Wed, Mar 31, 2021·KeyBank Center, Buffalo
Philadelphia Flyers 1, Buffalo Sabres 6
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Philadelphia Flyers win this game 50% of the time.
41%
8%
9%
41%
BUF winsPHI wins
Philadelphia Flyers
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 1 | 0 | 1 | −1 | 5 | 23:58 | 0.18 | 21.5% | +13.6 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 2 | 23:16 | 0.14 | 74.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 22:48 | 0.01 | 60.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −1 | 4 | 21:35 | 0.38 | 47.7% | +13.6 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 4 | 20:56 | 0.23 | 49.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −1 | 2 | 20:16 | 0.09 | 47.7% | +13.6 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 2 | 18:41 | 0.06 | 38.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 17:56 | 0.37 | 56.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −3 | 1 | 17:12 | 0.01 | 60.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 2 | 17:00 | 0.31 | 66.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 1 | 15:47 | 0.49 | 67.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 0 | 15:05 | 0.00 | 44.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 4 | 14:41 | 0.42 | 65.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 2 | 12:51 | 0.19 | 48.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10:57 | 0.11 | 58.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 10:44 | 0.00 | 16.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 8:57 | 0.00 | 15.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 0 | 7:43 | 0.00 | 11.4% | 0.0 |
| – | 10 | 9 | 1 | .900 | 1.03 | 0.0 | 24:08 | |
| L | 16 | 12 | 4 | .750 | 1.52 | −2.5 | 35:29 |
Buffalo Sabres
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 2 | 2 | +4 | 0 | 22:31 | 0.00 | 73.8% | +20.2 | |
| 0 | 2 | 2 | +4 | 4 | 22:29 | 0.10 | 70.9% | +29.2 | |
| 2 | 0 | 2 | +1 | 4 | 20:11 | 0.78 | 40.8% | +0.3 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 19:32 | 0.01 | 34.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 18:39 | 0.01 | 16.4% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 3 | 18:33 | 0.14 | 50.1% | +15.1 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 18:10 | 0.00 | 41.9% | +12.9 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 16:53 | 0.14 | 17.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 16:22 | 0.39 | 34.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 15:36 | 0.09 | 56.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 15:34 | 0.18 | 47.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 15:25 | 0.08 | 34.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +3 | 2 | 15:05 | 0.16 | 78.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 2 | 2 | +1 | 0 | 14:18 | 0.00 | 55.8% | +15.1 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 3 | 13:15 | 0.21 | 40.2% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 12:40 | 0.17 | 34.9% | +6.2 | |
| 1 | 1 | 2 | +2 | 1 | 10:58 | 0.40 | 92.1% | +20.2 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 7:43 | 0.19 | 68.3% | +12.9 |
| W | 32 | 31 | 1 | .969 | 2.99 | +2.0 | 60:00 |