Thu, Mar 25, 2021·United Center, Chicago
Florida Panthers 0, Chicago Blackhawks 3
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Florida Panthers win this game 64% of the time.
By period
Goals and shots on goal in each period.
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FLA | 013 | 017 | 011 | 041 |
| CHI | 07 | 29 | 15 | 321 |
Goals, with shots on goal in grey.
Scoring
Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.
- P2 1:05CHIPatrick KanePPGWGAssists: Carl Soderberg, Brandon Hagel · Wrist, 0.35 xG0–1
- P2 3:34CHIPius SuterAssists: Alex DeBrincat, Patrick Kane · Wrist, 0.30 xG0–2
- P3 18:36CHIBrandon HagelENAssists: Connor Murphy · Wrist, 0.56 xG0–3
Penalties (12)
- P1 11:26CHIPatrick Kane: Tripping2 min
- P1 16:45CHINikita Zadorov: Tripping2 min
- P1 0:00FLAMason Marchment: Tripping2 min · PPG
- P2 6:28CHIRyan Carpenter: Fighting5 min
- P2 6:28FLAMacKenzie Weegar: Instigator2 min
- P2 6:28FLAMacKenzie Weegar: Fighting5 min
- P2 6:28FLAMacKenzie Weegar: Misconduct10 min
- P2 11:05CHIIan Mitchell: Delaying game puck over glass2 min
- P2 14:35FLAMarkus Nutivaara: Interference2 min
- P2 17:36CHIKevin Lankinen: Delaying game illegal play by goalie2 min
- P3 4:15CHINikita Zadorov: Slashing2 min
- P3 19:09CHIPius Suter: Interference goalkeeper2 min
Replay
Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.
20:00
P1
- P1 20:00Verhaeghe won the faceoff against Carpenter
- Goal
- Shot
- Miss
- Block
- Hit
- Takeaway
- Giveaway
- Faceoff
- Penalty
The numbers
Team totals, side by side.
Line combinations that worked
Model-basedEach team's forward lines and defence pairs at 5-on-5 (two minutes or more together), best first by expected goals for minus against.
Florida Panthers
Forward lines
- bestDuclair – Verhaeghe – Marchment6:10
xG 0.33–0.09 (78%)attempts 11–3goals 0–0
- Hornqvist – Wennberg – Vatrano6:35
xG 0.33–0.11 (75%)attempts 6–3goals 0–0
- Hinostroza – Duclair – Verhaeghe3:17
xG 0.04–0.00 (100%)attempts 3–0goals 0–0
- Huberdeau – Tippett – Luostarinen3:01
xG 0.09–0.37 (21%)attempts 3–5goals 0–1
Defence pairs
- bestGudas – Forsling8:38
xG 0.37–0.00 (100%)attempts 13–1goals 0–0
- Weegar – Ekblad5:37
xG 0.35–0.14 (71%)attempts 6–5goals 0–0
- Stralman – Weegar2:04
xG 0.12–0.02 (88%)attempts 4–2goals 0–0
Chicago Blackhawks
Forward lines
- bestKane – DeBrincat – Suter11:06
xG 0.72–0.41 (64%)attempts 12–11goals 1–0
- Soderberg – Highmore – Kurashev4:09
xG 0.15–0.13 (54%)attempts 3–6goals 0–0
- Kane – Strome – DeBrincat2:36
xG 0.05–0.11 (32%)attempts 1–4goals 0–0
- Janmark – Carpenter – Strome5:16
xG 0.05–0.36 (13%)attempts 2–5goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- de Haan – Boqvist12:51
xG 0.34–0.38 (47%)attempts 12–11goals 0–0
- Keith – Mitchell10:29
xG 0.42–0.58 (42%)attempts 5–13goals 1–0
- Murphy – Zadorov12:33
xG 0.05–0.38 (12%)attempts 1–15goals 0–0
How the game flowed
Model-basedChance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.
Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.
Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute
Win probability
Model-basedHow each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.
CHI's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line CHI is favoured, below it FLA. Dots are goals.
Did the better team win?
Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.
Based on shot quality alone, Florida Panthers win this game 64% of the time.
Simulated goal difference (CHI − FLA), 10,000 replays
The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).