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Ice Lab

Sat, Mar 13, 2021·Amalie Arena, Tampa

Nashville Predators 3, Tampa Bay Lightning 6

Away

Nashville Predators

3

Final

Home

Tampa Bay Lightning

6

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Tampa Bay Lightning win this game 59% of the time.

TBL winsNSH wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 0:17Shot by McDonagh, saved by Rinne
  3. P1 1:52Shot by Cousins, saved by Vasilevskiy
  4. P1 2:34Shot by Trenin, saved by Vasilevskiy
  5. P1 6:55Goal by Johnson (Cernak, Coleman)+15 pts WP

    On ice: TBL McDonagh, Johnson, Coleman, Goodrow, Cernak · NSH Johansen, Forsberg, Harpur, Arvidsson, Allard

  6. P1 7:26Shot by Palat, saved by Rinne
  7. P1 8:33Shot by Gourde, saved by Rinne
  8. P1 9:07Shot by Arvidsson, saved by Vasilevskiy
  9. P1 9:17Shot by Forsberg, saved by Vasilevskiy
  10. P1 10:40Shot by Gourde, saved by Rinne
  11. P1 11:31Shot by Cernak, saved by Rinne
  12. P1 13:10Shot by Trenin, saved by Vasilevskiy
  13. P1 13:26Shot by Ekholm, saved by Vasilevskiy
  14. P1 14:57Shot by Sergachev, saved by Rinne
  15. P1 15:14Shot by Schenn, saved by Rinne
  16. P1 15:26Shot by Stamkos, saved by Rinne
  17. P1 16:13Shot by Coleman, saved by Rinne
  18. P1 17:09Shot by Harpur, saved by Vasilevskiy
  19. P1 18:01Shot by Trenin, saved by Vasilevskiy
  20. P1 18:35Goal by Joseph (Cernak, Stamkos)+13 pts WP

    On ice: TBL Maroon, McDonagh, Stamkos, Cernak, Joseph · NSH Ekholm, Johansen, Forsberg, Arvidsson, Carrier

  21. P1 19:08Shot by Grimaldi, saved by Vasilevskiy
  22. P1 0:00Period end
  23. P2 0:00Period start
  24. P2 1:06Shot by Granlund, saved by Vasilevskiy
  25. P2 1:17Shot by Sergachev, saved by Rinne
  26. P2 1:18Tolvanen: Slashing (2 min)

    On ice: TBL Palat, Point, Cirelli, Sergachev, Rutta · NSH Jarnkrok, Granlund, Benning, Davies, Tolvanen

  27. P2 1:34Shot by Palat, saved by Rinne5v4
  28. P2 1:40Shot by Palat, saved by Rinne5v4
  29. P2 2:09Shot by Point, saved by Rinne5v4
  30. P2 2:24Goal by Killorn (Palat, Hedman)5v4+7 pts WP

    On ice: TBL Killorn, Stamkos, Hedman, Palat, Point · NSH Ekholm, Haula, Sissons, Carrier

  31. P2 3:39Shot by Sissons, saved by Vasilevskiy
  32. P2 4:16Shot by Johnson, saved by Rinne
  33. P2 6:49Shot by Davies, saved by Vasilevskiy
  34. P2 7:13Shot by Killorn, saved by Rinne
  35. P2 7:25Shot by Hedman, saved by Rinne
  36. P2 8:42Shot by Cernak, saved by Rinne
  37. P2 12:02Goal by Trenin (Arvidsson)+7 pts WP

    On ice: TBL McDonagh, Johnson, Coleman, Goodrow, Cernak · NSH Johansen, Benning, Arvidsson, Trenin, Davies

  38. P2 13:44Shot by Carrier, saved by Vasilevskiy
  39. P2 15:03Shot by Forsberg, saved by Vasilevskiy
  40. P2 15:13Cernak: Tripping (2 min)

    On ice: TBL McDonagh, Stamkos, Coleman, Goodrow, Cernak · NSH Johansen, Forsberg, Benning, Arvidsson, Davies

  41. P2 17:40Shot by Davies, saved by Vasilevskiy
  42. P2 18:48Goal by Point (Sergachev)+6 pts WP

    On ice: TBL Hedman, Palat, Point, Joseph, Rutta · NSH Haula, Cousins, Grimaldi, Harpur, Allard

  43. P2 0:00Period end
  44. P3 0:00Period start
  45. P3 0:48Shot by Arvidsson, saved by Vasilevskiy
  46. P3 1:54Shot by Cousins, saved by Vasilevskiy
  47. P3 2:43Shot by Sergachev, saved by Rinne
  48. P3 3:17Goal by Carrier (Trenin, Olivier)+5 pts WP

    On ice: TBL Maroon, McDonagh, Joseph, Cirelli, Foote · NSH Ekholm, Sissons, Trenin, Carrier, Olivier

  49. P3 3:34Shot by Cernak, saved by Rinne
  50. P3 3:38Johnson: Boarding (2 min)

    On ice: TBL Johnson, Hedman, Coleman, Goodrow, Cernak · NSH Johansen, Forsberg, Benning, Arvidsson, Davies

  51. P3 5:02Shot by Jarnkrok, saved by Vasilevskiy4v5
  52. P3 5:03Goal by Haula (Jarnkrok, Cousins)4v5+13 pts WP

    On ice: TBL Killorn, Hedman, Cirelli, Sergachev · NSH Haula, Jarnkrok, Cousins, Arvidsson, Carrier

  53. P3 5:47Shot by Carrier, saved by Vasilevskiy
  54. P3 5:51Shot by Cousins, saved by Vasilevskiy
  55. P3 10:02Goal by Coleman (Goodrow, Johnson)+12 pts WP

    On ice: TBL McDonagh, Johnson, Coleman, Goodrow, Cernak · NSH Ekholm, Johansen, Forsberg, Arvidsson, Carrier

  56. P3 10:31Shot by Stamkos, saved by Rinne
  57. P3 10:54Shot by Hedman, saved by Rinne
  58. P3 12:07Shot by Harpur, saved by Vasilevskiy
  59. P3 12:13Shot by Grimaldi, saved by Vasilevskiy
  60. P3 12:48Shot by Rutta, saved by Rinne
  61. P3 13:18Shot by Granlund, saved by Vasilevskiy
  62. P3 14:55Shot by Harpur, saved by Vasilevskiy
  63. P3 15:04Shot by Tolvanen, saved by Vasilevskiy
  64. P3 16:51Shot by Forsberg, saved by Vasilevskiy
  65. P3 18:03Shot by Carrier, saved by Vasilevskiy5v6
  66. P3 18:12Shot by Carrier, saved by Vasilevskiy5v6
  67. P3 18:26Goal by Cirelli (McDonagh, Palat)5v60 pts WP

    On ice: TBL McDonagh, Palat, Point, Cernak, Cirelli · NSH Jarnkrok, Johansen, Granlund, Sissons, Carrier, Davies

  68. P3 0:00Period end
  69. P3 0:00Final