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Ice Lab

Fri, Feb 19, 2021·Little Caesars Arena, Detroit

Florida Panthers 7, Detroit Red Wings 2

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Florida Panthers win this game 66% of the time.

DET winsFLA wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 0:35Shot by Helm, saved by Driedger
  3. P1 1:44Shot by Djoos, saved by Driedger
  4. P1 2:06Shot by Djoos, saved by Driedger
  5. P1 2:27Shot by Lomberg, saved by Greiss
  6. P1 2:42Shot by Nielsen, saved by Driedger
  7. P1 4:14Shot by Huberdeau, saved by Greiss
  8. P1 5:28Shot by Gudas, saved by Greiss
  9. P1 6:09Goal by Lammikko (Connolly, Yandle)+17 pts WP

    On ice: DET Filppula, Nielsen, Gagner, Nemeth, Stecher · FLA Connolly, Weegar, Ekblad, Lammikko, Lomberg

  10. P1 7:58Goal by Weegar (Huberdeau, Wennberg)+14 pts WP

    On ice: DET Merrill, Mantha, Larkin, Hronek, Zadina · FLA Hornqvist, Huberdeau, Weegar, Wennberg, Ekblad

  11. P1 8:52Stralman: Hooking (2 min)

    On ice: DET Filppula, Nielsen, Staal, Gagner, Stecher · FLA Stralman, Connolly, Lammikko, Forsling, Lomberg

  12. P1 9:13Shot by Zadina, saved by Driedger5v4
  13. P1 9:22Shot by Larkin, saved by Driedger5v4
  14. P1 11:57Shot by Duclair, saved by Greiss
  15. P1 12:45Goal by Hornqvist (Yandle, Huberdeau)+10 pts WP

    On ice: DET Nemeth, Merrill, Mantha, Larkin, Zadina · FLA Yandle, Hornqvist, Gudas, Huberdeau, Wennberg

  16. P1 12:53Shot by Luostarinen, saved by Greiss
  17. P1 13:26Shot by Ekblad, saved by Greiss
  18. P1 13:27Shot by Vatrano, saved by Greiss
  19. P1 14:06Goal by Ryan (Fabbri)+9 pts WP

    On ice: DET Nielsen, Ryan, Merrill, Fabbri, Hronek · FLA Gudas, Weegar, Lammikko, Vatrano, Tippett

  20. P1 15:03Shot by Gagner, saved by Driedger
  21. P1 15:13Shot by Verhaeghe, saved by Greiss
  22. P1 15:15Goal by Barkov (Verhaeghe, Stralman)+9 pts WP

    On ice: DET Staal, Helm, Glendening, Erne, Stecher · FLA Stralman, Duclair, Verhaeghe, Barkov, Forsling

  23. P1 16:56Shot by Ryan, saved by Driedger
  24. P1 17:11Verhaeghe: Slashing (2 min)

    On ice: DET Ryan, Nemeth, Djoos, Fabbri, Brome · FLA Stralman, Duclair, Verhaeghe, Barkov, Forsling

  25. P1 19:59Shot by Barkov, saved by Greiss
  26. P1 0:00Period end
  27. P2 0:00Period start
  28. P2 0:19Shot by Helm, saved by Driedger
  29. P2 0:52Shot by Mantha, saved by Driedger
  30. P2 2:12Shot by Gagner, saved by Driedger
  31. P2 3:41Shot by Barkov, saved by Bernier
  32. P2 3:42Hronek: Slashing (2 min)

    On ice: DET Staal, Helm, Glendening, Erne, Hronek · FLA Yandle, Gudas, Duclair, Verhaeghe, Barkov

