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Ice Lab

Thu, Mar 18, 2021·Ball Arena, Denver

Minnesota Wild 1, Colorado Avalanche 5

Away

Minnesota Wild

1

Final

Home

Colorado Avalanche

5

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Colorado Avalanche win this game 92% of the time.

COL winsMIN wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 0:15Shot by Calvert, saved by Talbot
  3. P1 0:16Shot by O'Connor, saved by Talbot
  4. P1 0:16Shot by O'Connor, saved by Talbot
  5. P1 0:17Shot by O'Connor, saved by Talbot
  6. P1 1:18Shot by MacKinnon, saved by Talbot
  7. P1 1:52Shot by Zuccarello, saved by Grubauer
  8. P1 2:41Shot by Donskoi, saved by Talbot
  9. P1 3:34Spurgeon: Holding (2 min)

    On ice: COL Calvert, Graves, MacKinnon, Bellemare, MacDonald, O'Connor · MIN Suter, Spurgeon, Johnson, Eriksson Ek, Sturm

  10. P1 3:59Shot by Landeskog, saved by Talbot5v4
  11. P1 4:22Shot by Rantanen, saved by Talbot5v4
  12. P1 4:36Shot by MacKinnon, saved by Talbot5v4
  13. P1 4:43Shot by Makar, saved by Talbot5v4
  14. P1 4:58Shot by Rantanen, saved by Talbot5v4
  15. P1 5:11Shot by Makar, saved by Talbot5v4
  16. P1 5:19Shot by Kadri, saved by Talbot5v4
  17. P1 5:27Shot by Girard, saved by Talbot5v4
  18. P1 6:26Shot by Landeskog, saved by Talbot
  19. P1 6:54Shot by Rantanen, saved by Talbot
  20. P1 8:20Shot by Calvert, saved by Talbot
  21. P1 10:49Shot by Toews, saved by Talbot
  22. P1 10:57Shot by Landeskog, saved by Talbot
  23. P1 11:10Goal by MacKinnon (Rantanen, Landeskog)+15 pts WP

    On ice: COL Landeskog, MacKinnon, Toews, Rantanen, Girard · MIN Parise, Brodin, Dumba, Hartman, Fiala

  24. P1 12:59Shot by O'Connor, saved by Talbot
  25. P1 13:26Shot by Girard, saved by Talbot
  26. P1 14:01Shot by Sturm, saved by Grubauer
  27. P1 15:17Shot by Rantanen, saved by Talbot
  28. P1 16:07Kadri: Hooking (2 min)

    On ice: COL Kadri, Saad, Burakovsky, Toews, MacDonald · MIN Suter, Spurgeon, Zuccarello, Rask, Kaprizov

  29. P1 16:15Shot by Fiala, saved by Grubauer4v5
  30. P1 17:15Shot by Suter, saved by Grubauer4v5
  31. P1 17:23Shot by Calvert, saved by Talbot4v5
  32. P1 18:50Shot by Bonino, saved by Grubauer
  33. P1 19:02Goal by Rantanen (Girard, MacKinnon)+13 pts WP

    On ice: COL Landeskog, MacKinnon, Rantanen, Girard, Makar · MIN Suter, Zuccarello, Rask, Brodin, Kaprizov

  34. P1 19:29Shot by Rask, saved by Grubauer
  35. P1 0:00Period end
  36. P2 0:00Period start
  37. P2 0:30Shot by O'Connor, saved by Talbot
  38. P2 1:10Shot by Toews, saved by Talbot
  39. P2 1:11Shot by Toews, saved by Talbot
  40. P2 1:51Shot by Girard, saved by Talbot
  41. P2 2:40Shot by Kadri, saved by Talbot
  42. P2 3:49Shot by Zuccarello, saved by Grubauer
  43. P2 5:20Shot by Brodin, saved by Grubauer
  44. P2 5:25Shot by Bjugstad, saved by Grubauer
  45. P2 7:17Donskoi: Slashing (2 min)

    On ice: COL Donskoi, Graves, Nichushkin, Jost, MacDonald · MIN Suter, Bonino, Spurgeon, Johnson, Sturm

  46. P2 8:41Goal by Rask (Zuccarello)4v5+13 pts WP

    On ice: COL Graves, Bellemare, Girard, O'Connor · MIN Spurgeon, Zuccarello, Rask, Hartman, Eriksson Ek

