Sat, Apr 24, 2021·STAPLES Center, Los Angeles
Arizona Coyotes 4, Los Angeles Kings 0
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Arizona Coyotes win this game 73% of the time.
By period
Goals and shots on goal in each period.
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ARI | 112 | 116 | 212 | 440 |
| LAK | 06 | 09 | 011 | 026 |
Goals, with shots on goal in grey.
Scoring
Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.
- P1 12:47ARIJohn HaydenGWGAssists: Derick Brassard, Lane Pederson · Wrist, 0.15 xG1–0
- P2 0:36ARILawson CrouseAssists: Alex Goligoski, Phil Kessel · Tip-in, 0.13 xG2–0
- P3 4:19ARIJakob ChychrunPPAssists: Alex Goligoski · Wrist, 0.05 xG3–0
- P3 12:56ARIPhil KesselUnassisted · Snap, 0.06 xG4–0
Penalties (6)
- P1 9:33ARIMichael Bunting: Hooking2 min
- P2 3:29LAKSean Walker: Hooking2 min
- P2 8:26ARILawson Crouse: Roughing2 min
- P2 8:26LAKMatt Roy: Roughing2 min
- P2 16:33ARIMichael Bunting: High sticking2 min
- P3 3:34LAKDrew Doughty: Interference2 min · PPG
Replay
Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.
20:00
P1
- P1 20:00Vilardi won the faceoff against Dvorak
- Goal
- Shot
- Miss
- Block
- Hit
- Takeaway
- Giveaway
- Faceoff
- Penalty
The numbers
Team totals, side by side.
Line combinations that worked
Model-basedEach team's forward lines and defence pairs at 5-on-5 (two minutes or more together), best first by expected goals for minus against.
Arizona Coyotes
Forward lines
- bestLarsson – Hunt – Fischer11:44
xG 0.83–0.47 (64%)attempts 16–10goals 0–0
- Brassard – Hayden – Pederson9:53
xG 0.54–0.19 (74%)attempts 11–5goals 1–0
- Schmaltz – Bunting – Keller11:43
xG 0.45–0.16 (74%)attempts 11–12goals 0–0
- Kessel – Dvorak – Crouse11:09
xG 0.62–0.74 (45%)attempts 11–17goals 1–0
Defence pairs
- bestHjalmarsson – Demers14:17
xG 0.63–0.05 (93%)attempts 20–5goals 1–0
- Goligoski – Chychrun17:13
xG 1.41–0.91 (61%)attempts 18–25goals 1–0
- Ekman-Larsson – Lyubushkin16:33
xG 0.46–0.73 (39%)attempts 12–19goals 1–0
Los Angeles Kings
Forward lines
- bestWagner – Moore – Vilardi5:08
xG 0.44–0.23 (65%)attempts 9–4goals 0–0
- Kopitar – Athanasiou – Iafallo6:45
xG 0.31–0.18 (64%)attempts 8–5goals 0–0
- Brown – Kempe – Lizotte5:19
xG 0.09–0.11 (46%)attempts 2–6goals 0–0
- Wagner – Luff – Anderson-Dolan3:48
xG 0.02–0.12 (12%)attempts 1–6goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- bestDoughty – Anderson9:32
xG 0.27–0.15 (65%)attempts 8–11goals 0–0
- Maatta – Walker13:01
xG 0.58–0.59 (49%)attempts 20–12goals 0–1
- Doughty – Bjornfot10:44
xG 0.38–0.50 (44%)attempts 13–11goals 0–0
How the game flowed
Model-basedChance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.
Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.
Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute
Win probability
Model-basedHow each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.
LAK's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line LAK is favoured, below it ARI. Dots are goals.
Did the better team win?
Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.
Based on shot quality alone, Arizona Coyotes win this game 73% of the time.
Simulated goal difference (LAK − ARI), 10,000 replays
The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).