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Ice Lab

Tue, Mar 16, 2021·Ball Arena, Denver

Anaheim Ducks 4, Colorado Avalanche 8

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Colorado Avalanche win this game 85% of the time.

COL winsANA wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 0:35Shot by Rantanen, saved by Miller
  3. P1 1:00Shot by Kadri, saved by Miller
  4. P1 1:01Goal by Burakovsky (Kadri, Girard)+13 pts WP

    On ice: COL Kadri, Saad, Graves, Burakovsky, Toews · ANA Getzlaf, Rakell, Hutton, Larsson, Comtois

  5. P1 2:16Goal by Terry (Zegras, Henrique)+13 pts WP

    On ice: COL Donskoi, Graves, Nichushkin, Renouf, Jost · ANA Shattenkirk, Henrique, Terry, Mahura, Zegras

  6. P1 4:13Shot by Toews, saved by Miller
  7. P1 4:33Goal by Heinen (Hutton, Henrique)+17 pts WP

    On ice: COL Saad, Burakovsky, Toews, Renouf, Jost · ANA Henrique, Hutton, Heinen, Larsson, Zegras

  8. P1 4:58Shot by Heinen, saved by Miska
  9. P1 5:53Shot by MacKinnon, saved by Miller
  10. P1 6:19Shot by MacKinnon, saved by Miller
  11. P1 7:02Goal by Kadri (Saad, Toews)+17 pts WP

    On ice: COL Kadri, Saad, Graves, Burakovsky, Toews · ANA Henrique, Hutton, Larsson, Terry, Zegras

  12. P1 9:58Shot by Hakanpää, saved by Miska
  13. P1 10:10Shot by Saad, saved by Miller
  14. P1 11:34Shot by Rantanen, saved by Miller
  15. P1 13:40Shot by Kadri, saved by Miller
  16. P1 15:59Goal by Henrique (Terry)+20 pts WP

    On ice: COL Kadri, Saad, Burakovsky, Toews, Renouf · ANA Henrique, Fowler, Hakanpää, Terry, Zegras

  17. P1 18:25Hakanpää: Tripping (2 min)

    On ice: COL Calvert, MacKinnon, Bellemare, Girard, MacDonald · ANA Grant, Deslauriers, Fowler, Hakanpää, Heinen

  18. P1 19:18Shot by Heinen, saved by Miska5v4
  19. P1 19:42Landeskog: Penalty shot tripping on breakaway (0 min)

    On ice: COL Kadri, Landeskog, MacKinnon, Rantanen, Girard · ANA Grant, Silfverberg, Fowler, Larsson

  20. P1 19:42Goal by Grant, unassistedother+15 pts WP

    On ice: COL Kadri, Landeskog, MacKinnon, Rantanen, Girard · ANA Grant, Silfverberg, Fowler, Larsson

  21. P1 0:00Period end5v4
  22. P2 0:00Period start
  23. P2 0:13Shot by Kadri, saved by Miller5v4
  24. P2 0:50Shot by MacKinnon, saved by Miller
  25. P2 2:15Shot by Zegras, saved by Grubauer
  26. P2 2:15Pateryn: Slashing (2 min)

    On ice: COL Calvert, Pateryn, Bellemare, Renouf, O'Connor · ANA Henrique, Hutton, Heinen, Larsson, Zegras

  27. P2 2:20Shot by Fowler, saved by Grubauer4v5
  28. P2 2:33Shot by Fowler, saved by Grubauer4v5
  29. P2 3:27Shot by Jost, saved by Miller4v5
  30. P2 6:00Shot by Landeskog, saved by Miller
  31. P2 6:16Shot by Toews, saved by Miller
  32. P2 11:23Shot by Landeskog, saved by Miller
  33. P2 11:25Goal by Rantanen (Landeskog, Toews)+16 pts WP

    On ice: COL Landeskog, MacKinnon, Toews, Rantanen, Girard · ANA Getzlaf, Rakell, Hutton, Larsson, Comtois

