

TBL winsFLA wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 0:27Shot by Coleman, saved by Driedger
  3. P1 0:49Shot by Huberdeau, saved by McElhinney
  4. P1 3:10Shot by Connolly, saved by McElhinney
  5. P1 3:29Shot by Duclair, saved by McElhinney
  6. P1 3:52Shot by Yandle, saved by McElhinney
  7. P1 6:24Goal by Stamkos (Cernak, Palat)+14 pts WP

    On ice: TBL McDonagh, Stamkos, Palat, Point, Cernak · FLA Yandle, Connolly, Lammikko, Juulsen, Lomberg

  8. P1 7:56Goal by Huberdeau (Hornqvist, Weegar)+15 pts WP

    On ice: TBL Killorn, Johnson, Hedman, Joseph, Rutta · FLA Stralman, Hornqvist, Huberdeau, Weegar, Wennberg

  9. P1 8:25Shot by Johnson, saved by Driedger
  10. P1 8:54Johnson: Holding (2 min)5v6

    On ice: TBL Stamkos, Palat, Point, Sergachev, Rutta · FLA Yandle, Hornqvist, Huberdeau, Vatrano, Tippett, Luostarinen

  11. P1 10:17Shot by Ekblad, saved by McElhinney4v5
  12. P1 10:19Shot by Hornqvist, saved by McElhinney4v5
  13. P1 12:25Shot by Cernak, saved by Driedger
  14. P1 12:33Shot by Maroon, saved by Driedger
  15. P1 13:43Shot by Killorn, saved by Driedger
  16. P1 17:32Shot by Connolly, saved by McElhinney
  17. P1 17:48Yandle: Interference (2 min)

    On ice: TBL Killorn, McDonagh, Johnson, Cernak, Joseph · FLA Yandle, Gudas, Wennberg, Luostarinen

  18. P1 0:00Shot by Barkov, saved by McElhinney
  19. P1 0:00Period end
  20. P1 0:00Shot by Stralman, saved by McElhinney
  21. P2 0:00Period start
  22. P2 0:47Cernak: Tripping (2 min)

    On ice: TBL McDonagh, Coleman, Goodrow, Gourde, Cernak · FLA Stralman, Gudas, Duclair, Verhaeghe, Barkov

  23. P2 0:53Shot by Ekblad, saved by McElhinney4v5
  24. P2 1:22Shot by Yandle, saved by McElhinney4v5
  25. P2 1:25Ekblad: Interference (2 min)4v5

    On ice: TBL McDonagh, Coleman, Goodrow, Sergachev · FLA Yandle, Hornqvist, Huberdeau, Barkov, Ekblad

  26. P2 4:59Goal by Tippett (Luostarinen)+22 pts WP

    On ice: TBL Maroon, McDonagh, Goodrow, Gourde, Rutta · FLA Weegar, Ekblad, Vatrano, Tippett, Luostarinen

  27. P2 5:26Shot by Palat, saved by Driedger
  28. P2 6:18Shot by Schenn, saved by Driedger
  29. P2 7:19Shot by Point, saved by Driedger
  30. P2 8:20Shot by Coleman, saved by Driedger
  31. P2 8:39Schenn: Penalty shot tripping on breakaway (0 min)

    On ice: TBL Schenn, Coleman, Goodrow, Gourde, Sergachev · FLA Stralman, Hornqvist, Duclair, Vatrano, Luostarinen

  32. P2 8:39Goal by Vatrano, unassistedother+16 pts WP

    On ice: TBL Schenn, Coleman, Goodrow, Gourde, Sergachev · FLA Stralman, Hornqvist, Duclair, Vatrano, Luostarinen

  33. P2 10:23Goal by Duclair (Barkov, Verhaeghe)+8 pts WP

    On ice: TBL McDonagh, Stamkos, Palat, Point, Cernak · FLA Weegar, Duclair, Verhaeghe, Barkov, Ekblad

  34. P2 11:42Goal by Volkov (McDonagh)+8 pts WP

    On ice: TBL Maroon, McDonagh, Smith, Rutta, Volkov · FLA Weegar, Ekblad, Vatrano, Tippett, Luostarinen

