Sat, Mar 27, 2021·Gila River Arena, Glendale
San Jose Sharks 0, Arizona Coyotes 4
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Arizona Coyotes win this game 72% of the time.
By period
Goals and shots on goal in each period.
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| SJS | 017 | 09 | 08 | 034 |
| ARI | 09 | 25 | 213 | 427 |
Goals, with shots on goal in grey.
Scoring
Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.
- P2 5:49ARIClayton KellerGWGUnassisted · Wrist, 0.15 xG0–1
- P2 14:16ARIPhil KesselPPAssists: Oliver Ekman-Larsson, Clayton Keller · Wrist, 0.03 xG0–2
- P3 14:03ARIPhil KesselAssists: Christian Dvorak, Alex Goligoski · Wrist, 0.28 xG0–3
- P3 17:28ARIPhil KesselENAssists: Clayton Keller, Nick Schmaltz · Wrist, 0.66 xG0–4
Penalties (12)
- P1 6:54ARIJakob Chychrun: Interference2 min
- P2 6:04SJSKurtis Gabriel: Charging2 min
- P2 6:04SJSKurtis Gabriel: Roughing2 min
- P2 6:04ARIJohn Hayden: Roughing2 min
- P2 6:04ARIJohn Hayden: Roughing2 min
- P2 13:46SJSRudolfs Balcers: Holding2 min · PPG
- P2 19:42SJSMarc-Edouard Vlasic: Slashing2 min
- P3 3:48SJSRudolfs Balcers: Tripping2 min
- P3 7:02SJSKurtis Gabriel: Interference5 min
- P3 7:02SJSKurtis Gabriel: Game misconduct10 min
- P3 11:56SJSRadim Simek: Delaying game puck over glass2 min
- P3 14:03SJSJohn Leonard: Delaying game unsuccessful challenge2 min
Replay
Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.
20:00
P1
- P1 20:00Brassard won the faceoff against Hertl
- Goal
- Shot
- Miss
- Block
- Hit
- Takeaway
- Giveaway
- Faceoff
- Penalty
The numbers
Team totals, side by side.
Line combinations that worked
Model-basedEach team's forward lines and defence pairs at 5-on-5 (two minutes or more together), best first by expected goals for minus against. Shift data for this game is incomplete, so treat these as rough.
San Jose Sharks
Forward lines
- bestHertl – Balcers – Leonard7:08
xG 0.44–0.30 (60%)attempts 9–4goals 0–0
- Couture – Kane – Labanc10:17
xG 0.48–0.41 (54%)attempts 13–11goals 0–0
- Marleau – Meier – Gambrell7:01
xG 0.22–0.17 (56%)attempts 5–2goals 0–1
- Gabriel – Donato – Suomela4:39
xG 0.04–0.11 (26%)attempts 3–4goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- bestKarlsson – Knyzhov13:23
xG 0.78–0.27 (74%)attempts 18–9goals 0–0
- Burns – Simek2:50
xG 0.30–0.01 (96%)attempts 7–1goals 0–0
- Burns – Ferraro11:54
xG 0.43–0.33 (56%)attempts 9–8goals 0–0
Arizona Coyotes
Forward lines
- bestKessel – Larsson – Keller8:09
xG 0.33–0.22 (60%)attempts 6–5goals 1–0
- Hayden – Schmaltz – Caggiula5:31
xG 0.11–0.19 (38%)attempts 4–5goals 0–0
- Brassard – Hunt – Crouse6:17
xG 0.16–0.32 (33%)attempts 2–6goals 0–0
- Dvorak – Fischer – Garland8:36
xG 0.22–0.52 (29%)attempts 6–14goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- bestGoligoski – Chychrun13:29
xG 1.05–0.55 (65%)attempts 14–12goals 1–0
- Ekman-Larsson – Lyubushkin11:41
xG 0.23–0.55 (29%)attempts 8–12goals 0–0
- Demers – Oesterle10:11
xG 0.03–0.38 (8%)attempts 5–10goals 0–0
How the game flowed
Model-basedChance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.
Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.
Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute
Win probability
Model-basedHow each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.
ARI's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line ARI is favoured, below it SJS. Dots are goals.
Did the better team win?
Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.
Based on shot quality alone, Arizona Coyotes win this game 72% of the time.
Simulated goal difference (ARI − SJS), 10,000 replays
The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).