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Ice Lab

Tue, Apr 6, 2021·Madison Square Garden, New York

Pittsburgh Penguins 4, New York Rangers 8

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Pittsburgh Penguins win this game 61% of the time.

NYR winsPIT wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 1:35Goal by Blackwell (Panarin, Trouba)+13 pts WP

    On ice: NYR Blackwell, Strome, Trouba, Panarin, Miller · PIT Letang, Zucker, Matheson, McCann, Rodrigues

  3. P1 1:53Shot by Ceci, saved by Shesterkin
  4. P1 1:56Shot by Aston-Reese, saved by Shesterkin
  5. P1 2:21Shot by Sceviour, saved by Shesterkin
  6. P1 3:06Shot by Marino, saved by Shesterkin
  7. P1 5:46Shot by Sceviour, saved by Shesterkin
  8. P1 6:33Shot by Strome, saved by Jarry
  9. P1 6:55Shot by Rodrigues, saved by Shesterkin
  10. P1 7:26Shot by Buchnevich, saved by Jarry
  11. P1 7:28Goal by Zibanejad (Buchnevich)+12 pts WP

    On ice: NYR Kreider, Zibanejad, Buchnevich, Fox, Lindgren · PIT Crosby, Letang, Dumoulin, Rust, Guentzel

  12. P1 7:58Shot by Aston-Reese, saved by Shesterkin
  13. P1 9:13Zohorna: Hooking (2 min)

    On ice: NYR Smith, Hajek, Chytil, Kakko, Lafrenière · PIT Sceviour, Jankowski, Pettersson, Marino, Zohorna

  14. P1 9:22Shot by Ceci, saved by Shesterkin5v4
  15. P1 9:36Shot by Zibanejad, saved by Jarry5v4
  16. P1 9:58Goal by Panarin (Fox, Kreider)5v4+8 pts WP

    On ice: NYR Kreider, Strome, Zibanejad, Panarin, Fox · PIT Sceviour, Dumoulin, Jankowski, Ceci

  17. P1 10:32Lindgren: Holding (2 min)

    On ice: NYR Blackwell, Di Giuseppe, Rooney, Fox, Lindgren · PIT Crosby, Rust, Guentzel, Pettersson, Marino

  18. P1 10:38Goal by McCann (Letang, Crosby)4v5+8 pts WP

    On ice: NYR Smith, Zibanejad, Buchnevich, Fox · PIT Crosby, Letang, Rust, Guentzel, McCann

  19. P1 11:21Shot by Miller, saved by Jarry
  20. P1 11:22Lafrenière: Roughing (2 min)

    On ice: NYR Trouba, Chytil, Miller, Kakko, Lafrenière · PIT Letang, Zucker, Matheson, Gaudreau, Rodrigues

  21. P1 11:22Matheson: Roughing (2 min)4v5

    On ice: NYR Trouba, Chytil, Miller, Kakko, Lafrenière · PIT Letang, Zucker, Matheson, Gaudreau, Rodrigues

  22. P1 11:36Shot by Crosby, saved by Shesterkin4v4
  23. P1 12:14Shot by Rust, saved by Shesterkin4v4
  24. P1 12:28Shot by McCann, saved by Shesterkin4v4
  25. P1 13:13Shot by Kreider, saved by Jarry4v4
  26. P1 13:50Shot by Rust, saved by Shesterkin
  27. P1 14:05Shot by Chytil, saved by Jarry
  28. P1 15:09Shot by Letang, saved by Shesterkin
  29. P1 15:12Shot by Rodrigues, saved by Shesterkin
  30. P1 15:29Shot by Zucker, saved by Shesterkin
  31. P1 15:33Shot by Marino, saved by Shesterkin
  32. P1 18:28Shot by Rust, saved by Shesterkin
  33. P1 19:33Shot by Panarin, saved by Jarry6v5
  34. P1 19:34Dumoulin: Holding (2 min)

    On ice: NYR Smith, Kreider, Zibanejad, Buchnevich, Panarin, Hajek · PIT Letang, Dumoulin, Zucker, McCann, Rodrigues

  35. P1 19:42Goal by Strome (Panarin, Fox)5v4+8 pts WP

    On ice: NYR Kreider, Strome, Zibanejad, Panarin, Fox · PIT Letang, Ceci, Gaudreau, Aston-Reese

  36. P1 0:00Period end
  37. P2 0:00Period start
  38. P2 0:31Shot by Crosby, saved by Shesterkin
  39. P2 1:39Shot by Lafferty, saved by Shesterkin
  40. P2 3:54Shot by Rodrigues, saved by Shesterkin
  41. P2 3:57Lindgren: High sticking (2 min)

    On ice: NYR Blackwell, Strome, Panarin, Fox, Lindgren · PIT Zucker, Matheson, Ceci, McCann, Rodrigues