  34. P2 11:58Shot by Burakovsky, saved by Miller
  35. P2 12:09Shot by Henrique, saved by Grubauer
  36. P2 12:37Shot by Pateryn, saved by Miller
  37. P2 12:55Shot by Bellemare, saved by Miller
  38. P2 13:13Shot by Girard, saved by Miller
  39. P2 16:43Shot by Zegras, saved by Grubauer
  40. P2 16:57Shot by O'Connor, saved by Miller
  41. P2 18:12Shot by Shattenkirk, saved by Grubauer
  42. P2 18:26Goal by Kadri (Burakovsky, Donskoi)+27 pts WP

    On ice: COL Kadri, Donskoi, Burakovsky, Toews, Girard · ANA Shattenkirk, Grant, Deslauriers, Larsson, Jones

  43. P2 19:06Fowler: Tripping (2 min)

    On ice: COL Landeskog, MacKinnon, Toews, Rantanen, Girard · ANA Getzlaf, Grant, Deslauriers, Fowler, Hakanpää

  44. P2 19:14Shot by Hutton, saved by Grubauer5v4
  45. P2 0:00Period end5v4
  46. P3 0:00Period start
  47. P3 0:54Shot by MacKinnon, saved by Miller5v4
  48. P3 1:01Goal by MacKinnon (Toews, Rantanen)5v4+25 pts WP

    On ice: COL Kadri, Landeskog, MacKinnon, Toews, Rantanen · ANA Grant, Silfverberg, Hakanpää, Hutton

  49. P3 1:17Shot by Jost, saved by Miller
  50. P3 1:26Shot by Girard, saved by Miller
  51. P3 3:24Goal by Girard, unassisted+14 pts WP

    On ice: COL Donskoi, Nichushkin, Jost, Girard, MacDonald · ANA Getzlaf, Shattenkirk, Rakell, Mahura, Comtois

  52. P3 4:10Shot by Kadri, saved by Miller
  53. P3 4:46Shot by Jones, saved by Grubauer
  54. P3 4:55Shot by Mahura, saved by Grubauer
  55. P3 4:59Shot by Shattenkirk, saved by Grubauer
  56. P3 6:35Rantanen: Tripping (2 min)

    On ice: COL Landeskog, MacKinnon, Rantanen, Girard, MacDonald · ANA Grant, Hutton, Larsson, Terry, Zegras

  57. P3 6:41Shot by Silfverberg, saved by Grubauer4v5
  58. P3 7:25Shot by Rakell, saved by Grubauer4v5
  59. P3 9:47Shot by Pateryn, saved by Miller
  60. P3 10:28Shot by Terry, saved by Grubauer
  61. P3 10:28Deslauriers: Roughing (2 min)

    On ice: COL Pateryn, Kadri, Saad, Burakovsky, Renouf · ANA Grant, Deslauriers, Hutton, Larsson, Terry

  62. P3 10:28Kadri: Roughing (2 min)5v4

    On ice: COL Pateryn, Kadri, Saad, Burakovsky, Renouf · ANA Grant, Deslauriers, Hutton, Larsson, Terry

  63. P3 14:37Shot by Nichushkin, saved by Miller
  64. P3 14:45Shot by Renouf, saved by Miller
  65. P3 15:01Shot by Donskoi, saved by Miller
  66. P3 15:50Shot by Zegras, saved by Grubauer
  67. P3 16:42Shot by Fowler, saved by Grubauer5v6
  68. P3 16:48Goal by Bellemare (Kadri, Calvert)5v6+1 pts WP

    On ice: COL Calvert, Kadri, Graves, Bellemare, Toews · ANA Shattenkirk, Henrique, Fowler, Rakell, Jones, Zegras

  69. P3 17:29Shot by Pateryn, saved by Miller
  70. P3 17:29Hakanpää: High sticking (2 min)

    On ice: COL Pateryn, Donskoi, Nichushkin, Renouf, Jost · ANA Grant, Deslauriers, Hakanpää, Heinen, Mahura

  71. P3 18:45Goal by Saad (Donskoi, Nichushkin)5v40 pts WP

    On ice: COL Donskoi, Saad, Burakovsky, Nichushkin, Girard · ANA Fowler, Heinen, Larsson, Jones

  72. P3 0:00Period end
  73. P3 0:00Final