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Ice Lab

Thu, Feb 18, 2021·Wells Fargo Center, Philadelphia

New York Rangers 3, Philadelphia Flyers 2 (SO)

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, New York Rangers win this game 61% of the time.

PHI winsNYR wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 0:22Shot by Panarin, saved by Hart
  3. P1 0:54Shot by Sanheim, saved by Georgiev
  4. P1 0:59Goal by Aube-Kubel (Raffl, Hayes)+13 pts WP

    On ice: PHI Hayes, Gostisbehere, Raffl, Sanheim, Aube-Kubel · NYR Strome, Panarin, Fox, Lindgren, Kakko

  5. P1 2:47Johnson: Tripping (2 min)

    On ice: PHI Gustafsson, Hagg, Kase, Bunnaman, Patrick · NYR Johnson, Smith, Blackwell, Rooney, Lafrenière

  6. P1 4:26Shot by Provorov, saved by Georgiev5v4
  7. P1 6:47Shot by Fox, saved by Hart
  8. P1 7:01Shot by Rooney, saved by Hart
  9. P1 9:29Shot by Aube-Kubel, saved by Georgiev
  10. P1 9:44Shot by Lindgren, saved by Hart
  11. P1 10:04Shot by Hajek, saved by Hart
  12. P1 11:04Strome: Tripping (2 min)

    On ice: PHI Morin, Sanheim, Kase, Provorov, Patrick · NYR Strome, Panarin, Fox, Lindgren, Kakko

  13. P1 12:44Shot by Raffl, saved by Georgiev5v4
  14. P1 15:52Shot by Rooney, saved by Hart
  15. P1 16:03Shot by Panarin, saved by Hart
  16. P1 16:37Shot by Panarin, saved by Hart
  17. P1 17:11Shot by Hayes, saved by Georgiev
  18. P1 17:52Andreoff: Roughing (2 min)5v6

    On ice: PHI Andreoff, Gustafsson, Hagg, Morin, Sushko · NYR Johnson, Smith, Zibanejad, Di Giuseppe, Lemieux, Panarin

  19. P1 17:52Hagg: Holding (2 min)4v5

    On ice: PHI Andreoff, Gustafsson, Hagg, Morin, Sushko · NYR Johnson, Smith, Zibanejad, Di Giuseppe, Lemieux, Panarin

  20. P1 18:27Kreider: Hooking (2 min)3v5

    On ice: PHI Couturier, Sanheim, Provorov · NYR Kreider, Strome, Zibanejad, Panarin, Fox

  21. P1 18:40Shot by Zibanejad, saved by Hart3v4
  22. P1 19:39Shot by Fox, saved by Hart3v4
  23. P1 19:48Shot by Hajek, saved by Hart3v4
  24. P1 0:00Period end5v4
  25. P2 0:00Period start
  26. P2 0:45Shot by Rooney, saved by Hart
  27. P2 1:28Hayes: Tripping (2 min)

    On ice: PHI Hayes, Gostisbehere, Sanheim, Aube-Kubel, Bunnaman · NYR Johnson, Smith, Blackwell, Rooney, Lafrenière

  28. P2 3:00Shot by Bitetto, saved by Hart4v5
  29. P2 3:24Goal by Blackwell (Buchnevich, Bitetto)4v5+18 pts WP

    On ice: PHI Raffl, Hagg, Sanheim, Bunnaman · NYR Kreider, Bitetto, Blackwell, Buchnevich, Lafrenière

  30. P2 4:05Shot by Lemieux, saved by Hart
  31. P2 4:57Shot by Myers, saved by Georgiev
  32. P2 5:13Shot by Hayes, saved by Georgiev
  33. P2 5:55Shot by Buchnevich, saved by Hart
  34. P2 6:52Shot by Bitetto, saved by Hart
  35. P2 7:14Kakko: Hooking (2 min)