  42. P2 4:44Shot by Rust, saved by Shesterkin4v5
  43. P2 4:46Shot by Guentzel, saved by Shesterkin4v5
  44. P2 4:51Shot by Letang, saved by Shesterkin4v5
  45. P2 5:01Shot by Letang, saved by Shesterkin4v5
  46. P2 5:28Shot by Buchnevich, saved by DeSmith4v5
  47. P2 7:08Shot by Gaudreau, saved by Shesterkin
  48. P2 7:12Shot by Shesterkin, saved by DeSmith
  49. P2 9:05Shot by Crosby, saved by Shesterkin
  50. P2 9:36Shot by Zucker, saved by Shesterkin
  51. P2 12:12Shot by Smith, saved by DeSmith
  52. P2 12:18Shot by Chytil, saved by DeSmith
  53. P2 12:20Goal by Lafrenière (Chytil, Kakko)+3 pts WP

    On ice: NYR Smith, Trouba, Chytil, Kakko, Lafrenière · PIT Gaudreau, Pettersson, Lafferty, Marino, Aston-Reese

  54. P2 12:36Goal by Matheson (Sceviour, Jankowski)+3 pts WP

    On ice: NYR Di Giuseppe, Trouba, Rooney, Miller, Kravtsov · PIT Sceviour, Jankowski, Matheson, Ceci, Zohorna

  55. P2 14:39Shot by Matheson, saved by Shesterkin
  56. P2 17:37Shot by Buchnevich, saved by DeSmith
  57. P2 17:44Shot by Buchnevich, saved by DeSmith
  58. P2 19:07Shot by Marino, saved by Shesterkin
  59. P2 0:00Period end
  60. P3 0:00Period start
  61. P3 0:15Shot by Kreider, saved by DeSmith
  62. P3 0:28Shot by Crosby, saved by Shesterkin
  63. P3 0:39Shot by McCann, saved by Shesterkin
  64. P3 1:34Shot by Lafferty, saved by Shesterkin
  65. P3 4:29Guentzel: Holding (2 min)

    On ice: NYR Fox, Lindgren, Chytil, Kakko, Lafrenière · PIT Crosby, Letang, Dumoulin, Rust, Guentzel

  66. P3 4:42Shot by Zibanejad, saved by DeSmith5v4
  67. P3 6:10Goal by Kakko (Trouba, Blackwell)5v4+1 pts WP

    On ice: NYR Blackwell, Trouba, Buchnevich, Miller, Kakko · PIT Letang, Gaudreau, Marino, Aston-Reese

  68. P3 6:42Shot by Letang, saved by Shesterkin
  69. P3 7:23Shot by McCann, saved by Shesterkin
  70. P3 7:48Shot by Ceci, saved by Shesterkin
  71. P3 8:04Goal by Guentzel (Matheson, Letang)+1 pts WP

    On ice: NYR Trouba, Hajek, Chytil, Kakko, Lafrenière · PIT Crosby, Letang, Rust, Matheson, Guentzel

  72. P3 8:24Buchnevich: Tripping (2 min)

    On ice: NYR Smith, Kreider, Zibanejad, Buchnevich, Hajek · PIT Gaudreau, Pettersson, Lafferty, Marino, Aston-Reese

  73. P3 8:41Shot by Strome, saved by DeSmith4v5
  74. P3 9:31Shot by Matheson, saved by Shesterkin4v5
  75. P3 10:22Goal by Fox (Zibanejad, Strome)4v5+1 pts WP

    On ice: NYR Strome, Zibanejad, Fox, Lindgren · PIT Zucker, Matheson, Pettersson, Rodrigues, Zohorna

  76. P3 10:41Goal by Buchnevich (Chytil, Panarin)0 pts WP

    On ice: NYR Smith, Buchnevich, Panarin, Hajek, Chytil · PIT Dumoulin, Ceci, Gaudreau, Lafferty, Aston-Reese

  77. P3 11:33Shot by Matheson, saved by Shesterkin
  78. P3 12:07Shot by Di Giuseppe, saved by DeSmith
  79. P3 12:58Shot by Aston-Reese, saved by Shesterkin
  80. P3 12:59Aston-Reese: Roughing (2 min)

    On ice: NYR Kreider, Strome, Trouba, Buchnevich, Miller · PIT Crosby, Letang, Rust, Ceci, Aston-Reese

  81. P3 12:59Trouba: Roughing (2 min)5v4

    On ice: NYR Kreider, Strome, Trouba, Buchnevich, Miller · PIT Crosby, Letang, Rust, Ceci, Aston-Reese

  82. P3 15:04Shot by Rodrigues, saved by Shesterkin
  83. P3 15:28Shot by Lafferty, saved by Shesterkin
  84. P3 18:36Goal by Dumoulin (Zohorna, Jankowski)0 pts WP

    On ice: NYR Kreider, Zibanejad, Trouba, Buchnevich, Miller · PIT Sceviour, Dumoulin, Jankowski, Ceci, Zohorna

  85. P3 19:58Shot by Zohorna, saved by Shesterkin
  86. P3 0:00Period end
  87. P3 0:00Final