Mon, Apr 5, 2021·STAPLES Center, Los Angeles
Arizona Coyotes 5, Los Angeles Kings 2
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Arizona Coyotes win this game 63% of the time.
By period
Goals and shots on goal in each period.
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ARI | 310 | 114 | 19 | 533 |
| LAK | 111 | 09 | 118 | 238 |
Goals, with shots on goal in grey.
Scoring
Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.
- P1 2:43ARIMichael BuntingAssists: Conor Garland, Jason Demers · Slap, 0.17 xG1–0
- P1 4:11ARIMichael BuntingPPAssists: Jakob Chychrun, Alex Goligoski · Wrist, 0.32 xG2–0
- P1 7:28ARIDerick BrassardPPGWGAssists: Conor Garland, Oliver Ekman-Larsson · Slap, 0.14 xG3–0
- P1 16:07LAKDrew DoughtyPPAssists: Adrian Kempe, Anze Kopitar · Snap, 0.07 xG3–1
- P2 8:48ARIMichael BuntingPPAssists: Jakob Chychrun, Alex Goligoski · Wrist, 0.35 xG4–1
- P3 2:10LAKAndreas AthanasiouAssists: Kale Clague, Blake Lizotte · Tip-in, 0.13 xG4–2
- P3 19:26ARIChristian DvorakENAssists: Johan Larsson · Wrist, 0.52 xG5–2
Penalties (9)
- P1 3:21LAKAdrian Kempe: High sticking2 min · PPG
- P1 5:19ARIChristian Dvorak: Cross checking2 min
- P1 6:57LAKJeff Carter: Tripping2 min · PPG
- P1 10:09LAKKurtis MacDermid: Roughing2 min
- P1 13:29LAKSean Walker: Tripping2 min
- P1 14:45ARIConor Garland: High sticking2 min · PPG
- P2 8:00LAKMikey Anderson: Slashing2 min · PPG
- P2 8:48LAKAustin Wagner: Delaying game unsuccessful challenge2 min
- P3 9:40ARIJordan Gross: Slashing2 min
Replay
Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.
20:00
P1
- P1 20:00Larsson won the faceoff against Anderson-Dolan
- Goal
- Shot
- Miss
- Block
- Hit
- Takeaway
- Giveaway
- Faceoff
- Penalty
The numbers
Team totals, side by side.
Line combinations that worked
Model-basedEach team's forward lines and defence pairs at 5-on-5 (two minutes or more together), best first by expected goals for minus against.
Arizona Coyotes
Forward lines
- bestLarsson – Fischer – Crouse10:08
xG 0.57–0.18 (76%)attempts 12–5goals 0–0
- Schmaltz – Bunting – Garland11:12
xG 0.54–0.39 (58%)attempts 13–7goals 1–0
- Brassard – Hayden – Caggiula6:47
xG 0.19–0.32 (38%)attempts 3–10goals 0–0
- Kessel – Dvorak – Keller9:46
xG 0.48–0.74 (39%)attempts 9–12goals 0–1
Defence pairs
- Ekman-Larsson – Lyubushkin13:28
xG 0.49–0.49 (50%)attempts 11–12goals 1–0
- Chychrun – Gross11:16
xG 0.37–0.43 (46%)attempts 10–11goals 0–1
- Goligoski – Demers14:11
xG 0.70–0.85 (45%)attempts 14–13goals 0–0
Los Angeles Kings
Forward lines
- bestCarter – Athanasiou – Lizotte2:31
xG 0.64–0.06 (92%)attempts 6–3goals 1–0
- Brown – Kopitar – Iafallo6:49
xG 0.39–0.07 (84%)attempts 10–4goals 0–0
- Grundstrom – Moore – Anderson-Dolan3:20
xG 0.35–0.18 (66%)attempts 5–4goals 0–0
- Wagner – Grundstrom – Lizotte3:09
xG 0.14–0.15 (48%)attempts 3–2goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- bestDoughty – Clague5:06
xG 0.34–0.07 (82%)attempts 8–5goals 0–0
- Doughty – Anderson10:21
xG 0.75–0.49 (60%)attempts 10–10goals 0–0
- Clague – Strand8:16
xG 0.40–0.17 (71%)attempts 10–3goals 1–0
How the game flowed
Model-basedChance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.
Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.
Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute
Win probability
Model-basedHow each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.
LAK's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line LAK is favoured, below it ARI. Dots are goals.
Did the better team win?
Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.
Based on shot quality alone, Arizona Coyotes win this game 63% of the time.
Simulated goal difference (LAK − ARI), 10,000 replays
The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).