Mon, Feb 22, 2021·Gila River Arena, Glendale
Anaheim Ducks 3, Arizona Coyotes 4
Three stars
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Anaheim Ducks win this game 54% of the time.
By period
Goals and shots on goal in each period.
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ANA | 216 | 16 | 06 | 328 |
| ARI | 08 | 313 | 14 | 425 |
Goals, with shots on goal in grey.
Scoring
Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.
- P1 3:09ANAJakob SilfverbergUnassisted · Wrist, 0.12 xG1–0
- P1 12:27ANAMax JonesPPAssists: Maxime Comtois, Cam Fowler · Wrist, 0.57 xG2–0
- P2 1:53ANACam FowlerAssists: Ryan Getzlaf, Maxime Comtois · Wrist, 0.06 xG3–0
- P2 8:15ARIChristian DvorakUnassisted · Backhand, 0.32 xG3–1
- P2 10:21ARIDerick BrassardAssists: Conor Garland, Phil Kessel · Wrist, 0.08 xG3–2
- P2 12:02ARIJakob ChychrunAssists: Drake Caggiula, Clayton Keller · Backhand, 0.11 xG3–3
- P3 3:52ARIChristian DvorakPPGWGAssists: Jakob Chychrun, Clayton Keller · Tip-in, 0.16 xG3–4
Penalties (18)
- P1 3:39ANARickard Rakell: Interference2 min
- P1 10:33ARITyler Pitlick: Delaying game puck over glass2 min · PPG
- P1 10:55ARINiklas Hjalmarsson: Tripping2 min
- P1 12:27ANAMax Jones: Unsportsmanlike conduct2 min
- P1 12:27ANARyan Getzlaf: Roughing2 min
- P1 12:27ARILawson Crouse: Roughing2 min
- P1 12:27ARIDarcy Kuemper: Roughing2 min
- P1 12:27ARIDarcy Kuemper: Roughing2 min
- P1 18:01ARIJohn Hayden: Fighting5 min
- P1 18:01ANAMax Jones: Fighting5 min
- P1 19:47ARILawson Crouse: Cross checking2 min
- P1 19:47ARILawson Crouse: Fighting5 min
- P1 19:47ANADerek Grant: Fighting5 min
- P2 3:58ANAIsac Lundeström: Elbowing2 min
- P2 7:43ARIConor Garland: Too many men on the ice2 min
- P2 8:15ANAJakob Silfverberg: Penalty shot hooking on breakaway0 min
- P2 12:48ANAJani Hakanpää: High sticking2 min
- P3 2:17ANATroy Terry: Hooking2 min · PPG
Replay
Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.
20:00
P1
- P1 20:00Steel won the faceoff against Dvorak
- Goal
- Shot
- Miss
- Block
- Hit
- Takeaway
- Giveaway
- Faceoff
- Penalty
The numbers
Team totals, side by side.
Line combinations that worked
Model-basedEach team's forward lines and defence pairs at 5-on-5 (two minutes or more together), best first by expected goals for minus against.
Anaheim Ducks
Forward lines
- bestGetzlaf – Terry – Jones7:07
xG 0.44–0.00 (100%)attempts 6–1goals 0–0
- Silfverberg – Steel – Zegras7:15
xG 0.29–0.00 (100%)attempts 5–1goals 1–0
- Grant – Deslauriers – Rowney2:46
xG 0.02–0.09 (15%)attempts 2–2goals 0–1
- Rakell – Comtois – Lundeström10:01
xG 0.19–0.36 (35%)attempts 4–8goals 0–1
Defence pairs
- Hutton – Larsson13:02
xG 0.32–0.36 (47%)attempts 8–9goals 0–0
- Shattenkirk – Mahura12:03
xG 0.30–0.59 (33%)attempts 9–9goals 0–1
- Fowler – Hakanpää14:31
xG 0.39–0.82 (32%)attempts 8–11goals 1–1
Arizona Coyotes
Forward lines
- bestSchmaltz – Garland – Keller5:23
xG 0.69–0.35 (66%)attempts 5–8goals 0–0
- Brassard – Kessel – Caggiula3:19
xG 0.34–0.01 (97%)attempts 4–1goals 0–0
- Schmaltz – Keller – Caggiula4:47
xG 0.45–0.21 (69%)attempts 10–5goals 1–0
- Brassard – Kessel – Garland6:25
xG 0.08–0.10 (45%)attempts 2–2goals 1–0
Defence pairs
- bestGoligoski – Chychrun14:04
xG 0.94–0.41 (69%)attempts 10–7goals 1–1
- Ekman-Larsson – Lyubushkin9:53
xG 0.35–0.12 (74%)attempts 8–7goals 1–0
- Hjalmarsson – Oesterle11:20
xG 0.10–0.51 (17%)attempts 2–8goals 0–0
How the game flowed
Model-basedChance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.
Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.
Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute
Win probability
Model-basedHow each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.
ARI's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line ARI is favoured, below it ANA. Dots are goals.
Did the better team win?
Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.
Based on shot quality alone, Anaheim Ducks win this game 54% of the time.
Simulated goal difference (ARI − ANA), 10,000 replays
The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).