Thu, Feb 18, 2021·Gila River Arena, Glendale
Los Angeles Kings 3, Arizona Coyotes 2 (SO)
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Los Angeles Kings win this game 65% of the time.
By period
Goals and shots on goal in each period.
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | OT | SO | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LAK | 214 | 09 | 05 | 01 | 3 | 329 |
| ARI | 06 | 26 | 06 | 04 | 2 | 222 |
Goals, with shots on goal in grey.
Scoring
Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.
- P1 4:21LAKDustin BrownAssists: Anze Kopitar, Alex Iafallo · Wrist, 0.13 xG1–0
- P1 11:50LAKJeff CarterAssists: Drew Doughty, Gabriel Vilardi · Wrist, 0.24 xG2–0
- P2 1:00ARIConor GarlandAssists: Clayton Keller, Nick Schmaltz · Deflected, 0.02 xG2–1
- P2 5:51ARIPhil KesselAssists: Tyler Pitlick, Dryden Hunt · Wrist, 0.14 xG2–2
Shootout
- 1. ARI Nick Schmaltz scored
- 2. LAK Carl Grundstrom stopped
- 3. ARI Conor Garland stopped
- 4. LAK Anze Kopitar scored
- 5. ARI Christian Dvorak scored
- 6. LAK Adrian Kempe scored
- 7. ARI Clayton Keller stopped
- 8. LAK Gabriel Vilardi scored
Penalties (6)
- P1 6:36LAKMatt Roy: Delaying game puck over glass2 min
- P1 12:43ARIJakob Chychrun: Slashing2 min
- P1 18:16ARINiklas Hjalmarsson: Tripping2 min
- P2 3:44LAKJeff Carter: Hooking2 min
- P3 8:55LAKAnze Kopitar: Holding2 min
- P3 13:52ARIChristian Dvorak: Hooking2 min
Replay
Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.
20:00
P1
- P1 20:00Dvorak won the faceoff against Kopitar
- Goal
- Shot
- Miss
- Block
- Hit
- Takeaway
- Giveaway
- Faceoff
- Penalty
The numbers
Team totals, side by side.
Line combinations that worked
Model-basedEach team's forward lines and defence pairs at 5-on-5 (two minutes or more together), best first by expected goals for minus against.
Los Angeles Kings
Forward lines
- bestWagner – Luff – Lizotte8:00
xG 0.48–0.00 (100%)attempts 7–0goals 0–0
- Brown – Kopitar – Iafallo12:15
xG 0.51–0.23 (69%)attempts 8–8goals 1–1
- Carter – Kempe – Vilardi10:34
xG 0.43–0.29 (60%)attempts 5–7goals 1–0
- Grundstrom – Moore – Anderson-Dolan8:28
xG 0.10–0.20 (34%)attempts 7–6goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- bestDoughty – Anderson15:45
xG 0.91–0.44 (67%)attempts 15–8goals 2–2
- Roy – Bjornfot15:31
xG 0.57–0.19 (75%)attempts 13–9goals 0–0
- Maatta – Strand11:11
xG 0.17–0.27 (39%)attempts 4–7goals 0–0
Arizona Coyotes
Forward lines
- Schmaltz – Garland – Keller11:39
xG 0.23–0.21 (53%)attempts 10–8goals 1–0
- Pitlick – Dvorak – Crouse10:04
xG 0.20–0.23 (47%)attempts 5–2goals 0–0
- Larsson – Hayden – Fischer8:53
xG 0.00–0.27 (0%)attempts 0–7goals 0–0
- Brassard – Kessel – Hunt9:29
xG 0.12–0.54 (18%)attempts 4–9goals 0–1
Defence pairs
- Hjalmarsson – Oesterle10:12
xG 0.19–0.26 (42%)attempts 6–7goals 0–0
- Goligoski – Chychrun18:40
xG 0.20–0.47 (30%)attempts 8–12goals 0–0
- Demers – Ekman-Larsson14:58
xG 0.40–1.01 (28%)attempts 9–15goals 2–2
How the game flowed
Model-basedChance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.
Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.
Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute
Win probability
Model-basedHow each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.
ARI's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line ARI is favoured, below it LAK. Dots are goals.
Did the better team win?
Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.
Based on shot quality alone, Los Angeles Kings win this game 65% of the time.
Simulated goal difference (ARI − LAK), 10,000 replays
The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).