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Ice Lab

Wed, Feb 24, 2021·Wells Fargo Center, Philadelphia

New York Rangers 3, Philadelphia Flyers 4

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Philadelphia Flyers win this game 63% of the time.

PHI winsNYR wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 0:58Shot by Gostisbehere, saved by Shesterkin
  3. P1 1:13Shot by Giroux, saved by Shesterkin
  4. P1 1:42Shot by Kreider, saved by Elliott
  5. P1 1:53Shot by Di Giuseppe, saved by Elliott
  6. P1 3:31Shot by Myers, saved by Shesterkin
  7. P1 5:31Lafrenière: Too many men on the ice (2 min)

    On ice: PHI Raffl, Sanheim, Aube-Kubel, Myers, Bunnaman · NYR Johnson, Smith, Di Giuseppe, Gauthier, Howden

  8. P1 5:55Shot by Hayes, saved by Shesterkin5v4
  9. P1 6:43Shot by Hayes, saved by Shesterkin5v4
  10. P1 7:12Shot by Gostisbehere, saved by Shesterkin5v4
  11. P1 7:40Shot by Giroux, saved by Shesterkin
  12. P1 7:48Goal by Gustafsson (Gostisbehere, Giroux)+15 pts WP

    On ice: PHI Giroux, Gostisbehere, Gustafsson, Aube-Kubel, Bunnaman · NYR Kreider, Bitetto, Strome, Hajek, Lafrenière

  13. P1 9:28Couturier: Holding (2 min)

    On ice: PHI van Riemsdyk, Couturier, Hagg, Provorov, Farabee · NYR Bitetto, Zibanejad, Buchnevich, Lemieux, Hajek

  14. P1 9:31Shot by Zibanejad, saved by Elliott4v5
  15. P1 9:32Goal by Kreider (Zibanejad, Fox)4v5+13 pts WP

    On ice: PHI Hayes, Raffl, Provorov, Myers · NYR Kreider, Blackwell, Strome, Zibanejad, Fox

  16. P1 12:24Shot by Sanheim, saved by Shesterkin
  17. P1 14:13Brodzinski: Slashing (2 min)

    On ice: PHI Gostisbehere, Raffl, Aube-Kubel, Provorov, Bunnaman · NYR Bitetto, Di Giuseppe, Brodzinski, Rooney, Hajek

  18. P1 14:35Shot by Zibanejad, saved by Elliott5v4
  19. P1 15:31Goal by Gostisbehere (Gustafsson, Giroux)5v4+16 pts WP

    On ice: PHI Giroux, Gostisbehere, Gustafsson, Aube-Kubel, Patrick · NYR Johnson, Smith, Rooney, Howden

  20. P1 15:48Shot by van Riemsdyk, saved by Shesterkin
  21. P1 16:20Aube-Kubel: Holding (2 min)

    On ice: PHI Raffl, Hagg, Aube-Kubel, Provorov, Bunnaman · NYR Kreider, Bitetto, Blackwell, Strome, Hajek

  22. P1 16:25Shot by Farabee, saved by Shesterkin4v5
  23. P1 16:54Shot by Blackwell, saved by Elliott4v5
  24. P1 17:01Shot by Zibanejad, saved by Elliott4v5
  25. P1 17:19Shot by Blackwell, saved by Elliott4v5
  26. P1 18:24Shot by Smith, saved by Elliott
  27. P1 19:06Shot by Giroux, saved by Shesterkin
  28. P1 19:22Shot by Giroux, saved by Shesterkin
  29. P1 19:28Shot by Hayes, saved by Shesterkin
  30. P1 0:00Period end
  31. P2 0:00Period start
  32. P2 0:22Shot by Myers, saved by Shesterkin
  33. P2 1:28Shot by Strome, saved by Elliott
  34. P2 1:29Shot by Strome, saved by Elliott
  35. P2 2:39Shot by Couturier, saved by Shesterkin
  36. P2 2:54Smith: Hooking (2 min)

    On ice: PHI Giroux, van Riemsdyk, Couturier, Gustafsson, Hagg, Farabee · NYR Johnson, Smith, Kreider, Brodzinski, Rooney

  37. P2 4:05Goal by van Riemsdyk (Farabee, Couturier)5v4+13 pts WP

    On ice: PHI van Riemsdyk, Hayes, Couturier, Provorov, Farabee · NYR Kreider, Bitetto, Rooney, Hajek

  38. P2 4:11Gauthier: High sticking (2 min)

    On ice: PHI Andreoff, Hagg, Morin, Provorov, Twarynski · NYR Lemieux, Rooney, Fox, Lindgren, Gauthier

  39. P2 4:14Shot by Hayes, saved by Shesterkin5v4
  40. P2 4:33Buchnevich: Delaying game puck over glass (2 min)5v4

    On ice: PHI van Riemsdyk, Hayes, Couturier, Provorov, Farabee · NYR Zibanejad, Buchnevich, Fox, Lindgren

