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Ice Lab

Sat, Mar 27, 2021·PPG Paints Arena, Pittsburgh

New York Islanders 3, Pittsburgh Penguins 6

Away

New York Islanders

3

Final

Home

Pittsburgh Penguins

6

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Pittsburgh Penguins win this game 65% of the time.

PIT winsNYI wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 3:15Shot by Pulock, saved by Jarry
  3. P1 3:17Wahlstrom: Interference goalkeeper (2 min)

    On ice: PIT Crosby, Letang, Dumoulin, Rust, Guentzel · NYI Pageau, Pelech, Pulock, Beauvillier, Wahlstrom

  4. P1 5:48Goal by Gaudreau (Lafferty, Sceviour)+14 pts WP

    On ice: PIT Sceviour, Ceci, Gaudreau, Pettersson, Lafferty · NYI Clutterbuck, Hickey, Martin, Leddy, Barzal

  5. P1 6:23Shot by Pulock, saved by Jarry
  6. P1 6:38Shot by Wahlstrom, saved by Jarry
  7. P1 7:17Shot by Barzal, saved by Jarry
  8. P1 8:06Shot by Bellows, saved by Jarry
  9. P1 10:07Goal by Rodrigues (McCann, Ceci)+13 pts WP

    On ice: PIT Letang, Matheson, McCann, Rodrigues, Aston-Reese · NYI Eberle, Leddy, Pulock, Barzal, Beauvillier

  10. P1 12:20Shot by O'Connor, saved by Sorokin
  11. P1 12:45Shot by Leddy, saved by Jarry
  12. P1 13:46Shot by Dumoulin, saved by Sorokin
  13. P1 14:35Shot by Bellows, saved by Jarry
  14. P1 15:23Jarry: High sticking (2 min)

    On ice: PIT Pettersson, Angello, Marino, O'Connor, Zohorna · NYI Clutterbuck, Hickey, Martin, Cizikas, Mayfield

  15. P1 17:56Shot by Cizikas, saved by Jarry
  16. P1 18:12Shot by Pelech, saved by Jarry
  17. P1 19:11Lafferty: Tripping (2 min)

    On ice: PIT Letang, Sceviour, Dumoulin, Gaudreau, Lafferty · NYI Greene, Leddy, Pageau, Beauvillier, Wahlstrom

  18. P1 0:00Period end4v5
  19. P2 0:00Period start
  20. P2 0:53Shot by Beauvillier, saved by Jarry4v5
  21. P2 1:00Shot by Barzal, saved by Jarry4v5
  22. P2 1:16Shot by Eberle, saved by Jarry
  23. P2 1:39Shot by Rust, saved by Sorokin
  24. P2 3:08Shot by Aston-Reese, saved by Sorokin
  25. P2 4:09Leddy: Slashing (2 min)

    On ice: PIT Sceviour, Gaudreau, Pettersson, Lafferty, Marino · NYI Greene, Eberle, Leddy, Barzal, Wahlstrom

  26. P2 4:24Shot by Letang, saved by Sorokin5v4
  27. P2 4:26Goal by Crosby (Guentzel, Letang)5v4+8 pts WP

    On ice: PIT Crosby, Letang, Rust, Guentzel, McCann · NYI Clutterbuck, Cizikas, Mayfield, Pelech

  28. P2 5:30Mayfield: Cross checking (2 min)

    On ice: PIT Letang, Sceviour, Dumoulin, Gaudreau, Lafferty · NYI Komarov, Hickey, Eberle, Mayfield, Barzal

  29. P2 6:18Goal by Rust (Crosby, McCann)5v4+3 pts WP

    On ice: PIT Crosby, Letang, Rust, Guentzel, McCann · NYI Komarov, Pageau, Pelech, Pulock

  30. P2 8:02Shot by Mayfield, saved by Jarry
  31. P2 8:20Shot by Letang, saved by Varlamov
  32. P2 8:21Goal by Rust (Letang, Guentzel)+1 pts WP

    On ice: PIT Crosby, Letang, Dumoulin, Rust, Guentzel · NYI Bailey, Nelson, Pelech, Pulock, Bellows

  33. P2 8:40Shot by Matheson, saved by Varlamov
  34. P2 9:01Shot by McCann, saved by Varlamov
  35. P2 9:37Shot by Sceviour, saved by Varlamov
  36. P2 10:11Shot by Mayfield, saved by Jarry
  37. P2 10:12Shot by Komarov, saved by Jarry
  38. P2 10:33Shot by Eberle, saved by Jarry
  39. P2 10:47Goal by Barzal (Mayfield)+1 pts WP

    On ice: PIT Crosby, Letang, Rust, Matheson, Guentzel · NYI Komarov, Hickey, Eberle, Mayfield, Barzal

  40. P2 12:27Shot by Rodrigues, saved by Varlamov
  41. P2 14:47Shot by Letang, saved by Varlamov
  42. P2 14:50Shot by Aston-Reese, saved by Varlamov
  43. P2 15:12Shot by Mayfield, saved by Jarry
  44. P2 16:53Shot by Leddy, saved by Jarry
  45. P2 17:26Shot by Martin, saved by Jarry
  46. P2 18:31Shot by Lafferty, saved by Varlamov
  47. P2 19:54Shot by Eberle, saved by Jarry
  48. P2 19:59Shot by Pulock, saved by Jarry
  49. P2 0:00Period end
  50. P3 0:00Period start
  51. P3 3:51Shot by Pulock, saved by Jarry
  52. P3 5:21Shot by Barzal, saved by Jarry
  53. P3 5:23Goal by Beauvillier (Barzal, Leddy)+1 pts WP

    On ice: PIT Sceviour, Gaudreau, Pettersson, Lafferty, Marino · NYI Hickey, Eberle, Mayfield, Barzal, Beauvillier

  54. P3 8:08Shot by Pelech, saved by Jarry
  55. P3 8:25Shot by Pulock, saved by Jarry
  56. P3 10:17Shot by Ceci, saved by Varlamov
  57. P3 13:47Gaudreau: Slashing (2 min)

    On ice: PIT Sceviour, Gaudreau, Pettersson, Lafferty, Marino · NYI Greene, Clutterbuck, Martin, Leddy, Cizikas

  58. P3 14:23Shot by Pulock, saved by Jarry4v5
  59. P3 15:47Wahlstrom: High sticking (2 min)4v5

    On ice: PIT Dumoulin, Ceci, Rodrigues, Aston-Reese · NYI Eberle, Pulock, Barzal, Beauvillier, Wahlstrom

  60. P3 16:30Shot by Rust, saved by Varlamov5v4
  61. P3 17:12Rust: Elbowing (2 min)5v4

    On ice: PIT Crosby, Letang, Rust, Guentzel, Marino · NYI Greene, Komarov, Pageau, Pulock

  62. P3 17:33Goal by Eberle (Nelson, Bailey)4v50 pts WP

    On ice: PIT Dumoulin, Ceci, Gaudreau, Aston-Reese · NYI Bailey, Eberle, Nelson, Pulock, Barzal

  63. P3 18:11Shot by Eberle, saved by Jarry5v6
  64. P3 19:04Shot by Nelson, saved by Jarry5v6
  65. P3 19:10Shot by Pulock, saved by Jarry5v6
  66. P3 19:18Goal by Rust, unassisted5v60 pts WP

    On ice: PIT Letang, Dumoulin, Rust, Gaudreau, Aston-Reese · NYI Bailey, Eberle, Nelson, Pulock, Barzal, Wahlstrom

  67. P3 0:00Period end
  68. P3 0:00Final