Sat, Mar 13, 2021·TD Garden, Boston
New York Rangers 4, Boston Bruins 0
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, New York Rangers win this game 86% of the time.
By period
Goals and shots on goal in each period.
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| NYR | 110 | 111 | 212 | 433 |
| BOS | 06 | 05 | 07 | 018 |
Goals, with shots on goal in grey.
Scoring
Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.
- P1 3:06NYRK'Andre MillerGWGAssists: Pavel Buchnevich, Mika Zibanejad · Wrist, 0.01 xG1–0
- P2 5:42NYRChris KreiderAssists: Mika Zibanejad, Jacob Trouba · Wrist, 0.06 xG2–0
- P3 8:03NYRRyan StromeAssists: Artemi Panarin, Colin Blackwell · Wrist, 0.13 xG3–0
- P3 16:12NYRPavel BuchnevichAssists: Chris Kreider · Wrist, 0.05 xG4–0
Penalties (12)
- P1 7:41NYRBrendan Smith: Holding2 min
- P1 11:16BOSAnders Bjork: High sticking2 min
- P1 14:09BOSJakub Zboril: Tripping2 min
- P1 15:24NYRAlexis Lafrenière: Hooking2 min
- P2 0:53NYRBrendan Lemieux: Boarding2 min
- P2 6:47BOSBrad Marchand: High sticking2 min
- P2 10:19NYRAdam Fox: Hooking2 min
- P3 0:09NYRRyan Lindgren: Holding2 min
- P3 4:25BOSPatrice Bergeron: Interference2 min
- P3 12:30BOSBrad Marchand: Slashing2 min
- P3 18:47BOSTrent Frederic: Misconduct10 min
- P3 18:47NYRBrendan Lemieux: Misconduct10 min
Replay
Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.
20:00
P1
- P1 20:00Krejci won the faceoff against Zibanejad
- Goal
- Shot
- Miss
- Block
- Hit
- Takeaway
- Giveaway
- Faceoff
- Penalty
The numbers
Team totals, side by side.
Line combinations that worked
Model-basedEach team's forward lines and defence pairs at 5-on-5 (two minutes or more together), best first by expected goals for minus against.
New York Rangers
Forward lines
- bestChytil – Kakko – Lafrenière7:10
xG 0.47–0.20 (70%)attempts 6–7goals 0–0
- Blackwell – Strome – Panarin5:26
xG 0.26–0.03 (88%)attempts 5–1goals 1–0
- Kreider – Zibanejad – Buchnevich6:26
xG 0.20–0.01 (93%)attempts 6–3goals 3–0
- Panarin – Chytil – Kakko2:26
xG 0.16–0.02 (91%)attempts 5–2goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- bestFox – Lindgren12:12
xG 0.90–0.24 (79%)attempts 11–8goals 1–0
- Trouba – Miller13:30
xG 0.37–0.05 (88%)attempts 13–8goals 2–0
- Smith – Hajek10:57
xG 0.37–0.10 (79%)attempts 10–5goals 1–0
Boston Bruins
Forward lines
- bestWagner – Kuraly – Bjork3:01
xG 0.06–0.00 (100%)attempts 2–1goals 0–0
- Smith – Coyle – Frederic2:32
xG 0.00–0.00 (0%)attempts 0–1goals 0–0
- Wagner – Kuraly – Frederic4:27
xG 0.02–0.04 (30%)attempts 2–4goals 0–0
- Smith – Coyle – Ritchie2:38
xG 0.04–0.06 (38%)attempts 1–3goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- Grzelcyk – Clifton2:30
xG 0.04–0.00 (100%)attempts 2–1goals 0–0
- Clifton – Vaakanainen11:29
xG 0.17–0.34 (33%)attempts 7–11goals 0–1
- Tinordi – Zboril9:06
xG 0.08–0.31 (21%)attempts 3–8goals 0–2
How the game flowed
Model-basedChance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.
Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.
Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute
Win probability
Model-basedHow each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.
BOS's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line BOS is favoured, below it NYR. Dots are goals.
Did the better team win?
Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.
Based on shot quality alone, New York Rangers win this game 86% of the time.
Simulated goal difference (BOS − NYR), 10,000 replays
The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).