  33. P2 5:22Shot by Staal, saved by Driedger4v5
  34. P2 6:20Shot by Lomberg, saved by Bernier
  35. P2 6:53Shot by Lomberg, saved by Bernier
  36. P2 8:18Shot by Mantha, saved by Driedger
  37. P2 8:23Shot by Staal, saved by Driedger
  38. P2 8:24Shot by Helm, saved by Driedger
  39. P2 9:02Shot by Forsling, saved by Bernier
  40. P2 9:26Shot by Luostarinen, saved by Bernier
  41. P2 10:14Shot by Yandle, saved by Bernier
  42. P2 10:23Shot by Gagner, saved by Driedger
  43. P2 10:40Shot by Lammikko, saved by Bernier
  44. P2 12:46Shot by Duclair, saved by Bernier
  45. P2 14:29Shot by Lammikko, saved by Bernier
  46. P2 16:15Shot by Fabbri, saved by Driedger
  47. P2 17:29Shot by Luostarinen, saved by Bernier
  48. P2 17:54Shot by Vatrano, saved by Bernier
  49. P2 19:16Shot by Fabbri, saved by Driedger
  50. P2 19:38Goal by Ekblad (Weegar, Duclair)+2 pts WP

    On ice: DET Filppula, Ryan, Staal, Fabbri, Stecher · FLA Weegar, Duclair, Verhaeghe, Barkov, Ekblad

  51. P2 0:00Period end
  52. P3 0:00Period start
  53. P3 0:38Duclair: Hooking (2 min)6v5

    On ice: DET Nemeth, Mantha, Larkin, Fabbri, Hronek, Brome · FLA Duclair, Verhaeghe, Wennberg, Ekblad, Forsling

  54. P3 1:19Shot by Gagner, saved by Driedger5v4
  55. P3 1:44Shot by Lomberg, saved by Bernier5v4
  56. P3 2:49Goal by Filppula (Fabbri, Larkin)+2 pts WP

    On ice: DET Filppula, Larkin, Fabbri, Hronek, Zadina · FLA Gudas, Duclair, Lammikko, Forsling, Lomberg

  57. P3 4:18Shot by Merrill, saved by Driedger
  58. P3 4:56Shot by Forsling, saved by Bernier
  59. P3 5:07Shot by Connolly, saved by Bernier
  60. P3 5:29Shot by Verhaeghe, saved by Bernier
  61. P3 5:44Larkin: Holding (2 min)

    On ice: DET Helm, Nemeth, Merrill, Mantha, Larkin · FLA Stralman, Duclair, Verhaeghe, Barkov, Forsling

  62. P3 5:49Shot by Barkov, saved by Bernier4v5
  63. P3 5:50Goal by Hornqvist (Barkov, Yandle)4v5+1 pts WP

    On ice: DET Nielsen, Staal, Nemeth, Glendening · FLA Yandle, Hornqvist, Huberdeau, Barkov, Ekblad

  64. P3 6:45Shot by Tippett, saved by Bernier
  65. P3 7:36Shot by Vatrano, saved by Bernier
  66. P3 8:56Goal by Duclair (Barkov)0 pts WP

    On ice: DET Ryan, Staal, Larkin, Hronek, Zadina · FLA Yandle, Gudas, Duclair, Verhaeghe, Barkov

  67. P3 12:00Shot by Duclair, saved by Bernier
  68. P3 12:41Shot by Gudas, saved by Bernier
  69. P3 12:51Shot by Hornqvist, saved by Bernier
  70. P3 13:33Shot by Gagner, saved by Driedger
  71. P3 13:58Shot by Merrill, saved by Driedger
  72. P3 14:07Shot by Ryan, saved by Driedger
  73. P3 14:19Shot by Zadina, saved by Driedger
  74. P3 15:06Shot by Gudas, saved by Bernier
  75. P3 15:29Shot by Mantha, saved by Driedger
  76. P3 15:31Shot by Larkin, saved by Driedger
  77. P3 15:34Lomberg: Slashing (2 min)

    On ice: DET Helm, Nemeth, Djoos, Mantha, Larkin · FLA Yandle, Gudas, Connolly, Lammikko, Lomberg

  78. P3 16:41Shot by Vatrano, saved by Bernier5v4
  79. P3 17:24Shot by Gagner, saved by Driedger5v4
  80. P3 17:26Shot by Brome, saved by Driedger5v4
  81. P3 18:18Shot by Ryan, saved by Driedger
  82. P3 19:01Shot by Fabbri, saved by Driedger
  83. P3 0:00Period end
  84. P3 0:00Final