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Ice Lab

Sun, Mar 7, 2021·PPG Paints Arena, Pittsburgh

New York Rangers 1, Pittsburgh Penguins 5

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Pittsburgh Penguins win this game 69% of the time.

PIT winsNYR wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 1:18Goal by Zibanejad (Buchnevich, Trouba)+16 pts WP

    On ice: PIT Malkin, Matheson, Ceci, Kapanen, McCann · NYR Zibanejad, Trouba, Buchnevich, Miller, Lafrenière

  3. P1 1:56Shot by Smith, saved by DeSmith
  4. P1 2:37Shot by Lemieux, saved by DeSmith
  5. P1 3:46Shot by Trouba, saved by DeSmith
  6. P1 3:57Shot by Buchnevich, saved by DeSmith
  7. P1 3:58Shot by Zibanejad, saved by DeSmith
  8. P1 4:31Shot by Blueger, saved by Georgiev
  9. P1 5:35Shot by Lindgren, saved by DeSmith
  10. P1 5:44Shot by Lindgren, saved by DeSmith
  11. P1 9:15Crosby: Tripping (2 min)

    On ice: PIT Crosby, Letang, Dumoulin, Rust, Guentzel · NYR Kreider, Strome, Fox, Lindgren, Kakko

  12. P1 10:55Shot by Kakko, saved by DeSmith4v5
  13. P1 13:53Shot by Guentzel, saved by Georgiev
  14. P1 14:11Lindgren: Interference (2 min)

    On ice: PIT Crosby, Letang, Dumoulin, Rust, Guentzel · NYR Kreider, Strome, Fox, Lindgren, Kakko

  15. P1 14:36Shot by Rust, saved by Georgiev5v4
  16. P1 16:13Goal by Marino (Kapanen, Rodrigues)+20 pts WP

    On ice: PIT Matheson, Kapanen, McCann, Marino, Rodrigues · NYR Kreider, Strome, Trouba, Lindgren, Miller

  17. P1 16:52Goal by Kapanen (McCann, Malkin)+17 pts WP

    On ice: PIT Malkin, Matheson, Ceci, Kapanen, McCann · NYR Trouba, Rooney, Gauthier, Chytil, Miller

  18. P1 16:58Shot by Fox, saved by DeSmith
  19. P1 17:14Goal by Crosby (Dumoulin, Letang)+13 pts WP

    On ice: PIT Crosby, Letang, Dumoulin, Rust, Guentzel · NYR Di Giuseppe, Lemieux, Fox, Lindgren, Howden

  20. P1 18:55Shot by Miller, saved by DeSmith
  21. P1 0:00Period end
  22. P2 0:00Period start
  23. P2 3:40Shot by Lindgren, saved by DeSmith
  24. P2 4:01Shot by Kreider, saved by DeSmith
  25. P2 4:10Shot by Guentzel, saved by Kinkaid
  26. P2 8:30Shot by Ceci, saved by Kinkaid
  27. P2 10:01Lafrenière: Too many men on the ice (2 min)

    On ice: PIT Crosby, Rust, Matheson, Ceci, Guentzel · NYR Kreider, Strome, Di Giuseppe, Fox, Lindgren

  28. P2 11:19Shot by Guentzel, saved by Kinkaid5v4
  29. P2 11:20Shot by Guentzel, saved by Kinkaid5v4
  30. P2 11:57Zibanejad: Slashing (2 min)5v4

    On ice: PIT Matheson, Kapanen, McCann, Marino, Rodrigues · NYR Smith, Zibanejad, Hajek, Howden

  31. P2 12:08Shot by Crosby, saved by Kinkaid5v4
  32. P2 12:12Shot by Crosby, saved by Kinkaid5v4
  33. P2 13:00Shot by Rust, saved by Kinkaid5v4
  34. P2 14:42Shot by Kreider, saved by DeSmith
  35. P2 14:43Shot by Kreider, saved by DeSmith
  36. P2 15:05Shot by Chytil, saved by DeSmith
  37. P2 16:08Shot by Aston-Reese, saved by Kinkaid
  38. P2 18:23Shot by Jankowski, saved by Kinkaid
  39. P2 19:45Shot by Lafrenière, saved by DeSmith
  40. P2 0:00Period end
  41. P3 0:00Period start
  42. P3 0:32Shot by Kakko, saved by DeSmith
  43. P3 1:29Shot by Smith, saved by DeSmith
  44. P3 2:15Shot by Di Giuseppe, saved by DeSmith
  45. P3 2:49Shot by Fox, saved by DeSmith
  46. P3 4:00Shot by Tanev, saved by Kinkaid
  47. P3 6:22Shot by Kapanen, saved by Kinkaid
  48. P3 8:30Shot by Kakko, saved by DeSmith
  49. P3 9:37Shot by Jankowski, saved by Kinkaid
  50. P3 9:54Shot by Di Giuseppe, saved by DeSmith
  51. P3 11:01Shot by Zibanejad, saved by DeSmith
  52. P3 12:25Shot by Letang, saved by Kinkaid
  53. P3 12:56Shot by Guentzel, saved by Kinkaid
  54. P3 13:57Goal by Malkin (Kapanen, Pettersson)+2 pts WP

    On ice: PIT Malkin, Kapanen, Pettersson, Marino, Rodrigues · NYR Smith, Zibanejad, Buchnevich, Lindgren, Chytil

  55. P3 14:49Shot by Rust, saved by Kinkaid
  56. P3 15:26Shot by Letang, saved by Kinkaid
  57. P3 16:37Goal by Aston-Reese (Blueger, Tanev)0 pts WP

    On ice: PIT Blueger, Pettersson, Marino, Tanev, Aston-Reese · NYR Smith, Rooney, Gauthier, Hajek, Lafrenière

  58. P3 0:00Period end
  59. P3 0:00Final