  47. P2 9:50Shot by Makar, saved by Talbot
  48. P2 10:20Shot by Suter, saved by Grubauer
  49. P2 10:48Shot by MacDonald, saved by Talbot
  50. P2 10:50Shot by MacDonald, saved by Talbot
  51. P2 10:55Landeskog: Tripping (2 min)

    On ice: COL Landeskog, MacKinnon, Rantanen, Girard, MacDonald · MIN Suter, Spurgeon, Bjugstad, Greenway, Eriksson Ek

  52. P2 13:29Shot by Brodin, saved by Grubauer
  53. P2 13:29Greenway: Roughing (2 min)

    On ice: COL Landeskog, MacKinnon, Rantanen, Makar, Byram · MIN Bonino, Cole, Brodin, Greenway, Sturm

  54. P2 13:29Greenway: Roughing (2 min)5v4

    On ice: COL Landeskog, MacKinnon, Rantanen, Makar, Byram · MIN Bonino, Cole, Brodin, Greenway, Sturm

  55. P2 13:29Byram: Roughing (2 min)5v3

    On ice: COL Landeskog, MacKinnon, Rantanen, Makar, Byram · MIN Bonino, Cole, Brodin, Greenway, Sturm

  56. P2 13:39Shot by Kadri, saved by Talbot5v4
  57. P2 13:50Shot by MacKinnon, saved by Talbot5v4
  58. P2 14:05Shot by Makar, saved by Talbot5v4
  59. P2 14:57Shot by Makar, saved by Talbot5v4
  60. P2 15:06Shot by Landeskog, saved by Talbot5v4
  61. P2 15:07Goal by Landeskog (Rantanen, MacKinnon)5v4+14 pts WP

    On ice: COL Kadri, Landeskog, MacKinnon, Rantanen, Makar · MIN Suter, Parise, Spurgeon, Eriksson Ek

  62. P2 15:22Shot by Kadri, saved by Talbot
  63. P2 16:11Shot by Kaprizov, saved by Grubauer
  64. P2 17:04Shot by Nichushkin, saved by Talbot
  65. P2 19:39Shot by Kadri, saved by Talbot
  66. P2 19:41Shot by Kadri, saved by Talbot
  67. P2 19:50Shot by Makar, saved by Talbot
  68. P2 0:00Period end
  69. P3 0:00Period start
  70. P3 0:20Shot by Eriksson Ek, saved by Grubauer
  71. P3 0:54Shot by Toews, saved by Talbot
  72. P3 1:32Shot by Girard, saved by Talbot
  73. P3 1:57Goal by Donskoi (MacDonald)+5 pts WP

    On ice: COL Donskoi, Graves, Nichushkin, Jost, MacDonald · MIN Parise, Cole, Bjugstad, Brodin, Hartman

  74. P3 2:42Shot by Calvert, saved by Talbot
  75. P3 4:49Shot by O'Connor, saved by Talbot
  76. P3 6:30Goal by Rantanen (Landeskog, Graves)+1 pts WP

    On ice: COL Landeskog, Graves, MacKinnon, Rantanen, Byram · MIN Bonino, Cole, Spurgeon, Johnson, Sturm

  77. P3 8:07Shot by Girard, saved by Talbot
  78. P3 8:12Shot by MacDonald, saved by Talbot
  79. P3 9:53Shot by Jost, saved by Talbot
  80. P3 11:32Shot by Brodin, saved by Grubauer
  81. P3 12:54Shot by Saad, saved by Talbot
  82. P3 13:27Shot by Jost, saved by Talbot
  83. P3 14:00Shot by Hartman, saved by Grubauer
  84. P3 14:05Shot by Sturm, saved by Grubauer
  85. P3 15:19MacKinnon: Elbowing (2 min)

    On ice: COL Landeskog, MacKinnon, Toews, Rantanen, Makar · MIN Cole, Zuccarello, Rask, Brodin, Kaprizov

  86. P3 15:29Shot by Hunt, saved by Grubauer4v5
  87. P3 17:53Shot by Brodin, saved by Grubauer
  88. P3 18:02Shot by Bonino, saved by Grubauer
  89. P3 0:00Period end
  90. P3 0:00Final