  35. P2 12:06Shot by Cernak, saved by Driedger
  36. P2 12:36Goal by Barkov (Verhaeghe, Stralman)+8 pts WP

    On ice: TBL Stamkos, Hedman, Palat, Gourde, Rutta · FLA Stralman, Connolly, Weegar, Verhaeghe, Barkov

  37. P2 13:04Shot by Rutta, saved by Driedger
  38. P2 13:36Shot by Gourde, saved by Driedger
  39. P2 13:42Shot by Killorn, saved by Driedger
  40. P2 15:50Goal by Volkov (Maroon, Smith)+7 pts WP

    On ice: TBL Maroon, Hedman, Smith, Cernak, Volkov · FLA Yandle, Stralman, Duclair, Verhaeghe, Barkov

  41. P2 16:38Goal by Johnson (Joseph, Sergachev)+16 pts WP

    On ice: TBL Killorn, Johnson, Joseph, Sergachev, Rutta · FLA Yandle, Ekblad, Vatrano, Tippett, Luostarinen

  42. P2 16:50Shot by Johnson, saved by Driedger
  43. P2 18:14Shot by Ekblad, saved by McElhinney
  44. P2 18:14Ekblad: Hooking (2 min)

    On ice: TBL Stamkos, Hedman, Palat, Point, Cernak · FLA Yandle, Hornqvist, Huberdeau, Ekblad, Lammikko

  45. P2 19:26Shot by Stamkos, saved by Driedger5v4
  46. P2 19:35Shot by Sergachev, saved by Driedger5v4
  47. P2 0:00Period end5v4
  48. P3 0:00Period start
  49. P3 0:59Goal by Stralman (Huberdeau, Gudas)+16 pts WP

    On ice: TBL McDonagh, Coleman, Goodrow, Gourde, Cernak · FLA Stralman, Hornqvist, Gudas, Huberdeau, Wennberg

  50. P3 1:18Shot by Rutta, saved by Driedger
  51. P3 2:10Shot by Schenn, saved by Driedger
  52. P3 2:25Shot by Sergachev, saved by Driedger
  53. P3 3:16Shot by Cernak, saved by Driedger
  54. P3 3:56Shot by Duclair, saved by McElhinney
  55. P3 4:04Verhaeghe: Fighting (5 min)

    On ice: TBL Maroon, Hedman, Smith, Cernak, Volkov · FLA Gudas, Duclair, Verhaeghe, Wennberg, Ekblad

  56. P3 4:04Smith: Fighting (5 min)5v4

    On ice: TBL Maroon, Hedman, Smith, Cernak, Volkov · FLA Gudas, Duclair, Verhaeghe, Wennberg, Ekblad

  57. P3 4:23Shot by Point, saved by Driedger
  58. P3 5:30Shot by Hedman, saved by Driedger
  59. P3 5:55Shot by Hedman, saved by Driedger
  60. P3 6:12Shot by McDonagh, saved by Driedger
  61. P3 6:41Shot by Connolly, saved by McElhinney
  62. P3 9:00Shot by Cernak, saved by Driedger
  63. P3 11:48Shot by Schenn, saved by Driedger
  64. P3 13:03Gourde: Fighting (5 min)

    On ice: TBL Hedman, Goodrow, Gourde, Cernak, Joseph · FLA Stralman, Gudas, Connolly, Lammikko, Lomberg

  65. P3 13:03Gudas: Fighting (5 min)4v5

    On ice: TBL Hedman, Goodrow, Gourde, Cernak, Joseph · FLA Stralman, Gudas, Connolly, Lammikko, Lomberg

  66. P3 13:17Smith: Roughing (2 min)

    On ice: TBL Maroon, Hedman, Smith, Sergachev, Volkov · FLA Weegar, Duclair, Verhaeghe, Barkov, Ekblad

  67. P3 14:47Shot by Verhaeghe, saved by McElhinney4v5
  68. P3 16:45Yandle: Slashing (2 min)

    On ice: TBL Killorn, Johnson, Hedman, Joseph, Rutta · FLA Yandle, Duclair, Verhaeghe, Barkov, Ekblad

  69. P3 19:48Shot by Gourde, saved by Driedger6v5
  70. P3 0:00Period end6v5
  71. P3 0:00Final