Thu, Feb 25, 2021·Capital One Arena, Washington
Pittsburgh Penguins 2, Washington Capitals 5
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Washington Capitals win this game 75% of the time.
69%
19%
WSH winsPIT wins
Pittsburgh Penguins
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −1 | 1 | 23:50 | 0.00 | 56.7% | +27.9 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 22:46 | 0.03 | 26.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 3 | 20:37 | 0.36 | 43.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 3 | 19:56 | 0.16 | 39.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 5 | 19:41 | 0.56 | 49.5% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | −1 | 2 | 18:40 | 0.61 | 46.1% | +27.9 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −2 | 2 | 18:21 | 0.23 | 42.0% | +27.9 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 17:41 | 0.04 | 32.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 16:54 | 0.04 | 38.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 16:25 | 0.13 | 42.9% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 16:06 | 0.44 | 33.7% | +12.8 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 15:34 | 0.00 | 45.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 14:51 | 0.07 | 45.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 13:20 | 0.17 | 39.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +2 | 1 | 12:51 | 0.00 | 45.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 11:00 | 0.09 | 61.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 10:05 | 0.11 | 45.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 6:31 | 0.11 | 34.0% | 0.0 |
| L | 33 | 30 | 3 | .909 | 3.48 | +0.5 | 59:04 |
Washington Capitals
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 2 | 2 | −1 | 2 | 22:34 | 0.07 | 35.6% | +45.4 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 20:43 | 0.07 | 71.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 2 | 19:28 | 0.02 | 66.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +3 | 1 | 18:22 | 0.05 | 59.4% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 1 | 2 | +1 | 3 | 18:14 | 0.20 | 58.9% | +14.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 18:09 | 0.16 | 52.9% | +31.6 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 2 | 17:47 | 0.05 | 32.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 3 | 17:15 | 0.07 | 71.0% | +15.5 | |
| 1 | 1 | 2 | +1 | 5 | 16:43 | 0.53 | 53.9% | +15.7 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 16:38 | 0.08 | 69.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 16:18 | 0.55 | 69.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −1 | 4 | 16:04 | 0.69 | 69.2% | +31.6 | |
| 1 | 1 | 2 | +2 | 1 | 15:54 | 0.86 | 48.2% | +14.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 14:22 | 0.15 | 50.1% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 4 | 12:18 | 1.00 | 64.2% | +4.9 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 12:15 | 0.12 | 17.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 11:55 | 0.16 | 61.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7:06 | 0.00 | 30.4% | 0.0 |
| W | 28 | 26 | 2 | .929 | 3.16 | +1.2 | 59:55 |