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Ice Lab

Sun, Mar 28, 2021·Capital One Arena, Washington

New York Rangers 4, Washington Capitals 5

Away

New York Rangers

4

Final

Home

Washington Capitals

5

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Washington Capitals win this game 56% of the time.

WSH winsNYR wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 0:31Shot by Panik, saved by Kinkaid
  3. P1 0:43Shot by Oshie, saved by Kinkaid
  4. P1 1:11Shot by Panarin, saved by Samsonov
  5. P1 5:30Shot by Carlson, saved by Kinkaid
  6. P1 5:44Shot by Carlson, saved by Kinkaid
  7. P1 6:05Shot by Trouba, saved by Samsonov
  8. P1 6:21Shot by Miller, saved by Samsonov
  9. P1 6:29Shot by Ovechkin, saved by Kinkaid
  10. P1 7:25Shot by Chytil, saved by Samsonov
  11. P1 8:10Shot by Oshie, saved by Kinkaid
  12. P1 12:06Shot by Fox, saved by Samsonov
  13. P1 12:13Shot by Zibanejad, saved by Samsonov
  14. P1 14:40Shot by Panik, saved by Kinkaid
  15. P1 15:01Shot by Hagelin, saved by Kinkaid
  16. P1 15:35Shot by Hagelin, saved by Kinkaid
  17. P1 17:15Blackwell: Roughing (2 min)

    On ice: WSH Oshie, Schultz, Orlov, Panik, Vrana · NYR Smith, Blackwell, Di Giuseppe, Rooney, Hajek

  18. P1 17:57Shot by Carlson, saved by Kinkaid5v4
  19. P1 19:00Shot by Ovechkin, saved by Kinkaid5v4
  20. P1 0:00Period end
  21. P2 0:00Period start
  22. P2 3:08Shot by Hagelin, saved by Kinkaid
  23. P2 3:25Smith: Hooking (2 min)

    On ice: WSH Ovechkin, Backstrom, Carlson, Dillon, Kuznetsov, Wilson · NYR Smith, Kreider, Strome, Hajek, Chytil

  24. P2 6:55Shot by Hathaway, saved by Kinkaid
  25. P2 7:11Dowd: Holding (2 min)

    On ice: WSH Hagelin, Carlson, Dowd, Dillon, Hathaway · NYR Blackwell, Fox, Lindgren, Kakko, Lafrenière

  26. P2 9:58Shot by Kakko, saved by Samsonov
  27. P2 10:41Shot by Vrana, saved by Kinkaid
  28. P2 10:43Goal by Wilson (Vrana)+21 pts WP

    On ice: WSH Backstrom, Schultz, Orlov, Wilson, Vrana · NYR Smith, Blackwell, Di Giuseppe, Rooney, Lindgren

  29. P2 12:18Shot by Schultz, saved by Kinkaid
  30. P2 12:29Goal by Ovechkin (Oshie, Orlov)+14 pts WP

    On ice: WSH Ovechkin, Oshie, Schultz, Orlov, Kuznetsov · NYR Strome, Panarin, Fox, Lindgren, Kakko

  31. P2 12:51Wilson: Tripping (2 min)

    On ice: WSH Chara, Backstrom, Jensen, Wilson, Vrana · NYR Smith, Gauthier, Hajek, Chytil, Lafrenière

  32. P2 15:06Shot by Backstrom, saved by Kinkaid
  33. P2 15:07Goal by Wilson (Backstrom, Oshie)+6 pts WP

    On ice: WSH Oshie, Backstrom, Carlson, Dillon, Wilson · NYR Di Giuseppe, Trouba, Chytil, Miller, Kakko

  34. P2 16:39Shot by Kreider, saved by Samsonov
  35. P2 18:05Shot by Smith, saved by Samsonov
  36. P2 18:09Shot by Gauthier, saved by Samsonov
  37. P2 18:14Hagelin: High sticking (2 min)

    On ice: WSH Chara, Hagelin, Jensen, Dowd, Hathaway · NYR Smith, Gauthier, Hajek, Chytil, Lafrenière

  38. P2 18:59Shot by Kreider, saved by Samsonov4v5
  39. P2 0:00Period end4v5
  40. P3 0:00Period start
  41. P3 1:05Shot by Kuznetsov, saved by Kinkaid
  42. P3 1:44Shot by Hajek, saved by Samsonov
  43. P3 1:50Hajek: Interference (2 min)

    On ice: WSH Chara, Backstrom, Jensen, Wilson, Sheary · NYR Smith, Di Giuseppe, Rooney, Hajek, Lafrenière

  44. P3 5:10Goal by Kuznetsov (Hagelin, Hathaway)+1 pts WP

    On ice: WSH Chara, Hagelin, Dillon, Kuznetsov, Hathaway · NYR Blackwell, Trouba, Panarin, Hajek, Lafrenière

  45. P3 6:42Goal by Blackwell (Fox)+1 pts WP

    On ice: WSH Oshie, Carlson, Panik, Dillon, Vrana · NYR Blackwell, Di Giuseppe, Rooney, Fox, Lindgren

  46. P3 9:41Goal by Blackwell (Rooney, Di Giuseppe)+3 pts WP

    On ice: WSH Oshie, Schultz, Orlov, Panik, Vrana · NYR Smith, Blackwell, Di Giuseppe, Rooney, Hajek

  47. P3 10:19Shot by Panarin, saved by Samsonov
  48. P3 11:46Goal by Oshie (Schultz, Orlov)+3 pts WP

    On ice: WSH Ovechkin, Oshie, Schultz, Orlov, Kuznetsov · NYR Smith, Blackwell, Zibanejad, Hajek, Chytil

  49. P3 12:17Shot by Gauthier, saved by Samsonov
  50. P3 12:18Goal by Lafrenière (Gauthier, Rooney)+2 pts WP

    On ice: WSH Ovechkin, Schultz, Orlov, Kuznetsov, Wilson · NYR Trouba, Rooney, Gauthier, Miller, Lafrenière

  51. P3 15:28Shot by Buchnevich, saved by Samsonov
  52. P3 15:57Wilson: Tripping (2 min)5v6

    On ice: WSH Chara, Backstrom, Jensen, Wilson, Sheary · NYR Smith, Panarin, Gauthier, Hajek, Chytil, Lafrenière

  53. P3 16:08Goal by Kreider (Strome, Fox)4v5+8 pts WP

    On ice: WSH Chara, Backstrom, Hagelin, Jensen · NYR Kreider, Strome, Zibanejad, Panarin, Fox

  54. P3 16:30Shot by Buchnevich, saved by Samsonov
  55. P3 0:00Period end5v6
  56. P3 0:00Final