  41. P2 4:52Shot by Giroux, saved by Shesterkin5v3
  42. P2 5:18Shot by Gostisbehere, saved by Shesterkin5v3
  43. P2 5:43Shot by Giroux, saved by Shesterkin5v3
  44. P2 7:31Bunnaman: Interference (2 min)

    On ice: PHI Gustafsson, Raffl, Aube-Kubel, Myers, Bunnaman · NYR Bitetto, Zibanejad, Buchnevich, Hajek, Lafrenière

  45. P2 8:03Goal by Kreider (Zibanejad, Strome)4v5+13 pts WP

    On ice: PHI Couturier, Hagg, Provorov, Farabee · NYR Kreider, Blackwell, Strome, Zibanejad, Fox

  46. P2 8:47Shot by Smith, saved by Elliott
  47. P2 8:49Shot by Smith, saved by Elliott
  48. P2 8:59Shot by Gauthier, saved by Elliott
  49. P2 11:21Shot by Farabee, saved by Shesterkin
  50. P2 12:17Shot by Buchnevich, saved by Elliott
  51. P2 12:55Shot by Couturier, saved by Shesterkin
  52. P2 14:37Goal by Hayes (Giroux, Myers)+14 pts WP

    On ice: PHI Giroux, Hayes, Sanheim, Myers, Patrick · NYR Johnson, Smith, Kreider, Blackwell, Strome

  53. P2 15:37Lindgren: Delaying game puck over glass (2 min)

    On ice: PHI Giroux, Hayes, Gostisbehere, Provorov, Patrick · NYR Di Giuseppe, Brodzinski, Rooney, Fox, Lindgren

  54. P2 15:49Shot by van Riemsdyk, saved by Shesterkin5v4
  55. P2 16:46Shot by Couturier, saved by Shesterkin5v4
  56. P2 18:04Shot by Bitetto, saved by Elliott
  57. P2 18:21Shot by Lafrenière, saved by Elliott
  58. P2 18:29Twarynski: Boarding (2 min)

    On ice: PHI van Riemsdyk, Sanheim, Myers, Twarynski, Bunnaman · NYR Kreider, Strome, Fox, Lindgren, Lafrenière

  59. P2 18:37Shot by Blackwell, saved by Elliott4v5
  60. P2 19:03Shot by Farabee, saved by Shesterkin4v5
  61. P2 19:52Shot by Giroux, saved by Shesterkin4v5
  62. P2 0:00Period end4v5
  63. P3 0:00Period start
  64. P3 1:16Shot by Gostisbehere, saved by Shesterkin
  65. P3 2:17Shot by Smith, saved by Elliott
  66. P3 2:25Shot by Morin, saved by Shesterkin
  67. P3 3:27Goal by Kreider (Lindgren, Blackwell)+14 pts WP

    On ice: PHI van Riemsdyk, Couturier, Sanheim, Myers, Farabee · NYR Kreider, Blackwell, Strome, Fox, Lindgren

  68. P3 5:28Shot by Fox, saved by Elliott
  69. P3 5:38Shot by Fox, saved by Elliott
  70. P3 7:05Shot by Gustafsson, saved by Shesterkin
  71. P3 7:25Shot by Buchnevich, saved by Elliott
  72. P3 7:27Shot by Fox, saved by Elliott
  73. P3 8:07Shot by Raffl, saved by Shesterkin
  74. P3 9:15Farabee: Hooking (2 min)

    On ice: PHI van Riemsdyk, Couturier, Gostisbehere, Provorov, Farabee · NYR Johnson, Smith, Blackwell, Lemieux, Howden

  75. P3 9:39Shot by Provorov, saved by Shesterkin4v5
  76. P3 10:34Shot by Strome, saved by Elliott4v5
  77. P3 11:25Shot by Farabee, saved by Shesterkin
  78. P3 14:07Shot by Giroux, saved by Shesterkin
  79. P3 14:22Bitetto: Hooking (2 min)6v5

    On ice: PHI Giroux, van Riemsdyk, Hayes, Gostisbehere, Provorov, Patrick · NYR Bitetto, Zibanejad, Buchnevich, Hajek, Lafrenière

  80. P3 15:09Shot by Hayes, saved by Shesterkin5v4
  81. P3 15:58Shot by Gostisbehere, saved by Shesterkin5v4
  82. P3 16:20Shot by Zibanejad, saved by Elliott5v4
  83. P3 16:29Shot by Aube-Kubel, saved by Shesterkin
  84. P3 19:51Buchnevich: Too many men on the ice (2 min)5v6

    On ice: PHI Raffl, Sanheim, Aube-Kubel, Myers, Bunnaman · NYR Smith, Kreider, Strome, Buchnevich, Lemieux, Lafrenière

  85. P3 0:00Period end5v4
  86. P3 0:00Final