    On ice: PHI Hayes, Raffl, Aube-Kubel, Provorov, Myers · NYR Bitetto, Strome, Panarin, Hajek, Kakko

  36. P2 8:42Shot by Couturier, saved by Georgiev5v4
  37. P2 9:31Shot by Kakko, saved by Hart
  38. P2 11:12Shot by Johnson, saved by Hart
  39. P2 11:18Shot by Lafrenière, saved by Hart
  40. P2 11:32Hagg: High sticking (2 min)

    On ice: PHI Gustafsson, Hagg, Kase, Bunnaman, Patrick · NYR Johnson, Smith, Blackwell, Rooney, Lafrenière

  41. P2 14:28Shot by Panarin, saved by Hart
  42. P2 14:31Shot by Gustafsson, saved by Georgiev
  43. P2 14:45Shot by Morin, saved by Georgiev
  44. P2 16:41Provorov: Penalty shot slash on breakaway (0 min)

    On ice: PHI Hayes, Raffl, Aube-Kubel, Provorov, Myers · NYR Kreider, Bitetto, Zibanejad, Buchnevich, Fox

  45. P2 16:41Shot by Buchnevich, saved by Hartother
  46. P2 17:48Shot by Sanheim, saved by Georgiev
  47. P2 18:22Shot by Strome, saved by Hart
  48. P2 18:30Strome: Slashing (2 min)

    On ice: PHI Hayes, Raffl, Aube-Kubel, Provorov, Myers · NYR Johnson, Smith, Strome, Panarin, Kakko

  49. P2 18:54Shot by van Riemsdyk, saved by Georgiev5v4
  50. P2 0:00Period end5v4
  51. P3 0:00Period start
  52. P3 0:08Shot by Fox, saved by Hart5v4
  53. P3 1:51Shot by Myers, saved by Georgiev
  54. P3 3:37Shot by van Riemsdyk, saved by Georgiev
  55. P3 4:33Shot by Strome, saved by Hart
  56. P3 5:20Shot by Hagg, saved by Georgiev
  57. P3 5:38Shot by Panarin, saved by Hart
  58. P3 8:20Shot by Strome, saved by Hart
  59. P3 8:21Goal by Smith (Panarin, Strome)+33 pts WP

    On ice: PHI Hayes, Gostisbehere, Raffl, Sanheim, Aube-Kubel · NYR Johnson, Smith, Strome, Panarin, Kakko

  60. P3 12:28Shot by Farabee, saved by Georgiev
  61. P3 14:49Shot by Provorov, saved by Georgiev
  62. P3 17:29Shot by Farabee, saved by Georgiev6v5
  63. P3 18:46Goal by Farabee (Hayes, Couturier)6v5+47 pts WP

    On ice: PHI van Riemsdyk, Hayes, Couturier, Gustafsson, Provorov, Farabee · NYR Blackwell, Strome, Panarin, Fox, Lindgren

  64. P3 19:44Shot by Panarin, saved by Hart
  65. P3 0:00Period end
  66. OT 0:00Period start
  67. OT 0:15Shot by Farabee, saved by Georgiev3v3
  68. OT 1:02Shot by Couturier, saved by Georgiev3v3
  69. OT 2:22Patrick: Hooking (2 min)3v3

    On ice: PHI van Riemsdyk, Gostisbehere, Patrick · NYR Buchnevich, Hajek, Kakko

  70. OT 2:38Shot by Panarin, saved by Hart3v4
  71. OT 3:48Shot by Kreider, saved by Hart3v4
  72. OT 4:00Shot by Panarin, saved by Hart3v4
  73. OT 4:07Shot by Georgiev, saved by Hart3v4
  74. OT 5:00Period endother
  75. SO Period start
  76. SO Shot by Hayes, saved by Georgievother
  77. SO Goal by Kakko, unassistedother
  78. SO Goal by Couturier, unassistedother
  79. SO Goal by Panarin, unassistedother
  80. SO Period endother
  81. SO Final