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Ice Lab

Sat, Feb 27, 2021·KeyBank Center, Buffalo

Philadelphia Flyers 3, Buffalo Sabres 0

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Philadelphia Flyers win this game 70% of the time.

BUF winsPHI wins

Who was on the ice

Model-based

Line matchups and every shift of the game.

Line matchups

BUF forward lines and defence pairs (rows) against PHI's (columns) at 5-on-5. Darker cells shared more ice; the second number is xG for–against in that time. Click a cell to highlight it below.

Giroux–Hayes–Patrickvan Riemsdyk–Couturier–FarabeeVoracek–Laughton–LindblomRaffl–Aube-Kubel–Bunnamanvan Riemsdyk–Hayes–FarabeeLaughton–Aube-Kubel–LindblomVoracek–Raffl–BunnamanGiroux–Raffl–BunnamanBraun–SanheimGostisbehere–ProvorovGustafsson–HaggHagg–Provorov
Okposo–Eakin–Rieder2:570.50–0.142:200.06–0.002:470.19–0.261:490.02–0.162:250.29–0.133:580.23–0.11
Lazar–Reinhart–Olofsson1:560.01–0.001:250.00–0.121:260.00–0.001:190.07–0.000:390.01–0.003:040.06–0.003:040.03–0.010:450.00–0.11
Staal–Hall–Cozens1:380.36–0.251:580.06–0.131:000.00–0.000:400.01–0.020:580.08–0.000:450.10–0.002:530.16–0.382:430.35–0.021:070.00–0.000:450.10–0.00
Sheahan–Skinner–Mittelstadt2:190.19–0.123:060.04–0.122:420.05–0.151:550.00–0.022:280.19–0.07
Staal–Hall–Reinhart1:340.00–0.051:190.00–0.092:010.00–0.001:010.00–0.050:360.00–0.09
Lazar–Olofsson–Cozens0:320.07–0.000:330.00–0.000:550.00–0.360:300.00–0.331:520.07–0.00
Okposo–Skinner–Mittelstadt0:420.00–0.000:400.09–0.001:030.00–0.000:500.12–0.00
Skinner–Hall–Mittelstadt0:480.00–0.061:010.00–0.12
Montour–Jokiharju3:120.42–0.165:020.01–0.332:070.17–0.121:420.04–0.050:480.01–0.002:300.00–0.165:510.10–0.254:440.35–0.26
Ristolainen–Bryson5:330.19–0.410:390.00–0.001:440.02–0.121:250.06–0.381:010.10–0.006:150.22–0.462:510.00–0.451:040.06–0.000:450.10–0.00
Miller–Dahlin1:080.29–0.001:550.06–0.002:240.00–0.062:180.02–0.090:570.00–0.111:190.08–0.004:070.08–0.034:090.37–0.172:320.00–0.10
Ristolainen–Dahlin1:470.04–0.001:250.09–0.091:060.00–0.042:390.00–0.041:000.04–0.001:320.09–0.09
Miller–Bryson1:080.00–0.000:450.00–0.331:150.00–0.331:160.24–0.00
Shift chart

Every shift, one row per player.

P1P2P3EndReinhart FLazar FOlofsson FOkposo FRieder FEakin FHall FStaal FCozens FMittelstadt FSkinner FSheahan FRistolainen DBryson DMontour DJokiharju DDahlin DMiller DHutton GHayes FPatrick FGiroux Fvan Riemsdyk FFarabee FCouturier FLaughton FLindblom FVoracek FRaffl FAube-Kubel FBunnaman FSanheim DBraun DProvorov DGostisbehere DHagg DGustafsson DElliott G
BUFPHIFull-height lines are goals; short ticks at the top are shots. Hover to see who was on the ice.

Shift totals

Ivan ProvorovPHI2724:570:551:5438
Rasmus RistolainenBUF2622:180:511:5454
Brandon MontourBUF2521:440:521:5327
Travis SanheimPHI2821:420:471:2344
Justin BraunPHI2921:200:441:2347
Rasmus DahlinBUF2220:180:551:3454
Shayne GostisbeherePHI2220:100:552:3435
Claude GirouxPHI2818:100:391:1769
Kevin HayesPHI2018:010:541:5444
Henri JokiharjuBUF2118:000:511:5023
Sam ReinhartBUF2317:560:471:5071
Jacob BrysonBUF2517:480:431:2943
Colin MillerBUF2217:270:481:3454
James van RiemsdykPHI2217:210:471:4131
Taylor HallBUF2016:550:512:3253
Victor OlofssonBUF2116:370:472:0752
Joel FarabeePHI2116:370:471:2831
Eric StaalBUF2016:330:502:3252
Sean CouturierPHI2216:310:451:1333
Jakub VoracekPHI2016:170:491:2851
Curtis LazarBUF2215:170:421:5015
Robert HaggPHI2214:490:401:1932
Nolan PatrickPHI2114:370:421:2063
Scott LaughtonPHI2014:190:431:1522
Cody EakinBUF2014:030:421:0704
Jeff SkinnerBUF2014:030:421:1474
Erik GustafssonPHI2013:560:421:1961
Dylan CozensBUF1913:520:441:3234
Casey MittelstadtBUF1813:410:461:1474
Kyle OkposoBUF1913:330:431:0702
Oskar LindblomPHI2013:230:401:0422
Tobias RiederBUF1913:140:421:1704
Connor BunnamanPHI2011:520:361:1143
Michael RafflPHI1711:230:401:1433
Riley SheahanBUF1610:360:401:1437
Nicolas Aube-KubelPHI1810:030:341:0242