Mon, Apr 26, 2021·SAP Center at San Jose, San Jose
Arizona Coyotes 4, San Jose Sharks 6
Three stars
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, San Jose Sharks win this game 73% of the time.
By period
Goals and shots on goal in each period.
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ARI | 07 | 27 | 211 | 425 |
| SJS | 28 | 212 | 214 | 634 |
Goals, with shots on goal in grey.
Scoring
Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.
- P1 0:17SJSNoah GregorUnassisted · Wrist, 0.02 xG0–1
- P1 3:07SJSBrent BurnsAssists: Tomas Hertl, Evander Kane · Slap, 0.03 xG0–2
- P2 1:54SJSLogan CoutureAssists: Greg Pateryn, Timo Meier · Wrist, 0.28 xG0–3
- P2 3:19SJSErik KarlssonAssists: Evander Kane · Slap, 0.02 xG0–4
- P2 4:43ARIMichael BuntingAssists: Jakob Chychrun, Nick Schmaltz · Tip-in, 0.13 xG1–4
- P2 10:05ARIClayton KellerAssists: Nick Schmaltz, Michael Bunting · Wrist, 0.21 xG2–4
- P3 2:02ARIJakob ChychrunAssists: Alex Goligoski, John Hayden · Wrist, 0.01 xG3–4
- P3 11:17SJSAlexander BarabanovGWGAssists: Evander Kane, Tomas Hertl · Slap, 0.39 xG3–5
- P3 15:16ARIJakob ChychrunAssists: Dryden Hunt, Derick Brassard · Wrist, 0.29 xG4–5
- P3 19:51SJSEvander KaneENAssists: Mario Ferraro · Wrist, 0.58 xG4–6
Penalties (9)
- P1 5:21SJSRudolfs Balcers: Holding2 min
- P1 8:43ARINiklas Hjalmarsson: Hooking2 min
- P2 17:50ARIIlya Lyubushkin: Slashing2 min
- P3 2:18SJSGreg Pateryn: Holding2 min
- P3 2:54ARIOliver Ekman-Larsson: Tripping2 min
- P3 6:41SJSTimo Meier: Tripping2 min
- P3 11:31ARIOliver Ekman-Larsson: Tripping2 min
- P3 12:28ARIJakob Chychrun: Tripping2 min
- P3 12:28SJSLogan Couture: Interference2 min
Replay
Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.
20:00
P1
- P1 20:00Larsson won the faceoff against Gambrell
- Goal
- Shot
- Miss
- Block
- Hit
- Takeaway
- Giveaway
- Faceoff
- Penalty
The numbers
Team totals, side by side.
Line combinations that worked
Model-basedEach team's forward lines and defence pairs at 5-on-5 (two minutes or more together), best first by expected goals for minus against.
Arizona Coyotes
Forward lines
- bestBrassard – Hayden – Pederson5:58
xG 0.17–0.02 (89%)attempts 7–2goals 1–1
- Kessel – Dvorak – Crouse7:42
xG 0.19–0.36 (34%)attempts 4–11goals 0–0
- Larsson – Hunt – Fischer8:36
xG 0.34–0.60 (36%)attempts 9–7goals 0–1
- Schmaltz – Bunting – Keller11:25
xG 0.37–1.13 (25%)attempts 7–15goals 2–2
Defence pairs
- Goligoski – Chychrun17:02
xG 1.06–1.04 (51%)attempts 19–17goals 4–2
- Hjalmarsson – Demers8:22
xG 0.15–0.42 (26%)attempts 5–6goals 0–2
- Ekman-Larsson – Lyubushkin14:32
xG 0.28–0.88 (24%)attempts 10–16goals 0–1
San Jose Sharks
Forward lines
- bestKane – Hertl – Barabanov11:34
xG 0.87–0.68 (56%)attempts 15–11goals 3–1
- Couture – Meier – Balcers10:28
xG 0.36–0.18 (66%)attempts 7–4goals 1–1
- Marleau – Blichfeld – Viel6:27
xG 0.08–0.06 (55%)attempts 4–3goals 0–1
- Gregor – Gambrell – Leonard7:24
xG 0.06–0.19 (23%)attempts 3–9goals 1–0
Defence pairs
- bestBurns – Ferraro15:12
xG 1.09–0.49 (69%)attempts 20–14goals 1–2
- Vlasic – Pateryn11:08
xG 0.43–0.11 (79%)attempts 9–8goals 1–0
- Karlsson – Knyzhov13:56
xG 0.66–0.78 (46%)attempts 9–10goals 3–2
How the game flowed
Model-basedChance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.
Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.
Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute
Win probability
Model-basedHow each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.
SJS's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line SJS is favoured, below it ARI. Dots are goals.
Did the better team win?
Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.
Based on shot quality alone, San Jose Sharks win this game 73% of the time.
Simulated goal difference (SJS − ARI), 10,000 replays
The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).